Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 16 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 16 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 16 2022

Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs

Brisbane 16.12 108 – Western Bulldogs 9.13 67

(Brisbane by 41 Points)

Vote Chances

Harris Andrews – 16 Disposals (16 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 14 One Percenters and 11 Spoils

Jarrod Berry – 23 Disposals (14 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 27 Pressure Acts, 459 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Tom Liberatore – 33 Disposals (24 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Keidean Coleman (1)

24 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 551 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (25)

33 Disposals (24 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 35 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Brisbane) Charlie Cameron (3) ⭐⭐

12 Disposals (11 Effective), 4 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 5 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

Note – The Lions had no issues taking care of the Bulldogs, and their star forward Charlie Cameron was dangerous around the sticks for most of the contest. Cameron had a big third term, which helped the Lions pull away from the Bulldogs and set up a match-winning lead.

Lachie Neale was again busy in the middle of the ground and got better as the match went on, whilst the ball use of Keidean Coleman stood out, and his electrifying pace will catch the eye.

Tom Liberatore was the Bulldog’s best player and is a slim chance to poll votes in this match, but the Lions won the game comfortably in the end.


Carlton vs St Kilda

Carlton 10.18 78 – St Kilda 14.9 93

(St Kilda by 15 Points)

Vote Chances

Adam Saad – 25 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 10 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 456 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Sam Walsh – 33 Disposals (28 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets and 20 Pressure Acts

Rowan Marshall – 22 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 12 Marks (4 Contested), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 5 Ground Ball Gets

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Tim Membrey (1)

10 Disposals (10 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

2 Votes (St Kilda) Paddy Ryder (4)

11 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 6 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 15 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Sinclair (9) ⭐⭐⭐

37 Disposals (33 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters and 604 Metres Gained

Note – The Saints got the upset win against the Blues, and their defender Jack Sinclair stood out and racked up a lot of the football across halfback. Sinclair used the football well all match and made smart decisions to help the Saints attack.

Paddy Ryder had a busy night in the ruck and gave the Saints midfielders plenty of chances for first use of the football. Saints forward Tim Membrey was the leading goal scorer on the ground and made the most of his opportunities with 4 goals from just the 10 disposals.

Sinclair will be tough to beat for the maximum votes and had a noticeable impact in the win.


Essendon vs Sydney

Essendon 15.5 95 – Sydney 12.14 86

(Essendon by 9 Points)

Vote Chances

Dyson Heppell – 25 Disposals (21 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal

Mason Redman – 22 Disposals (19 Effective), 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

Luke Parker – 26 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 9 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Nick Hind (1)

25 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 682 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Sydney) Chad Warner (5)

25 Disposals (18 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 13 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 727 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (4) ⭐⭐

24 Disposals (17 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 418 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Note – The Bombers got the upset win against the Swans, and Zach Merrett had a noticeable impact in the last term when the match was up for grabs.

Chad Warner was probably the best player on the ground, but the Bombers got the upset win, and Merrett stood up in the closing stages to have a real impact.

The run and carry from Nick Hind also stood out in the Bomber’s win, and he is a decent shot at a vote in this match.


Adelaide vs Melbourne

Adelaide 10.5 65 – Melbourne 14.10 94

(Melbourne by 29 Points)

Vote Chances

Rory Laird – 32 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 560 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Ben Keays – 30 Disposals (22 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

Ed Langdon – 33 Disposals (25 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 532 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (24)

36 Disposals (25 Effective and 19 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 16 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 13 Tackles, 37 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

2 Votes (Adelaide) Jordan Dawson (5)

30 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 649 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (18) ⭐⭐⭐

33 Disposals (24 Effective and 20 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 17 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 451 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Note – The Demons were tested early against the Crows, but their two stars stepped up in this clash, and Christian Petracca was a clear best on ground. Petracca won a stack of contested football and hit the scoreboard for 3 goals in the win.

Adelaide defender Jordan Dawson had a noticeable impact in this clash with effective ball use and was a big reason the Crows were in the match at the half.

Clayton Oliver didn’t have a favourable kick-to-handball ratio in this clash with 26 handpasses. Still, he applied much pressure on the opposition and racked up plenty of footy in the win, as did wingman Ed Langdon.


Geelong vs North Melbourne

Geelong 21.18 144 – North Melbourne 5.2 32

(Geelong by 112 Points)

Vote Chances

Mitch Duncan – 30 Disposals (25 Effective), 14 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 439 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Mark Blicavs – 25 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Luke Davies-Uniacke – 36 Disposals (23 Effective and 18 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 426 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (9)

29 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 422 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (14)

30 Disposals, 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 404 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Hawkins (8) ⭐⭐

19 Disposals, 10 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 14 Score Involvements, 401 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 6 Goals

Note – The Cats were far too good for the Kangaroos on a Saturday Night in Geelong, and their two star forwards had a massive impact with 10 goals between them.

Tom Hawkins was dangerous for most of the night up forward and marked the footy in dangerous positions to boot 6 goals.

Jeremy Cameron chipped in with 4 goals, but a lot of his impact was when the match was done and dusted, and the Cats had a sizeable lead.

Cam Guthrie was one of the better midfielders on the ground, but hard to go past the two Cats forwards for the maximum votes in the mammoth win.


Gold Coast vs Collingwood

Gold Coast 8.14 62 – Collingwood 9.13 67

(Collingwood by 5 Points)

Vote Chances

Izak Rankine – 18 Disposals, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 4 Goals

Noah Anderson – 30 Disposals (15 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 612 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Darcy Moore – 13 Disposals (11 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 12 One Percenters and 9 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Josh Daicos (1)

19 Disposals (14 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 420 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (16)

31 Disposals (21 Effective and 18 Contested), 10 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 547 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Collingwood) Nick Daicos (8) ⭐⭐

37 Disposals (31 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 674 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Note – The Magpies got the win against the Suns, and it was the two Daicos boys that had a significant impact on the result.

Nick Daicos used the football efficiently all match and was willing to move the ball forward and get other teammates involved.

Josh Daicos booted 3 important goals in a low-scoring contest, whilst Darcy Moore was solid down back all match.

Touk Miller and Noah Anderson had an impact in the middle of the ground, but hard to go past Nick Daicos as his influence was noticeable.


Richmond vs West Coast

Richmond 20.8 128 – West Coast 13.15 93

(Richmond by 35 Points)

Vote Chances

Shai Bolton – 17 Disposals (13 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Liam Baker – 21 Disposals, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Jamie Cripps – 24 Disposals (15 Effective), 7 Marks, 11 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Pressure Acts, 637 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Richmond) Marlion Pickett (1)

25 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 463 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Richmond) Daniel Rioli (2)

28 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 565 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

3 Votes (West Coast) Tim Kelly (3)

40 Disposals (27 Effective and 17 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 516 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

Note – The Eagles hung around for extended periods in this clash, and Tim Kelly was the best player on the ground, but it is always harder to get the maximum votes in the losing side.

Daniel Rioli used the football at an elite level all match, and Marlion Pickett had a noticeable impact and hit the scoreboard with a couple of goals.

Tim Kelly racked up 40 disposals and booted a couple of goals, but the votes could go several ways in this clash as the Tigers won on the back of a solid team performance.


GWS vs Hawthorn

GWS 11.6 72 – Hawthorn 7.8 50

(GWS by 22 Points)

Vote Chances

Lachie Whitfield – 32 Disposals (25 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles and 16 Pressure Acts

Tim Taranto – 30 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 30 Pressure Acts, 544 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Tom Mitchell – 35 Disposals (18 Contested), 10 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 519 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (GWS) Josh Kelly (5)

30 Disposals (16 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (GWS) Callum M.Brown (2)

13 Disposals (10 Effective), 4 Marks (2 Contested), 7 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 18 Pressure Acts, 353 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

3 Votes (GWS) Jesse Hogan (3)

22 Disposals, 8 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Note – A wet scrappy contest makes it difficult for forwards to have a significant impact, but the Giants won against the Hawks, and a couple of their forwards stood out.

Jesse Hogan took 8 marks in the slippery conditions and was dangerous when GWS entered their forward fifty on many occasions.

Irishman Callum Brown was the X-Factor with 4 goals and helped the Giants pull away in the closing stages.

This match will be tough to split, but kicking goals and marking the footy in slippery conditions may stand out and be the difference in a lower-scoring game.


Fremantle vs Port Adelaide

Fremantle 15.9 99 – Port Adelaide 14.7 91

(Fremantle by 8 Points)

Vote Chances

Sean Darcy – 21 Disposals (17 Effective and 16 Contested), 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 Tackles and 15 Pressure Acts

James Aish – 29 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Jordan Clark – 29 Disposals (24 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 418 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Rory Lobb (3)

11 Disposals, 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (12)

39 Disposals (25 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 26 Pressure Acts

3 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (24)

27 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 11 Tackles, 45 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Note – The Dockers had a sizeable three-quarter-time lead, and Rory Lobb was probably the favourite for highest vote honours, but the Power came back in the final term and nearly pinched the match.

Lobb booted 5 goals for Freo and is a decent chance at polling, but the impact of a couple of midfielders in the closing stages has to be considered.

Ollie Wines finished the game with 39 disposals, including 12 in the last term, to give the Power a shot at the win.

Andrew Brayshaw may not have had his usual impact with the footy, but the Dockers were on the back foot in the final term, and Brayshaw stood up without the football. Brayshaw racked up 7 tackles in the last term, and a massive 45 pressure acts in this match, which showed his endurance and electrifying running power.

A tough match to split the votes, with many contenders, but the Dockers star stood up when it mattered.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 16

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale25
Andrew Brayshaw24
Clayton Oliver24
Patrick Cripps18
Christian Petracca18
Touk Miller16
Sam Walsh14
Jeremy Cameron14
Darcy Parish13
Ollie Wines12
Callum Mills12

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15