Brownlow Medal Predictions, Round 14 2021
Round 14 saw the last of the bye rounds with just the five matches, and the round ended with an impressive showing from one of the games more talented players.
Jake Stringer produced one of the best individual performances of the season in the Bombers win over the Hawks and gets our Lock of the Week.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 14 of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
Geelong 12.11 83 – Western Bulldogs 11.12 78
(Geelong by 5 Points)
The Cats and Dogs were at it on a Friday Night, and the Dogs looked like winners until a late Gary Rohan mark gave the Cats a shot at victory. Rohan was cool and calm and kicked the goal in front of a reduced home crowd, to give the Cats a five-point win.
Tom Stewart was a standout in this match on the Cats defensive half and racked up a heap of Intercept Marks and Intercept Possessions. Captain Joel Selwood was brilliant in the middle of the ground, as was Sam Menegola.
Issac Smith was important at stages, and Mark Blicavs continues to impress with a new role.
For the Bulldogs, Marcus Bontempelli again had a significant impact in the middle, as did the extractor, Tom Liberatore. Caleb Daniel was also excellent down back for the majority of the contest.
Vote Chances
Joel Selwood – 29 Disposals (22 Effective and 17 Contested), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 6 One Percenters, 510 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Sam Menegola – 27 Disposals (22 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 475 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Issac Smith – 30 Disposals (27 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Contested), 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 601 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (7)
30 Disposals (26 Effective and 20 Contested), 11 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 41 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (20)
30 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 39 Pressure Acts, 7 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 641 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Stewart (5) ⭐
27 Disposals (21 Effective), 15 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (10 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 9 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 697 Metres Gained
Note – There were up to four standouts in this clash, but the numbers that defender Tom Stewart produced are significantly high for a defender. He had a massive first half and kept intercepting the football, but he is a defender, and defenders don’t generally poll too well on medal night. Not confident picking a defender for the three, but Stewart had a noticeable impact in the match.
Gold Coast vs Port Adelaide
Gold Coast 4.7 31 – Port Adelaide 12.9 81
(Port Adelaide by 50 Points)
The Power made easy work of the Suns and dominated the first half. They made it tough for the Suns to score, and won by a comfortable margin.
Ollie Wines again racked up a lot of the football in this clash, and Steven Motlop was a standout in the first half.
Karl Amon and Willem Drew were busy for most of the contest, and Connor Rozee was lively up forward. Defender Allir Allir was rock solid down back and may very well feature in the votes.
Not many contributors at the Suns, but Touk Miller continues his fine form in what has been his most productive season.
Vote Chances
Touk Miller – 31 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts and 454 Metres Gained
Willem Drew – 27 Disposals (25 Effective and 16 Contested), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Karl Amon – 26 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles, 557 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Allir Allir (1)
20 Disposals (17 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 12 One Percenters and 8 Spoils
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Steven Motlop (2)
26 Disposals (20 Effective), 9 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (16) ⭐⭐
43 Disposals (29 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts, 699 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – Wines did rack up 43 Disposals, but 15 of those came in the last quarter when the game was done and dusted. When the game was up for grabs, Steven Motlop probably had the biggest impact and has polled three votes in matches in the past. They look to be the two front runners in the Powers easy win.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane
North Melbourne 6.9 45 – Brisbane 9.14 68
(Brisbane by 23 Points)
The Kangaroos hung around for extended periods in this contest, but the Lions were too good and pulled away in the final term.
Jarryd Lyons was again one of Brisbane’s best, racking up a lot of the football and applying a heap of pressure on the opposition.
2020 Brownlow Medal Winner Lachie Neale had an excellent match in the middle of the ground, whilst Zac Bailey continues to impress as he matures as a footballer. Hugh McCluggage racked a heap of possessions, and Lincoln McCarthy showed his worth up forward when the match was up for grabs.
For the Kangaroos, Jy Simpkin and Ben Cunnington were both busy in the middle of the ground, Luke Davies-Uniake impressed, and Jack Ziebell was his usual active self down back.
Vote Chances
Jack Ziebell – 32 Disposals (23 Effective), 13 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 12 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 5 Spoils and 770 Metres Gained
Hugh McCluggage – 31 Disposals (12 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 642 Metres Gained
Zac Bailey – 29 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (North Melbourne) Jy Simpkin (6)
31 Disposals (17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 581 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (16)
36 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 34 Pressure Acts and 540 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (6) ⭐⭐
30 Disposals (24 Effective and 19 Contested), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 38 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Note – Jarryd Lyons did win a lot of the football and applied a heap of pressure on the opposition, but a significant stat from previous top Brownlow Medal finishers has been score involvements, and he didn’t rack one up in this match. May very well get the three, but Lachie Neale’s disposals were more effective, and he racked up a heap more clearances as well as score involvements. It could go either way, but based on the key stats of past winners, Neale gets the nod here.
GWS vs Carlton
GWS 16.6 102 – Carlton 9.12 66
(GWS by 36 Points)
The Blues continued to struggle and were no match for the Giants on a Saturday evening.
On the back of a big match from Toby Greene, the Giants were too good and had several contributors.
Jacob Hopper and Tim Taranto were excellent in the middle of the ground, whilst Josh Kelly and Lachie Whitfield had their usual impact. Matt de Boer played one of his best games of the season, and Jeremy Finlayson booted five up forward.
No real standouts for the Blues, but Matthew Kennedy led the way with 27 Disposals.
Vote Chances
Jeremy Finlayson – 13 Disposals (12 Effective), 10 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
Lachie Whitfield – 26 Disposals (22 Effective), 10 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles, 629 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Matt de Boer – 16 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Tim Taranto (6)
24 Disposals (17 Effective), 11 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 12 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts and 433 Metres Gained
2 Votes (GWS) Jacob Hopper (4)
27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 11 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (GWS) Toby Greene (8) ⭐⭐
20 Disposals (14 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals
Note – Toby Greene polled better than projected in last years count, and these were the types of matches that netted him the maximum votes. A clear X-Factor up forward, Greene can take a contested mark and was involved in a GWS scoring procedure on a regular occurrence.
Hawthorn vs Essendon
Hawthorn 10.13 73 – Essendon 13.8 86
(Essendon by 13 Points)
A good game of footy to finish the round, and it was the Bombers that came out on top, but the Hawks were no pushover.
This was one of the best individual performances from a player all season, and Jake Stringer gets the Lock of the Week.
Stringer seemed everywhere in this clash and racked up a heap of significant stats, and hit the scoreboard with 4 Goals.
Sam Draper made a welcome return in the ruck, and as the match wore on, Darcy Parish had more of an impact.
For the Hawks, Tom Mitchell was again brilliant in the middle of the ground, and was well supported by Jaeger O’Meara. Jarman Impey was busy down back, and Luke Breust was dangerous up forward.
Vote Chances
Jaeger O’Meara – 31 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles 25 Pressure Acts and 481 Metres Gained
Nick Hind – 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 745 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Darcy Parish – 24 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 529 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Sam Draper (1)
15 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 4 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements and 9 Hit-outs to advantage
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (15)
36 Disposals (13 Contested), 6 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 447 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (Essendon) Jake Stringer (3) ⭐⭐⭐
29 Disposals (21 Effective and 18 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 687 Metres Gained and 4 Goals
Note – Lock this one in as Stringer was brilliant in this match and a clear standout. Many of his disposals were contested, and his brilliance near the goals was the difference in the match.
Leaderboard – Round 14
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | 21 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 20 |
| Darcy Parish | 19 |
| Jarryd Lyons | 16 |
| Ollie Wines | 16 |
| Jack Macrae | 16 |
| Tom Mitchell | 15 |
| Christian Petracca | 15 |
| Cam Guthrie | 14 |
| Jack Steele | 14 |
To see the projected votes from previous rounds, click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
Cheers and always Gamble Responsibly.