Who Gets the Votes? Brownlow Predictions, Round 16
Round 16 is complete and the conclusion of an unprecedented AFL Season is drawing near. One of the significant results in Round 16 was the Geelong Cats defeating the Essendon Bombers by 66 points, in what many believe are now the new flag favourites.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 16 of the 2020 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2020 AFL Season for an in-depth look at the some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
North Melbourne 6.6 42 – Port Adelaide 11.12 78
(Port Adelaide by 36 Points)
Vote Chances
Luke Davies-Uniacke – 23 Disposals (16 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements and 6 Intercept Possessions
Tom Rockliff – 30 Disposals, 9 Tackles and 5 Score Involvements
Darcy Byrne-Jones – 20 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements and 6 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Sam Powell Pepper (2)
One of the hardest workers on the ground, Powell-Pepper had a significant impact in this match. His 18 Disposals came at 83% Efficiency, and he racked up 8 Score Involvements and booted a goal. Also, put the ball Inside 50 5 times, to be a real chance to poll in the win.
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (11)
Another solid game in the middle for Wines, with 12 of his 30 Disposals being contested. Also racked up 7 Clearances to be one of the more influential players in the middle of the ground. His work resulted in productivity on the forward half with 6 Score Involvements, 2 Goals and put the ball Inside 50 5 times to be one of the standouts.
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (19)
Boak is one of the challengers in this year’s count, and the Brownlow Medal Predictor for 2020 has him outright second on 19 Votes. He amassed 34 Disposals at an elite 85% efficiency in the win. Also had 9 Clearances, put the ball Inside 50 on 7 occasions and had 8 Score Involvements, to go with a goal. The definite favourite for maximum votes in the win.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
St Kilda 11.14 80 – Hawthorn 9.12 66
(St Kilda by 14 Points)
Vote Chances
Jack Steele – 21 Disposals, 4 Clearances, 6 Tackles, 6 Score Involvements and 1 Goal
Brad Hill – 22 Disposals, 484 Metres Gained, 5 Marks and 7 Score Involvements
Nick Coffield – 21 Disposals (95% Efficiency), 11 Marks and 6 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Rowan Marshall (8)
Marshall played a significant amount of the match up forward and proved that he can play up there. Just the 14 Disposals, but took 8 Marks including 2 Contested, in a solid showing. Also had 6 Score Involvements and booted 2 Goals to stake a claim for votes.
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Chad Wingard (10)
Wingard was dangerous for the majority of the contest in this match and was good defensively with 8 Tackles. Ended up with 20 Disposals, 6 Inside 50s and 8 Score Involvements, to have an impact in the loss. Was a challenging game to split the votes, but if a Hawk gets any, it will probably be Wingard.
3 Votes (St Kilda) Seb Ross (3)
Seb Ross delivered in this clash and showed some form, which resembled that of previous years. 11 of his 23 Disposals were contested, and he racked up 8 Clearances throughout the match. Also, put the ball Inside 50 7 Times for the Saints, to go with 7 Score Involvements and should poll votes, in a tough one to separate.
Geelong vs Essendon
Geelong 17.6 108 – Essendon 5.12 42
(Geelong by 66 Points)
Vote Chances
Tom Stewart – 24 Disposals, 10 Marks and 8 Rebound 50s
Mitch Duncan – 19 Disposals, 7 Marks and 5 Inside 50s
Gryan Miers – 15 Disposals, 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Patrick Dangerfield (13)
Dangerfield had an impact in this game and history from previous counts would show that when he has an impact, he polls votes. Just the 17 Disposals, but 12 were Contested, and he racked up 6 Score Involvements and booted 2 Goals. 4 of his 6 Marks were contested and noticeable. That should be enough to feature in the votes.
2 Votes (Geelong) Tom Hawkins (11)
Hawkins is having one of his best seasons and has been the best forward in the AFL this season. He was at it again in this clash and provided the Bombers defenders with a lot of headaches. 3 of his 8 Marks were Contested, and he racked up 9 Score Involvements and booted 4 Goals. Was under pressure a lot during the match with 12 of his 17 Disposals being contested, and may get all three votes.
3 Votes (Geelong) Sam Menegola (7)
Menegola bought his own footy in this clash and tallied 30 Disposals, including 12 Contested. Usually an outside type midfielder, he did some of the hard work in this clash with 8 Clearances. Also had 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements and booted a couple of goals, in a best on ground effort.
Western Bulldogs vs West Coast
W.Bulldogs 6.13 49 – West Coast 7.5 47
(W.Bulldogs by 2 Points)
Vote Chances
Lachie Hunter – 24 Disposals, 4 Tackles, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 471 Metres Gained
Toby Mclean – 20 Disposals, 9 Tackles and 8 Score Involvements
Tom Liberatore – 21 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s and 6 Score Involvements
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (14)
The Dogs only won by a couple of points, but it was hard to find an Eagle that stood out in this match. Macrae was influential in the middle for the majority of the match and racked up 29 Disposals. Also had 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s and should poll votes, but there is some competition in a tough game to split the minor votes.
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (12)
Bontempelli is a player that can have an impact in a matter of seconds and did important things at the right time to make a difference in the contest. Just the 21 Disposals in this game, but had 7 Score Involvements and kicked a vital goal right at the dying stages. Always stands out with the distinctive left foot boot, and should poll in the narrow win.
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Josh Dunkley (3)
Dunkley was the most consistent performer in this clash and was on from the first bounce. 12 of his 22 Disposals were contested and was very good without the football with 9 Tackles. Also had 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements and booted a goal, to be a favourite for best on ground honours.
Melbourne vs Fremantle
Melbourne 4.9 33 – Fremantle 6.11 47
(Fremantle by 14 Points)
Vote Chances
Christian Petracca – 25 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Tackles and 8 Intercept Possessions
Nat Fyfe – 21 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Clearances and 7 Score Involvements
Michael Walters – 11 Disposals, 4 Tackles and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) David Mundy (8)
The Dockers veteran was excellent in the wet in this clash and did a lot of the hard work with 16 of his 20 Disposals being contested hardball. Managed to rack up 7 Clearances, and was good without the football with 7 Tackles. Mundy makes good quick decisions and should poll in this match.
2 Votes (Melbourne) Jack Viney (8)
The Demons had a poor night, but the work ethic of Viney in the middle of the ground was second to none. 20 of his 27 Disposals were contested, and he racked up 513 metres gained throughout the contest. Wet weather suits the tough inside style of Viney, and he managed 7 Clearances and put the ball Inside 50 on 8 occasions. Also had 5 Tackles and 7 Intercept Possessions, to be one of the best players out there.
3 Votes (Fremantle) Adam Cerra (4)
This was one of the best games of the season for Cerra, and he kept getting the football. Ended up with 30 Disposals and covered the ground well for the majority of the match. His ball use helped create scoring chances with 7 Score Involvements and managed to score a goal, in a possible best on ground effort.
Adelaide vs GWS
Adelaide 8.11 59 – GWS 7.5 47
(Adelaide by 12 Points)
Vote Chances
Reilly O’Brien – 13 Disposals, 43 Hit-outs and 5 Inside 50s
Brad Crouch – 31 Disposals (13 Contested), 4 Marks and 4 Clearances
Lachie Whitfield – 29 Disposals, 5 Marks, 7 Tackles, 8 Rebound 50s and 533 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Adelaide) Shane McAdam (1)
McAdam was lively for the majority of the match in this clash and provided a spark up forward. 3 of his 7 Marks were Contested, and he managed 6 Score Involvements and booted 2 Goals, to have an influence on the result. Just the 14 Disposals, but laid 5 Tackles and is a decent chance to poll a vote in the win.
2 Votes (Adelaide) Matt Crouch (5)
Crouch has had a pretty good second half of the year and was again one of the Crows best. Racked up 27 Disposals and booted a goal throughout the contest, but it was his defensive pressure that may get noticed with 12 Tackles, and should poll votes in another Crows win.
3 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (6)
Another Crow that has lifted in the second half of the year, Laird racked up 28 Disposals with a massive 18 of those being contested. He does look comfortable in the middle of the ground and may play there more often in the future. He racked up 11 Clearances and 9 Tackles, to be the favourite for maximum votes in the win.
Carlton vs Sydney
Carlton 8.9 57 – Sydney 8.4 52
(Carlton by 5 Points)
Vote Chances
Jacob Weitering – 16 Disposals, 12 Marks and 8 Intercept Possessions
Jake Lloyd – 24 Disposals and 6 Rebound 50s
Oliver Florent – 15 Disposals, 4 Tackles and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Sam Petrevski-Seton (1)
Was solid in the back half for the majority of the contest and racked up 22 Disposals including 18 Kicks. He read the play well with 8 Intercept Possessions and 6 Marks, and helped the Blues get the ball out of the back half consistently in this match.
2 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (14)
Cripps was again solid in this clash, and it was hard to separate the votes. Cripps racked up 17 Disposals in which 10 were contested and used the footy at 82% Efficiency. Was very good without the football with 7 Tackles, and had 5 Clearances and booted a goal, to yet again be a chance at voting in the Blues win.
3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (8)
Walsh is having an excellent finish to the year and was once again one of the Blues best. 20 of his 25 Disposals were Kicks, and he used the footy at 84% Efficiency throughout the contest. Also made good decisions with the football and kept the ball moving forward with 6 Inside 50s and 600 metres gained. His running power got him open with 9 Marks, and racked up a massive 10 Score Involvements and a goal, to be the favourite for the maximum votes in the win.
Brisbane vs Gold Coast
Brisbane 13.10 88 – Gold Coast 6.7 43
(Brisbane by 45 Points)
Vote Chances
Hugh McCluggage – 28 Disposals, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 1 Goal
Brandon Ellis – 25 Disposals, 6 Marks and 8 Inside 50s
Hugh Greenwood – 25 Disposals (18 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Tackles and 6 Intercept Possessions
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Charlie Cameron (3)
Cameron was dangerous all match up forward and racked up 15 Disposals mainly on the offensive half. Was good at applying forward pressure with 5 Tackles and put the ball inside 50 on three occasions. 2 of his 7 Marks were contested, and he racked up 8 Score Involvements and booted 2 Goals, in a solid show up forward.
2 Votes (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (8)
The Captain had a great match and covered the ground well with 25 Disposals, and 510 metres gained. Also had 6 Rebound 50s which is rare for a midfielder, and laid four tackles throughout the match. His running power got him free on many occasions with 9 Marks, and went forward to boot a goal in a solid overall game.
3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (26)
These may be the votes that seal Neale the Brownlow Medal, and he was again the Lions best player. 19 of his 33 Disposals were Contested, and he read the play well with 9 Intercept Possessions. Also had 6 Clearances and 7 Inside 50s, and may have a large enough lead to win the medal at the conclusion of Round 16.
Leaderboard – Round 16
| Lachie Neale | 26 |
| Travis Boak | 19 |
| Christian Petracca | 17 |
| Jack Steele | 16 |
| Zach Merrett | 15 |
| Patrick Cripps | 14 |
| Jack Macrae | 14 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | 13 |
| Cam Guthrie | 13 |
| Nic Naitanui | 13 |