Adelaide 36ers vs SEM Phoenix Prediction, Game 1 March 10th

Tuesday night brings us the first semi-final matchup between the Adelaide 36ers and the South East Melbourne Phoenix at the Adelaide Entertainment Centre. 

This game features the teams that finished 2nd and 3rd on the National Basketball League (Australia) ladder, with the Phoenix coming into this road matchup with a slight edge after winning their last two games against the 36ers. 

Adelaide are coming off a 107–111 Ignite Cup loss to the New Zealand Breakers, and their form hasn’t been ideal heading into the finals, having lost four of their last six games. 

The Phoenix enter this game with momentum after a big home play-in finals win over the Perth Wildcats, 111–94, led by 24 points and 7 assists from Nathan Sobey. 

Can Bryce Cotton and the 36ers protect home-court advantage, or will the defence-oriented South East Melbourne side prove too strong? 

Here is an Adelaide 36ers vs SEM Phoenix Prediction for Tuesday, March 10th 2026.


Adelaide 36ers vs SEM Phoenix Prediction

Adelaide 36ers vs SEM Phoenix

Venue – Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Tip Off – 7.30pm EST

Season Record

TeamW-LHomeAway
Adelaide23-1012-511-5
SEM22-1111-511-6

Season Scoring

TeamPPGOpp PPGGame Total Ave
Adelaide92.287.6179.8
SEM100.792.8193.5

Quick Game Facts

  • Each of the Adelaide 36ers last four finals games has gone UNDER the total match points line
  • The home team has covered the line in each of the last six finals games involving the South East Melbourne Phoenix

Quick Player Facts – Adelaide 36ers

  • Bryce Cotton has recorded 6+ assists in each of Adelaide’s last four games against the South East Melbourne Phoenix.
  • Zylan Cheatham has scored 10+ points in each of the Adelaide 36ers last six games.

Quick Player Facts – SEM Phoenix

  • Ian Clark has scored 15+ points in each of his last five finals appearances.
  • Nathan Sobey has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of his last eight finals appearances.

Prediction

Be sure to check back on gameday for a prediction of this match.