The second game of three for Saturday AFL and we head to Adelaide for the matchup between the Adelaide Crows and the Richmond Tigers.
A month ago, most would have had this one pencilled in for a Tigers win, but the Crows have won three on the trot and look dangerous to finish the season. The Tigers will come to play in this one, to secure the double chance and a top four finish.
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Adelaide Crows vs Richmond Tigers
Last Meeting
Round 13 2020, Adelaide 15.11 101 – Richmond 9.14 68
(Adelaide by 33 Points)
Last 5 Meetings
Adelaide – 3 Wins
Richmond – 2 Wins
Last Round
The Crows are on a three-game winning streak and were too good for Carlton in Round 17, to win the match by 16 Points.
The Tigers had the answers against the Cats in what many believe are the two best sides. It was a scrappy affair, but the Tigers were too good and won the match by 26 Points.
Team Changes
The Crows have made three changes for this clash, with Jordan Butts and Billy Frampton getting dropped, and Bryce Gibbs has retired. Coming into the team is David Mackay, Daniel Talia and Taylor Walker.
The Tigers have lost a few crucial players for this clash, to injury including Shai Bolton, Ivan Soldo and Tom Lynch. Oleg Markov has been omitted from the team. Coming into the side is David Astbury, Josh Caddy, Mabior Chol and Shane Edwards.
Prediction
Wet conditions are expected for this clash and the Tigers have the best wet weather record in the AFL over the last few seasons. They are missing some key players, but one thing that the Tigers have proven in recent seasons is that they have depth and can adapt when players get injured. The Crows will have a crack at home in this clash, but the Tigers have too much to play for and need the win for a top four finish.
Our Pick – Richmond (Win)
Player Prop – Bachar Houli + 65.5 Fantasy Points
Has been out of form in the last few weeks, but the Tigers will want him to start hitting form before the finals . Houli is an elite user of the football from the back-half, and has a season average of 72. Always steps up in must-win games and should cover this number comfortably.
Player Prop – Dustin Martin + 74.5 Fantasy Points
In his last 4 matches, Martin is averaging 73 Fantasy Points per game, but that includes a 28 against the Dockers. In a match, the Tigers need to win, Martin should step up and has an average of 124 in his past three games against the Crows.