Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction, October 4th 2025

Round 3 of the NBL26 Season continues on Saturday, October 4th, with two sides desperate to find a win as the Sydney Kings host the winless New Zealand Breakers at Qudos Bank Arena. 

The Kings are coming off a 77-74 home loss to the Cairns Taipans last Sunday, where they struggled badly from deep, hitting just 14% from three-point range. Coach Brian Goorjian will no doubt have his squad focused on fixing those mistakes and bouncing back in front of their home fans. 

It’s been a rough start for the Breakers, and coach Petteri Koponen is already under the pump after their third straight defeat. They led the Perth Wildcats early last round before fading to a 89-78 loss, but young gun Karim Lopez was a bright spot, finishing with 16 points and 7 rebounds. 

Can the Kings get back on track, or will the Breakers finally break through for their first win of the season? 

Be sure to check back before each NBL26 Match for NBL Previews, NBL Head to Head Predictions, NBL Tips, NBL Picks and NBL Predictions for matches of NBL Season 26.

Australian Basketball Predictions for Today.


Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers

Venue – Qudos Bank Arena

Tip Off – 5.30pm EST

Season Record

TeamW-LHomeAway
Sydney0-10-10-0
NZ0-30-20-1

Season Scoring

TeamPPGOpp PPGGame Total Ave
Sydney7477151
NZ85102.3187.3

Quick Game Facts

  • Matthew Dellavedova is dishing dimes like a maestro — 6+ assists in 18 of his last 19 games when Sydney’s the favourite.
  • Kouat Noi is straight fire against the Breakers, 19+ points in each of Sydney’s last two matchups.
  • Sydney’s been struggling to cover the line lately — five straight games without hitting it.

Prediction

The New Zealand Breakers have been giving up points to start the season, and it’s hard to see the Sydney Kings struggling from deep two games in a row. Both sides are desperate for a win, but the Kings have more talent and should be able to put up a solid scoring output here.

Prediction – Sydney Kings (Win)

Prediction – Game Total Over 177.5 Points