Brownlow Predictor, Round 5 Leader 2020
Round five of the 2020 AFL Season is complete and we seem to have a runaway leader, and a rookie chasing in the 2020 Brownlow Medal Predictor.
Lachie Neale has had an awesome start to the season and is 5 clear after five rounds, on 14 Votes. He is closely followed by first year player from the Gold Coast Suns, Matt Rowell on 9. The Suns have impressed in their start to the 2020 AFL Season and Rowell has had a big impact on matches. Unfortunately he sustained a shoulder injury in the Round 5 clash against the Cats and will miss the remainder of the season. We wish him a speedy recovery and hope to see the young gun back out on the footy field again soon.
Let’s get into the projected Brownlow Medal Votes for Round 5 of the 2020 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2020 AFL Season for an in-depth look at the some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
Carlton vs St Kilda
Carlton 8.7 55 – St Kilda 11.7 73
(St Kilda by 18 Points)
Vote Chances
Jack Billings – 23 Disposals, 6 Marks, 6 Score Involvements and 1 Goal
Dan Butler – 13 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements and 2 Goals
Nick Coffield – 20 Disposals (90% Efficiency), 9 Marks and 7 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Jack Martin (1)
Martin was Carlton’s best in the loss and used the football well with his 19 Disposals coming at 90% Efficiency. He took 9 Marks, kicked a goal and had 8 Score Involvements, to more than likely feature in the votes.
2 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele (5)
A solid showing in the middle from Steele and he racked up 23 Disposals and laid 9 Tackles, to be one of the most damaging midfielders out there. Was first to the football on a lot of occasions and also managed to be on the receiving end of five free kicks.
3 Votes (St Kilda) Rowan Marshall (4)
Marshall was on from the start in this match and had a big game in the ruck. 12 of his 19 Disposals were contested, and he extracted the ball from a stoppage on seven occasions. Also put the ball Inside 50 5 times and received four free kicks, to be a strong chance at maximum votes in this match.
Collingwood vs Essendon
Collingwood 7.6 48 – Essendon 10.3 63
(Essendon by 15 Points)
Vote Chances
Jordan Ridley – 18 Disposals (83% Efficiency), 7 Marks and 5 Rebound 50s
Michael Hurley – 17 Disposals (88% Efficiency), 7 Marks and 6 Intercept Possessions
Andrew McGrath – 19 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Clearances and 8 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Brodie Grundy (7)
Grundy had a good battle with Phillips, and they both had decent matches. Grundy certainly won the stats battle with 16 of his 20 Disposals being contested. He also laid 6 Tackles and racked up a massive 10 Clearances throughout the match. Andrew Phillips played a good game, but Grundy had 37 Hit-outs, to be a standout in the contest.
2 Votes (Essendon) Jake Stringer (2)
It took him a while to have an impact in the match, but when he did, he was a clear X-Factor. Just the 10 Disposals, but made the most of the limited chances to boot 3 Goals and apply defensive forward pressure, with 7 Tackles.
3 Votes (Essendon) Dylan Shiel (6)
Shiel was excellent all night and was definitely the best player on the ground. 12 of his 29 Disposals were contested, and he racked up 6 Clearances and put the ball Inside 50 on 6 occasions. Also had 570 metres gained, laid 5 Tackles and managed to boot a goal in an impressive show.
West Coast vs Sydney
West Coast 11.11 77 – Sydney 6.7 43
(West Coast by 34 Points)
Vote Chances
Oscar Allen – 11 Disposals, 6 Marks, 3 Goals and 8 Score Involvements
Brad Sheppard – 21 Disposals (86% Efficiency), 13 Marks and 6 Rebound 50s
Jake Lloyd – 26 Disposals (92% Efficiency), 5 Marks and 10 Rebound 50s
Projected Votes
1 Vote (West Coast) Dom Sheed (1)
Sheed doesn’t normally get a lot of contested ball, but racked up 14 Contested Possessions as part of his 24 for the match. He made the most of Nic Nat’s tap work with 9 Clearances and took 10 Marks to go along with a goal, in an impressive display from the 2018 Premiership star.
2 Votes (West Coast) Nic Naitanui (3)
Nic Naitanui seems on his game this season and yet again was solid in the ruck with the majority of his 39 Hit-outs being to advantage. Does not need a lot of the football to have an impact, and 9 of his 11 Disposals were Contested. Also had 7 Clearances and put the ball Inside 50 on 5 occasions, to be one of the best in the Eagles win.
3 Votes (West Coast) Elliot Yeo (3)
Yeo needed to lift and raised his effort in this contest. 12 of his 21 Disposals were contested, and he extracted the football on a regular occurrence with 9 Clearances. Also racked up 9 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles and 5 Inside 50s, to be a strong contender for all three votes.
Geelong vs Gold Coast
Geelong 13.11 89 – Gold Coast 8.4 52
(Geelong by 37 Points)
Vote Chances
Sam Menegola – 23 Disposals, 8 Score Involvements and 1 Goal
Joel Selwood – 22 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Clearances and 8 Tackles
David Swallow – 22 Disposals (12 Contested), 7 Marks and 5 Tackles
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Hugh Greenwood (1)
Greenwood tried very hard for the majority of the contest and racked up 21 Disposals, including 15 Contested. He racked up 6 Clearances, but his work off the football with 11 tackles was noticeable, and if a Gold Coast player is to poll, it will probably be Greenwood in this match.
2 Votes (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (4)
Duncan had a solid game as an outside midfielder and racked up 25 Disposals. He has incredible running power and seemed everywhere in this match. Also racked up 5 Marks and was involved in a Cats scoring procedure on six occasions.
3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Hawkins (3)
Hawkins had a fantastic match and had a big impact on the outcome. He took a total of 8 Marks, had 12 Score Involvements and booted 3 Goals, to have the most significant impact on the match. Also got a lot of the football for a forward with 17 Disposals.
Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne
Western Bulldogs 13.9 87 – North Melbourne 5.8 38
(W.Bulldogs by 49 Points)
Vote Chances
Caleb Daniel – 22 Disposals (86% Efficiency), 10 Score Involvements and 7 Intercept Possessions
Easton Wood – 14 Disposals, 9 Marks (4 Contested) and 9 Intercept Possessions
Haydn Crozier – 15 Disposals (93% Efficiency) and 4 Inside 50s
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Tim English (3)
A good battle with Goldstein and English covered the ground well despite losing the Hit-out count. He racked up 22 Disposals, and 3 of his 8 Marks were strong contested grabs. Also helped the Bulldogs score on numerous occasions with 7 Score Involvements.
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jason Johannisen (2)
When the Dogs are playing good footy, the 2016 Norm Smith Medalist has an impact, and this game was no exception. 15 of his 22 Disposals were Kicks, and he had 8 Score Involvements from the back half. Also had 4 Inside 50s and 4 Rebound 50s to cover the ground well.
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Josh Bruce (3)
Only had the 10 Disposals, but each time the ball went into the Bulldogs forward line he looked dangerous. 3 of his 6 Marks were Contested, and he racked up 9 Score Involvements and booted 6 Goals, to be the favourite for the 3 Votes.
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide
Brisbane 12.13 85 – (Port Adelaide) 6.12 48
(Brisbane by 37 Points)
Vote Chances
Daniel McStay – 11 Disposals, 8 Marks (5 Contested) and 1 Goal
Zac Butters – 18 Disposals (89% Efficiency) 7 Score Involvements and 2 Goals
Travis Boak – 26 Disposals (17 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Tackles and 8 Score Involvements
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (5)
McCluggage took a while to get involved in the contest, but had a substantial third term. He racked up 19 Disposals for the match, laid 7 Tackles and kicked a goal, to have an impact in this match.
2 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (2)
Lyons was a solid contributor all night and covered the ground well. He amassed 27 Disposals, laid 5 Tackles and put the ball Inside 50 on 5 occasions. Should be a strong chance to poll votes in the Lions victory.
3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (14)
The outright leader of the 2020 Brownlow Predictor and Neale continues to impress and rack up disposals. He racked up 29 Possessions on this occasion and was good out of congestion with 7 Clearances. Also put the ball Inside 50 5 times, and hit the scoreboard with a goal.
Adelaide vs Fremantle
Adelaide 4.10 34 – Fremantle 8.6 54
(Fremantle by 20 Points)
Vote Chances
Adam Cerra – 17 Disposals (88% Efficiency), 6 Marks and 5 Inside 50s
Darcy Tucker – 16 Disposals, 6 Marks and 2 Goals
Luke Ryan – 18 Disposals (94% Efficiency), 7 Marks and 12 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) Griffin Logue (1)
Logue was awesome down back in this match, especially when the game mattered. A good user of the football, his 14 Disposals came at 93% Efficiency. Also racked up 4 Marks and had 7 Intercept Possessions, to make it hard for the Crows going forward.
2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (2)
Brayshaw is beginning to come of age, and his 23 Disposals came at 83% Efficiency. He is more of an outside player, but did take 8 Marks and laid 5 Tackles, to be one of the Dockers best.
3 Votes (Fremantle) David Mundy (3)
When Mundy is up and running, the Dockers play well, and in this match, his 25 Disposals helped set up play at 88% Efficiency. Also got the football out of congestion with 7 Clearances and had a big impact on the outcome of the match.
Melbourne vs Richmond
Melbourne 8.4 52 – Richmond 12.7 79
(Richmond by 27 Points)
Vote Chances
Noah Balta – 20 Disposals, 8 Marks, 7 Rebound 50s and 10 Intercept Possessions
Christian Petracca – 27 Disposals (85% Efficiency), 5 Inside 50s and 7 Score Involvements
Michael Hibberd – 25 Disposals, 5 Marks and 8 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Melbourne) Max Gawn (5)
Another solid game in the ruck despite the loss and Gawn amassed 33 Hit-outs. 22 Disposals for a ruckman, 6 Tackles and 5 Clearances, and his impact cannot be denied. Should poll in the match, but there were other strong contributors.
2 Votes (Richmond) Jack Higgins (2)
Good to see Higgins back and he had an impact in this match with his 19 Disposals coming at 84% Efficiency. Also had 8 Score Involvements, kicked a goal and read the play well with 8 Intercept Possessions.
3 Votes (Richmond) Kane Lambert (3)
Lambert stepped up in this clash and racked up 27 Disposals with an 89% Efficiency rating. 5 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements and 3 Goals throughout the contest. Covered the ground well and is the favourite for the three votes in this clash.
GWS vs Hawthorn
GWS 13.5 83 – Hawthorn 7.7 49
(GWS by 34 Points)
Vote Chances
Jeremy Finlayson – 11 Disposals, 5 Marks and 4 Goals
Lachie Whitfield – 28 Disposals and 10 Marks
Harrison Himmelberg – 9 Disposals, 6 Tackles and 4 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Harry Perryman (6)
Perryman has had a solid start to the season and was again influential in this contest. He racked up 28 Disposals and 10 Marks throughout the match. Read the play well with 7 Intercept Possessions and lent a helping hand down back with 5 Rebound 50s.
2 Votes (GWS) Josh Kelly (2)
Kelly knows how to get the football and is an efficient user of the footy. His 30 Disposals came at 80% Efficiency, and he was used as a link-up player to setup play on numerous occasions with 12 Marks. Should feature in the votes in this match.
3 Votes (GWS) Nick Haynes (4)
Haynes was huge down back in this clash and racked up 11 Marks and 7 Rebound 50s. Another good user of the football, Haynes racked up 21 Disposals at 81% Efficiency and read the play well with 6 Intercept Possessions. It was a challenging game to split the votes, but Haynes is a chance for the three.
Round 5 – Leaderboard
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | 14 |
| Matt Rowell | 9 |
| Chad Wingard | 8 |
| Travis Boak | 8 |
| Patrick Cripps | 7 |
| Brodie Grundy | 7 |
| Scott Pendlebury | 6 |
| Dylan Shiel | 6 |
| Harry Perryman | 6 |
| Issac Heeney | 6 |
Be sure to check back next week for Round 6 of the 2020 Brownlow Medal Predictor.
For the projected votes from previous rounds, click the links below.