Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 14 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 14 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 14 2022

Richmond vs Carlton

Richmond 11.15 81 – Carlton 9.12 66

(Richmond by 15 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Graham – 19 Disposals (12 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 41 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Liam Baker – 27 Disposals (20 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 6 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 468 Metres Gained

Sam Walsh – 34 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 31 Pressure Acts and 520 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Richmond) Jayden Short (7)

25 Disposals (15 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 16 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts, 989 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Docherty (9)

31 Disposals (22 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 748 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Richmond) Dion Prestia (8) ⭐⭐

33 Disposals (22 Effective and 19 Contested), 13 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 423 Metres Gained

Note – The Tigers got the early jump on the Blues and managed to lead the game from start to finish in a big win at the MCG.

Dion Prestia had an effective first term and was in and around the action for most of the contest in a solid effort in the middle. Prestia had a stack of disposals and racked up a massive 13 clearances in an impressive showing.

Jayden Short and Liam Baker were impressive for most of the night, whilst Jack Graham applied a lot of pressure on the Carlton Mids.

Sam Docherty played a big part in the Blue’s comeback in the second half, whilst Sam Walsh racked up a heap of the footy, but Prestia was probably the best and most consistent player on the ground.


St Kilda vs Essendon

St Kilda 11.6 72 – Essendon 15.17 107

(Essendon by 35 Points)

Vote Chances

Jade Gresham – 28 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 524 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Nick Hind – 25 Disposals (20 Effective and 10 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 571 Metres Gained

Dylan Shiel – 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 409 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Jake Stringer (1)

16 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Marks, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Essendon) Peter Wright (5)

14 Disposals (12 Effective), 8 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 12 Score Involvements, 7 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 3 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

3 Votes (Essendon) Mason Redman (4)

31 Disposals (29 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements and 7 Ground Ball Gets

Note – The Bombers got the upset win over the Saints, and Bombers supporters will be wondering where that type of footy has been all season.

The Bombers had many contributors in the win, but Mason Redman was one of the standouts and used the football at an elite 94% efficiency to be one of the best players on the ground.

Peter Wright gave the Saints defenders a heap of headaches and booted four goals, whilst Jake Stringer had a huge third term which destroyed any chance of the Saints getting back into the game.

Tough to split the votes in this one, but Mason Redman will be one of the front runners for the maximum votes.


Port Adelaide vs Sydney

Port Adelaide 12.10 82 – Sydney 8.11 59

(Port Adelaide by 23 Points)

Vote Chances

Isaac Heeney – 16 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

Luke Parker – 26 Disposals (14 Contested), 10 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 23 Pressure Acts

Callum Mills – 27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks, 8 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 573 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Todd Marshall (4)

14 Disposals, 8 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (7)

29 Disposals (23 Effective), 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 399 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (10)

34 Disposals (27 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 10 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 499 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Power got the home win against the Swans and kept their finals hopes alive.

2021 Brownlow Medal Winner Ollie Wines played a solid match in the middle, but Connor Rozee and Todd Marshall had a significant impact throughout the day, and it will be tough to split the three.

Isaac Heeney also stepped up for the Swans and booted four goals, but Ollie Wines racked up the votes last season, and he will be a front runner for the top votes in this clash.


West Coast vs Geelong

West Coast 9.9 63 – Geelong 12.9 81

(Geelong by 18 Points)

Vote Chances

Tom Barrass – 18 Disposals (16 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (6 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters and 5 Spoils

Jack Redden – 24 Disposals (16 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 29 Pressure Acts

Tom Hawkins – 10 Disposals, 5 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Joel Selwood (2)

24 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (4)

17 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 One Percenters and 5 Spoils

3 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (8)

25 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Tackles and  27 Pressure Acts

Note – The Eagles were more competitive at home in this clash and gave the Cats a scare, but the experienced Cats side were too good in the end.

This will be a challenging game to split the votes, as there were no significant standouts, but Cam Guthrie racked up a decent amount of football and had 13 tackles to be one of the best out there.

Cats veterans Mark Blicavs, Tom Hawkins and Joel Selwood, stepped up when the Eagles challenged, whilst Tom Barrass and Jack Redden had good games for the Eagles.


GWS vs Western Bulldogs

GWS 16.9 105 – Western Bulldogs 19.11 125

(Western Bulldogs by 20 Points)

Vote Chances

Tim English – 23 Disposals (18 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 10 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Hit-outs to advantage and 354 Metres Gained

Marcus Bontempelli – 28 Disposals (20 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 512 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Tom Liberatore – 26 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Aaron Naughton (3)

10 Disposals, 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 10 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (5)

37 Disposals (28 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 25 Pressure Acts, 577 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (GWS) Toby Greene (5) ⭐⭐

21 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 8 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 622 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 7 Goals

Note – It was an entertaining high-scoring contest on a Saturday Night, and the Bulldogs were too good for the Giants despite seven goals from star Giants forward Toby Greene.

Greene was the best player on the ground, but the Giants lost the match, and Jack Macrae played one of his best games of the season.

Bulldogs forwards Aaron Naughton and Cody Weightman booted five goals each, whilst Tim English won the ruck battle and Tom Liberatore and Marcus Bontempelli had an impact in the middle for the Dogs.

Seven goals from Toby Greene should be enough to snag the three votes, despite the loss, but Macrae was excellent.


Gold Coast vs Adelaide

Gold Coast 18.8 116 – Adelaide 10.13 73

(Gold Coast by 43 Points)

Vote Chances

Matt Rowell – 19 Disposals (14 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles and 40 Pressure Acts

Rory Laird – 42 Disposals (34 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 6 Tackles

Jordan Dawson – 32 Disposals (23 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 10 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 714 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Izak Rankine (3)

17 Disposals, 5 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Ben Ainsworth (2)

20 Disposals (15 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 12 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (6)

28 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 816 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Suns were challenged early but pulled away from the Crows in the second quarter and won the match by a comfortable margin.

The Suns won the match on the back of a solid team effort, and this will be a match where the votes are once again tough to split.

Suns midfielder Noah Anderson will lead the charge as he racked up a massive number of metres gained and put the ball inside 50 on many occasions.

Ben Ainsworth and Izak Rankine were busy up forward for the Suns and had a clear impact, but the votes could go several ways, and Rory Laird racked up 42 possessions for the Crows.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 14

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale23
Andrew Brayshaw21
Clayton Oliver21
Patrick Cripps18
Christian Petracca15
Darcy Parish13
Jeremy Cameron12
Touk Miller12
Callum Mills12
Sam Walsh11
Jack Crisp11

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13