Brownlow Predictor, Round 12 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 12 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Predictor, Round 12 2022

Western Bulldogs vs Geelong

Western Bulldogs 10.10 70 – Geelong 12.11 83

(Geelong by 13 Points)

Vote Chances

Marcus Bontempelli – 23 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 5 Tackles, 441 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Bailey Dale – 31 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 464 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Cam Guthrie – 24 Disposals (16 Effective), 6 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (4)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Marks, 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Pressure Acts, 685 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (3)

30 Disposals (23 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 3 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 549 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (12) ⭐⭐⭐

18 Disposals (14 Effective), 7 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 320 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 6 Goals

Note – The Cats got a fast start against the Bulldogs and led from start to finish, with a star forward standing out. Jeremy Cameron kicked three first-quarter goals and a total of six for the match.

Cameron was the most damaging player on the ground and proved a handful for Dogs defenders as all his marks were inside the forward fifty.

Mitch Duncan and Cam Guthrie had solid games for the Cats, whilst Tom Liberatore was the Bulldog’s best, but hard to go past Cameron for the maximum votes.


Adelaide vs West Coast

Adelaide 13.10 88 – West Coast 8.9 57

(Adelaide by 31 Points)

Vote Chances

Ben Keays – 29 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts, 411 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Tom Barrass – 18 Disposals (16 Effective), 14 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (6 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 10 One Percenters, 9 Spoils and 302 Metres Gained

Andrew Gaff – 30 Disposals (25 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (West Coast) Luke Shuey (1)

27 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 10 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 548 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (7)

33 Disposals (22 Effective and 17 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 30 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (8) ⭐⭐

22 Disposals (14 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 330 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

Note – The Crows beat the Eagles in Adelaide but were tested at times, and West Coast were more competitive than in previous weeks.

Crows forward Taylor Walker had a massive impact on the result up forward, marking the ball in dangerous positions, and helped set up several scoring chances.

Rory Laird continued his excellent form in the middle of the ground with a stack of the football and plenty of pressure on the opposition, whilst Ben Keays made another solid contribution in the middle for the Crows.

The Eagles were better in this match, with Luke Shuey and Andrew Gaff playing good games in the middle of the ground. Tom Barrass was solid on the back half, but it will be hard to beat Walker for the maximum votes.


Gold Coast vs North Melbourne

Gold Coast 15.19 109 – North Melbourne 7.5 47

(Gold Coast by 62 Points)

Vote Chances

Lachie Weller – 20 Disposals (18 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 5 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 802 Metres Gained

Izak Rankine – 16 Disposals (12 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 424 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Will Powell – 18 Disposals, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 8 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 585 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) David Swallow (4)

22 Disposals (16 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Matt Rowell (6)

25 Disposals (17 Contested and 16 Effective), 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 11 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 31 Pressure Acts, 594 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (12) ⭐⭐⭐

32 Disposals (22 Contested and 21 Effective), 5 Marks, 13 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 18 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 8 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 799 Metres Gained

Note – The Suns made easy work of the Kangaroos, and Touk Miller stood out with a lot of footy and a willingness to attack. Miller racked up a massive 13 clearances in this clash and will be very hard to beat for the top votes.

Matt Rowell provided plenty of support and pressure in the middle of the ground and should poll votes in this match, whilst there are several contenders for the single vote as the Suns had many contributors.


Melbourne vs Sydney

Melbourne 9.7 61 – Sydney 10.13 73

(Sydney by 12 Points)

Vote Chances

Errol Gulden – 17 Disposals (12 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

James Rowbottom – 16 Disposals (13 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 37 Pressure Acts, 381 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Paddy McCartin – 15 Disposals (12 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 10 One Percenters and 9 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Callum Mills (12)

26 Disposals (16 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles and 24 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (Sydney) Sam Reid (2)

16 Disposals (12 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters, 10 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Melbourne) Max Gawn (10) ⭐⭐

28 Disposals (23 Contested and 21 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (6 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Hit-outs to advantage and 3 Goals

Note – The Swans got the upset win against the Demons, but Demons ruckman Max Gawn was a clear best on the ground, despite the loss.

Gawn had 23 contested possessions and 6 contested marks in this clash and hit the scoreboard with 3 majors to be the favourite for the maximum votes.

The Swans won the match on the back of a solid team performance and applied a heap of pressure on the Dees. The two that led the way were Sam Reid, who was busy all night up forward, and Callum Mills led the Swans in disposals and tackles.

James Rowbottom and Luke Parker also had good games, as did Paddy McCartin down back, but Max Gawn will lead the charge for the maximum votes and played a fantastic match.


Hawthorn vs Collingwood

Hawthorn 10.8 68 – Collingwood 10.12 72

(Collingwood by 4 Points)

Vote Chances

Jai Newcombe – 23 Disposals (13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 12 Tackles, 35 Pressure Acts and 406 Metres Gained

Jack Crisp – 25 Disposals, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 27 Pressure Acts, 460 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Taylor Adams – 28 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 7 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts and 518 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Patrick Lipinski (4)

29 Disposals (16 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Collingwood) Nick Daicos (5)

36 Disposals (24 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 789 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Collingwood) Darcy Cameron (3)

26 Disposals (15 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 404 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – The Pies pinched a close match against the Hawks in a challenging game to split the votes with several contributors.

Magpies ruckman Darcy Cameron won a lot of contested footy and took a stack of intercept marks to have a noticeable impact on the result.

The ball use and decision-making of first-year player Nick Daicos stood out at times, and he racked up a heap of the football, whilst Patrick Lipinski had an impact in the middle of the ground.

A tough match to split the votes, but Cameron had a clear impact in the ruck for the Magpies and might be the front runner for the top votes.


Fremantle vs Brisbane

Fremantle 15.9 99 – Brisbane 13.7 85

(Fremantle by 14 Points)

Vote Chances

Will Brodie – 25 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 10 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 5 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Zac Bailey – 22 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

Daniel Rich – 32 Disposals (28 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 4 Tackles and 906 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Michael Frederick (1)

18 Disposals (16 Effective), 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 19 Pressure Acts, 411 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Caleb Serong (2)

31 Disposals (26 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Fremante) Andrew Brayshaw (19) ⭐⭐⭐

39 Disposals (24 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Dockers stood up in another massive test against a top side, and they got the win at home by a small margin.

Andrew Brayshaw continued his excellent season and was a clear best on the ground with heaps of the football and a stack of clearances.

Caleb Serong and Will Brodie were busy in the middle of the ground, whilst the pace of Dockers small forward Michael Frederick stood out, and he found himself with plenty of space and snagged three goals.

Zac Bailey stood up for the Lions and booted four goals, whilst Daniel Rich hit targets with his left foot for most of the day.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 12

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale21
Andrew Brayshaw19
Clayton Oliver18
Patrick Cripps17
Christian Petracca15
Darcy Parish13
Jeremy Cameron12
Touk Miller12
Callum Mills12
Sam Walsh11
Jack Crisp11

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11