Brownlow Predictor, Round 4 2020

Brownlow Predictor, Round 4 2020

Four rounds into the 2020 AFL Season and we have a surprise AFL Team sitting second on the AFL Ladder. The Gold Coast Suns have the number one draft pick, and he is playing like a seasoned AFL Veteran in his first few AFL Games. Matt Rowell could potentially already have 9 Brownlow Votes after 3 consecutive best on ground performances.

The Power have also had a hot start to the season with a massive percentage of 236.3%, and look hard to beat right now.

Let’s get into the projected Brownlow Medal Votes for Round 4 of the 2020 AFL Season.

Be sure to check back each week of the 2020 AFL Season for an in-depth look at the some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.

Round by Round analysis for the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.


Brownlow Predictor Round 4 2020

Sydney vs Western Bulldogs

Sydney 5.9 39 – Western Bulldogs 10.7 67

(Western Bulldogs by 28 Points)

Vote Chances

Bailey Smith – 20 Disposals and 4 Clearances

Luke Parker – 25 Disposals (16 Contested), 9 Clearances and 4 Inside 50s

Josh Kennedy – 19 Disposals, 8 Tackles, 7 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Tom Papley

Not a lot of the football with just the 13 Disposals, but Papley was lively up forward for the Swans and booted 4 Goals. Also took 8 Marks including 6 Inside 50, and was involved in the scoring on 8 occasions.

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Tim English

English covered the ground well in this contest and ended up with 22 Disposals at 82% Efficiency.  He also booted a goal, took 6 Marks and put the ball Inside 50 on five occasions, to have a significant impact in the ruck.

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli

Bontempelli had a real impact in this game with 14 of his 19 Disposals being contested. He extracted the football on numerous occasions with 7 Clearances and applied pressure with 8 Tackles. When a gun midfielder kicks goals, they usually feature in the votes, and Bontempelli managed to boot 2 Goals in the win.


GWS vs Collingwood

GWS 10.6 66 – Collingwood 9.10 64

(GWS by 2 Points)

Vote Chances

Josh Kelly – 21 Disposals, 6 Tackles, 6 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

Lachie Whitfield – 24 Disposals, 6 Marks and 5 Inside 50s

Nick Haynes – 16 Disposals, 8 Marks and 10 Intercept Possessions

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Brodie Grundy

Grundy dominated the ruck with 47 Hit-outs. Got a lot of the footy with 14 of his 19 Disposals being contested. He was also a reliable marking target and presented well all night with 5 Marks, including 2 Contested.

2 Votes (GWS) Toby Greene

The X-Factor in this clash and provided some much-needed scoring power for the Giants. Greene racked up 19 Disposals and looked dangerous in the forward line for the majority of the contest. Two of his 5 Marks were contested, and he had 6 Score Involvements and kicked 3 Goals.

3 Votes (Collingwood) Scott Pendlebury

Pendlebury was the most influential player on the ground with 17 of his 26 Disposals the contested hardball. He extracted the football from congestion with 7 Clearances and put the ball Inside 50 on seven occasions. Also had 6 Score Involvements, to be the best player on the ground arguably.


Port Adelaide vs West Coast

Port Adelaide 13.11 89 – West Coast 6.5 41

(Port Adelaide by 48 Points)

Vote Chances

Justin Westhoff – 13 Disposals, 8 Marks and 2 Goals

Travis Boak – 19 Disposals, 4 Clearances and 7 Score Involvements

Andrew Gaff – 27 Disposals, 4 Clearances and 6 Marks

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Brad Ebert

A solid performance against his former side, Ebert kicked a couple of goals and had 6 Score Involvements. Just the 16 Disposals, but his pressure was decent with 5 Tackles, and he put the ball Inside 50 on 5 occasions to have an impact.

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Hamish Hartlett

Hartlett had an impact on the defensive end and racked up 22 touches. Kept the ball moving forward with 515 metres gained and took 6 Marks. Also had 7 Score Involvements, and booted a goal in a solid performance. 

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Charlie Dixon

This was one of Dixons best games, and he was a clear best on the ground. Six of his 7 Marks were Contested, and he racked up 12 Score Involvements as part of his 15 Disposals, and booted 6 Goals. Should definitely get the three votes in this game.


St Kilda vs Richmond

St Kilda 15.3 93 – Richmond 10.7 67

(St Kilda by 26 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Billings – 25 Disposals, 5 Clearances and 5 Marks

Tim Membrey – 13 Disposals, 7 Marks, 7 Score Involvements and 3 Goals

Toby Nankervis – 17 Disposals (13 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Tackles and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Rowan Marshall

Went head to head with Nankervis and they both had good games. Marshall covered the ground well and had 15 Disposals, in which 10 were contested. Two out of his 4 Marks were contested, and he snuck up forward as a marking threat and kicked a couple of goals. 

2 Votes (St Kilda) Dan Butler

The most damaging forward on the ground, Butler came up big against his former side. Not a lot of the football with just the 14 Disposals, but racked up 7 Score Involvements and kicked 3 Goals, to have a significant impact on the outcome of this match.

3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele

Steele worked hard in the middle all day and was good without the football with 10 Tackles. Racked up 21 Disposals throughout the contest and was one of the more influential midfielders with 5 Clearances, to help set up the upset victory.


Essendon vs Carlton

Essendon 8.3 51 – Carlton 7.10 52

(Carlton by 1 Point)

Vote Chances

David Cunningham – 28 Disposals, 8 Marks, 6 Inside 50s and 7 Score Involvements

Michael Gibbons – 25 Disposals, 8 Marks and 5 Tackles

Adam Saad – 16 Disposals, 11 Intercept Possessions and 7 Rebound 50s

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Jordan Ridley

Ridley is fast becoming one of the best Bombers defenders and had a good day down back with his 18 Disposals coming at 94% Efficiency. He reads the play well down back and took 6 Marks. Also had 9 Intercept Possessions, to be one of the best defenders out there.

2 Votes (Carlton) Levi Casboult

Carlton pinched the win in a close one, and it was Casboult that made the most of his opportunities to score. Took a total of 9 Marks including 3 Contested, and 5 Inside 50, to provide the Bombers defenders with some headaches. Also booted 3 Goals, and should feature in the votes.

3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Docherty

Docherty sets up play from the defensive half, and this was one of his better games. 22 of his 32 Disposals were Kicks, and he used the football at an elite 91% Efficiency throughout the contest. Also racked up 8 Marks, 8 Rebound 50s and 9 Intercept Possessions in a classy display. Kept the ball moving forward on a regular occurrence in this clash with over 500 metres gained.


Gold Coast vs Fremantle

Gold Coast 10.4 64 – Fremantle 8.3 51

(Gold Coast by 13 Points)

Vote Chances

Brandon Ellis – 20 Disposals, 7 Marks and 6 Intercept Possessions

Jack Lukosius – 16 Disposals, 5 Marks and 1 Goal

Michael Walters – 15 Disposals, 4 Clearances and 2 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Jarrod Witts

Not a lot of the football in this clash, but Witts gave his midfielders first use of the football on a regular occurrence with 38 Hit-outs. Just the 12 Disposals, but 2 of his 5 Marks were contested, and he was involved in a Suns scoring procedure on six occasions. 

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller

Miller was again solid in the middle and made the most of his teammate’s good tap work with 7 Clearances. He was good without the football laying 6 Tackles and racked up 20 Disposals, including 13 Contested. Also was on the receiving end of five free kicks, which usually means a player was first to the football.

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Matt Rowell

In one of the most incredible starts to a football career in recent times, Rowell was again the best player on the ground. 12 of his 20 Disposals were contested, and he extracted the football on seven occasions. He managed to hit the scoreboard with a couple of goals, and laid 5 Tackles throughout the contest.


Brisbane vs Adelaide

Brisbane 10.23 83 – Adelaide 7.4 46

(Brisbane by 37 Points)

Vote Chances

Jarryd Lyons – 24 Disposals (13 Contested), 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s and 9 Score Involvements

Mitch Robinson – 17 Disposals (12 Contested), 5 Inside 50s and 7 Intercept Possessions

Lincoln McCarthy – 11 Disposals, 7 Score Involvements and 2 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Jarrod Berry

A solid game in the middle from Berry and he racked up 23 Disposals. Was very good without the football laying 10 Tackles, and helped the Lions create scoring chances with 9 Score Involvements. Should feature in the votes.

2 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage

Another solid game from McCluggage and he actually had six shots on goal, but only scored one. His 12 Score Involvements were noticeable as he put the ball Inside 50 on 7 occasions to be one of the best players out there. 13 of his 24 Disposals were also contested, and he is an excellent chance at polling in this game.

3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale

Neale also had six shots on goal, but unfortunately, he didn’t kick one. He was again the most significant contributor to the win, with 31 Possessions and a massive 13 Score Involvements. Seemed everywhere at stages and racked up 8 Marks and 7 Intercept Possessions, to more than likely get all three votes.


Melbourne vs Geelong

Melbourne 6.8 44 – Geelong 7.5 47

(Geelong by 3 Points)

Vote Chances

Sam Menegola – 25 Disposals, 10 Marks, 6 Inside 50s and 7 Score Involvements

Mitch Duncan – 19 Disposals, 9 Marks and 1 Goal

Clayton Oliver – 23 Disposals (13 Contested), 7 Clearances and 6 Tackles

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Max Gawn

A solid display in the ruck from Gawn with 33 Hit-outs and lots of taps to advantage. He covered the ground well with 17 Possessions, including 10 Contested, and also received 4 Free Kicks which won’t hurt his vote chances.

2 Votes (Geelong) Patrick Dangerfield

Dangerfield was again solid in this clash and may not have had as many disposals as others, but his impact was significant. 10 of his 22 Disposals were contested, and he put the ball Inside 50 on 5 occasions, and booted a goal. Generally polls in matches where he has an impact.

3 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie

Guthrie was probably the best player on the ground, and his 24 Disposals came at 88% Efficiency. Also racked up 10 Marks, kicked a goal and put the ball Inside 50, 4 times. Was used a lot to set up play with his elite ball use, and is a big chance for maximum votes here.


Hawthorn vs North Melbourne

Hawthorn 8.10 58 – North Melbourne 8.6 54

(Hawthorn by 4 Points)

Vote Chances

James Worpel – 24 Disposals and 9 Tackles

James Sicily – 18 Disposals, 11 Intercept Possessions and 4 Rebound 50s

Todd Goldstein – 18 Disposals (13 Contested), 9 Clearances and 30 Hit-outs

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell

The Hawks won a close one, and it was the impact of Mitchell in the middle of the ground that helped set up the victory. 13 of his 22 Disposals were contested, and he racked up 8 Clearances and 8 Tackles to have an impact in the match.

2 Votes (North Melbourne) Shaun Higgins

Higgins was probably the Kangaroos best player and racked up 30 Disposals, including 11 Contested. Also had 4 Clearances and 6 Score Involvements to help his team stay in the match.

3 Votes (Hawthorn) Chad Wingard

Only needs limited disposals to have an impact and on this occasion, he racked up 18 Disposals and 7 Score Involvements. Wingard was dangerous for the majority of the contest and managed to hit the scoreboard with 3 Goals. He was arguably the best player on the ground.

To see the projected votes for previous rounds of the 2020 Brownlow Medal Predictor, click the links below. 

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

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