Bronwlow Medal Predictor, Round 15 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 15 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Bronwlow Medal Predictor, Round 15 2022

Melbourne vs Brisbane

Melbourne 16.21 117 – Brisbane 7.11 53

(Melbourne by 64 Points)

Vote Chances

Luke Jackson – 21 Disposals (15 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 9 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Christian Petracca – 31 Disposals (14 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 797 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Angus Brayshaw – 29 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 464 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Jake Lever (1)

20 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 15 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (8 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 One Percenters and 8 Spoils

2 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (23)

35 Disposals (26 Effective and 21 Contested), 12 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 18 Ground Ball Gets, 446 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

3 Votes (Melbourne) Jack Viney (6)

34 Disposals (21 Effective and 19 Contested), 8 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 34 Pressure Acts, 579 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Lions got the early jump on the Demons, but the Dees pulled it together in the second term and ended up winning the match by a comfortable margin.

A tough match to split the votes with the Demons having several solid contributors, but Jack Viney will be one of the front runners for the top votes with a solid in and under match in the middle of the ground. Viney racked up a lot of contested football and played a consistent four-quarters of footy.

Clayton Oliver had a good match in the middle of the ground for the Dees, whilst defender Jake Lever made it very tough for the Lions forwards to impact the game and racked up 8 intercept marks.

Demons ruckman Luke Jackson had some impressive moments and stood up in the absence of Max Gawn. Still, his opponent Oscar McInerney racked up 12 clearances in the match and was one of the better Lions on the ground. However, Jackson is still a decent chance to poll as his impact was significant, and a post-match ground interview will not hurt his chances.


Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn

Western Bulldogs 19.11 125 – Hawthorn 12.11 83

(Western Bulldogs by 42 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Macrae – 31 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 417 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Josh Dunkley – 27 Disposals (21 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 22 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

Jack Scrimshaw – 26 Disposals (23 Effective and 10 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (7 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Rhylee West (1)

19 Disposals (12 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 3 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (5)

30 Disposals (23 Effective and 16 Contested), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 439 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (8)

27 Disposals (18 Effective and 12 Contested), 8 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts, 521 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Note – The Bulldogs took a while to get going in their match against the Hawks, but dominated the second half and came away with a healthy victory.

Bulldogs midfielders Marcus Bontempelli and Tom Liberatore were the two standouts in the match, and got a lot of support from Josh Dunkley and Jack Macrae throughout the win.

A tough match to split the order of the votes, but Bontempelli and Liberatore will be the leading contenders for the top votes with a solid impact in the middle, and Rhylee West played a decent game and snagged 3 goals.


West Coast vs Essendon

West Coast 16.11 107 – Essendon 14.13 97

(West Coast by 10 Points)

Vote Chances

Peter Wright – 13 Disposals, 8 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 12 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

Dylan Shiel – 26 Disposals (21 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Zach Merrett – 28 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 498 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (West Coast) Willie Rioli (3)

19 Disposals (14 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

2 Votes (West Coast) Jamie Cripps (2)

15 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 3 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 26 Pressure Acts, 474 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

3 Votes (West Coast) Josh Kennedy (3) ⭐⭐

12 Disposals, 5 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

Note – The Eagles finally got another win, and it was their veteran forward that stood up when the match was up for grabs.

Josh Kennedy marked the football in dangerous positions and booted 2 crucial goals in the final term to be the X-Factor in the match.

West Coast small forward Jamie Cripps had an impact and booted 3 goals to go along with 11 score involvements, whilst Willie Rioli was dangerous on the forward half and also booted 3 goals.

A challenging game to split the minor votes, and Bombers forward Peter Wright was good early, but Josh Kennedy will be tough to beat for the maximum votes in the Eagle’s victory.


Carlton vs Fremantle

Carlton 12.9 81 – Fremantle 7.8 50

(Carlton by 31 Points)

Vote Chances

Charlie Curnow – 10 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

Matthew Kennedy – 25 Disposals (21 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 24 Pressure Acts

Will Brodie – 36 Disposals (26 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 409 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) George Hewett (3)

27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Carlton) Zac Fisher (2)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 7 Marks, 3 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 389 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (14) ⭐⭐⭐

40 Disposals (34 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts and 543 Metres Gained

Note – The Blues were too good for the Dockers at Marvel Stadium, and Sam Walsh stood out with a massive 40 disposals at an 85% efficiency rate. Walsh seemed everywhere and will be tough to beat for the highest votes in this match.

The minor votes could go several ways, but the ball use of Zac Fisher was noticeable, and he racked up plenty of the football for the Blues. In addition, midfielders George Hewett and Matthew Kennedy were busy throughout the day, and Charlie Curnow booted 4 goals.

Will Brodie tried hard all day for Fremantle and was their best player, but Sam Walsh should get the top votes in the Blue’s win.


Geelong vs Richmond

Geelong 13.11 89 – Richmond 13.8 86

(Geelong by 3 Points)

Vote Chances

Cam Guthrie – 28 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 8 Ground Ball Gets

Nick Vlastuin – 24 Disposals (23 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 4 Tackles, 478 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Toby Nankervis – 22 Disposals (15 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 Tackles and 16 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Tyson Stengle (1)

18 Disposals (12 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 409 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Richmond) Liam Baker (7)

24 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 479 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Stewart (10)

29 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 17 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 9 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 737 Metres Gained

Note – It was a cracking football game, and the Cats came away with the narrow win that went right until the final siren.

A tough match to split the votes, but Cats defender Tom Stewart racked up a massive 17 intercept possessions in the win and had a significant last term to help get the Cats the win.

Tyson Stengle was an X-Factor up forward for the Cats in the closing stages, whilst Cam Guthrie, Mitch Duncan and Tom Atkins played important roles in the win.

Liam Baker was one of the best for the Tigers and continues his impressive form, whilst Nick Vlastuin was solid down back, and Toby Nankervis had an impact in the ruck.

The votes could go several ways in this clash, and hard to be confident giving the top votes to a defender, but Stewart played a big role in the closing stages and had an excellent match.


Sydney vs St Kilda

Sydney 12.11 83 – St Kilda 4.8 32

(Sydney by 51 Points)

Vote Chances

Tom Hickey – 22 Disposals (18 Effective and 15 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters, 6 Spoils and 1 Goal

Oliver Florent – 27 Disposals (23 Effective), 12 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

Rowan Marshall – 23 Disposals (19 Effective and 12 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 15 Hit-outs to advantage

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Tom Papley (2)

19 Disposals (10 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Sydney) Nick Blakey (3)

31 Disposals (26 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 560 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

3 Votes (Sydney) Jake Lloyd (3) ⭐⭐

39 Disposals (33 Effective and 10 Contested), 10 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 480 Metres Gained

Note – The Swans had no trouble against the Saints and led from start to finish in a one-sided affair.

Swans defender Jake Lloyd racked up a heap of the football in the win and used the footy well to help set up teammates throughout the day.

Lloyd had plenty of support from Nick Blakey, who stood out with effective ball use and a heap of run and carry in the win.

Swans forward Tom Papley got better as the match went on, but the Swans won this match from their defence, and Jake Lloyd will be tough to beat for the top votes.


North Melbourne vs Adelaide

North Melbourne 8.10 58 – Adelaide 17.13 115

(Adelaide by 57 Points)

Vote Chances

Aaron Hall – 38 Disposals (27 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 1169 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Jordan Dawson – 29 Disposals (24 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 4 Tackles and 606 Metres Gained

Ben Keays – 30 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 627 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Adelaide) Darcy Fogarty (1)

20 Disposals (15 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 458 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

2 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (9)

34 Disposals (24 Effective and 22 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 11 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts and 15 Ground Ball Gets

3 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (11) ⭐⭐

12 Disposals, 7 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 346 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – The Crows were too good for the Kangaroos, and their big forward, Taylor Walker, stood out with 6 goals in the win. Walker presented well all day and was dangerous up forward for most of the contest.

Crows forward Darcy Fogarty was also dangerous up forward and booted 4 goals, whilst midfielders Rory Laird and Ben Keays continually won the contested football.

The Crows had several contributors, but a bag of goals from Taylor Walker will be tough to beat, and he is a decent chance at the top votes.


Collingwood vs GWS

Collingwood 11.22 88 – GWS 12.5 77

(Collingwood by 11 Points)

Vote Chances

Taylor Adams – 24 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 21 Pressure Acts

Brayden Maynard – 22 Disposals (19 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 526 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Scott Pendlebury – 19 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 10 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (GWS) Stephen Coniglio (8)

31 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 569 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Collingwood) Steele Sidebottom (2)

26 Disposals (18 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 471 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Collingwood) Darcy Cameron (6)

17 Disposals, 8 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Hit-outs to advantage and 2 Goals

Note – The Magpies dominated most of this match, but let the Giants stay in the game with wayward kicking for goal. The Pies managed to hang on, but the Giants came back in the final term to give them a scare.

A tough match to split the votes, but Magpies ruckman Darcy Cameron won the ruck battle and booted a couple of goals to be one of the favourites for the top votes.

Magpies veteran Steele Sidebottom was dangerous with the footy, whilst Brayden Maynard and Scott Pendlebury stood up in the back half for the Magpies.

The votes could go several ways in this clash with no real standouts, but Cameron gave the Pies mids first use of the football on several occasions and snagged a couple of goals.


Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast

Port Adelaide 13.15 93 – Gold Coast 13.13 91

(Port Adelaide by 2 Points)

Vote Chances

Dan Houston – 30 Disposals (28 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 403 Metres Gained

Charlie Dixon – 16 Disposals (15 Contested), 4 Marks (3 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Ben Ainsworth – 22 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 27 Pressure Acts, 469 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Jarrod Witts (5)

20 Disposals (18 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 One Percenters, 384 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (14)

30 Disposals (16 Contested), 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 31 Pressure Acts and 468 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (10)

24 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Note – The Power won a close one at home against the Suns, but the match will be tough to split, and a couple of Suns will challenge for the top votes.

Connor Rozee used the football well at crucial stages and was probably the Power’s best player, but Suns ruckman Jarrod Witts dominated the ruck, and Suns midfielder Touk Miller had a decent game in the middle.

The votes could go several ways in this clash, and it wouldn’t be surprising if the top votes go to a player in the losing side.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 15

Top 10

Name Projected Votes
Lachie Neale23
Clayton Oliver23
Andrew Brayshaw21
Patrick Cripps18
Christian Petracca15
Sam Walsh14
Touk Miller14
Darcy Parish13
Jeremy Cameron12
Callum Mills12

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14