The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 17 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Geelong vs Melbourne
Geelong 12.19 91 – Melbourne 9.9 63
(Geelong by 28 Points)
Vote Chances
Tom Atkins – 21 Disposals (10 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 9 Tackles, 30 Pressure Acts, 450 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Joel Selwood – 23 Disposals (16 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist
Clayton Oliver – 34 Disposals (23 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 10 Clearances, 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 18 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 430 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (5)
32 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (2 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 629 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (11)
28 Disposals (19 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Geelong) Patrick Dangerfield (8) ⭐
31 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 702 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Cats stepped up to the challenge and got the big win against the Reigning Premiers in Geelong.
This match will be tough to split as the Cats had many contributors in the win, but early in the match, Patrick Dangerfield stood out but failed to kick a goal with the 4 behinds for the game.
Cam Guthrie and Mitch Duncan played important roles throughout the win, and the emergence of Tom Atkins continues to show as he had an impact in the middle of the ground.
Clayton Oliver was the Demon’s best, but looking likely, the Cats might sweep the votes in the significant win on home soil.
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
Sydney 17.18 120 – Western Bulldogs 9.13 67
(Sydney by 53 Points)
Vote Chances
Isaac Heeney – 17 Disposals (14 Effective), 5 Marks, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals
Luke Parker – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 28 Pressure Acts
Sam Reid – 15 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 13 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Sydney) Callum Mills (13)
23 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 35 Pressure Acts, 446 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Sydney) Chad Warner (7)
25 Disposals (16 Effective), 4 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 667 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Sydney) Tom Papley (5) ⭐
24 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 17 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 434 Metres Gained, 5 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – The Swans led from start to finish against the Bulldogs and dominated the match.
The Swans had many contributors in the win, and it will be difficult to split the votes, but Tom Papley was lively up forward all evening and racked up a massive 17 score involvements.
Chad Warner provided a lot of run and carry for the Swans and helped set up a stack of scoring chances, whilst Callum Mills and Sam Reid’s defence stood out, and they racked up a massive amount of tackles between them.
Luke Parker was busy in the middle of the ground, and Isaac Heeney booted 4 goals.
Tough to split the votes, but Tom Papley was one of the standouts and might be the front runner for the highest votes in the sizeable win.
Collingwood vs North Melbourne
Collingwood 13.10 88 – North Melbourne 12.9 81
(Collingwood by 7 Points)
Vote Chances
Josh Daicos – 28 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 478 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Taylor Adams – 28 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 487 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Jed Anderson – 33 Disposals (27 Effective), 9 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 469 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Jamie Elliott (1)
20 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 15 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
2 Votes (North Melbourne) Nick Larkey (5)
19 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Goals
3 Votes (North Melbourne) Luke Davies-Uniacke (4) ⭐⭐
33 Disposals (25 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 12 Clearances, 14 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 791 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Note – The Kangaroos led for most of the day against the Pies, but Collingwood finished with a five-goal final term and kept the Roos goalless to pinch the match.
Kangaroos midfielder Luke Davies-Uniacke was the best player on the ground with a heap of football, plenty of clearances and lots of pressure on the opposition. Davies-Uniacke should be the favourite for the top votes, but the Pies pinched the match.
Kangaroos forward Nick Larkey had a big day up forward and booted 5 goals, whilst Jed Anderson had an impact in the middle of the ground.
The Pies had no real standouts in this game, but Jamie Elliott stepped up when the match was up for grabs, Josh Daicos used the football well for most of the day, and Taylor Adams had an impact in the middle of the ground.
Gold Coast vs Richmond
Gold Coast 14.10 94 – Richmond 13.14 92
(Gold Coast by 2 Points)
Vote Chances
Ben Ainsworth – 26 Disposals (18 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 14 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 536 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
David Swallow – 23 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 451 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Daniel Rioli – 31 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 471 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (17)
27 Disposals (19 Effective and 16 Contested), 13 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 514 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Richmond) Shai Bolton (11)
29 Disposals (18 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 551 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (9) ⭐⭐
26 Disposals (23 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 651 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Note – The Suns trailed for most of the match against the Tigers, and Noah Anderson capped off a solid performance in the middle of the ground to kick the winning goal after the siren.
Shai Bolton was probably the best player on the ground, but the Suns won the match and kicking a goal after the siren might be enough to get the top votes.
Bolton was brilliant for the Tigers and managed to boot 3 goals. He racked up a lot of the football and looked dangerous in and around the action.
Touk Miller and Ben Ainsworth were two other Suns that stepped up, whilst Daniel Rioli was solid all day down back for the Tigers.
St Kilda vs Fremantle
St Kilda 10.10 70 – Fremantle 17.9 111
(Fremantle by 41 Points)
Vote Chances
Sean Darcy – 16 Disposals (14 Effective), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Hit-outs to advantage, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Rory Lobb – 14 Disposals (13 Contested and 10 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Jordan Clark – 30 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 472 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) Nat Fyfe (1)
21 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Fremantle) Will Brodie (8)
29 Disposals (24 Effective), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (27) ⭐⭐
36 Disposals (24 Effective), 6 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts, 569 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Note – The Saints led at the half, but the Dockers booted seven goals in the third term to pull away and set up the victory.
Andrew Brayshaw continued his impressive form and will be the leading contender for the top votes. Brayshaw racked up a lot of the footy and applied a stack of pressure on the Saint’s mids throughout the win.
Will Brodie had another solid game in the middle of the ground, whilst Nat Fyfe had a clear impact in the forward half for Freo and booted 3 goals.
The Dockers won and had many contributors, but Brayshaw will be tough to beat for the maximum votes in the win.
Port Adelaide vs GWS
Port Adelaide 12.12 84 – GWS 3.11 29
(Port Adelaide by 55 Points)
Vote Chances
Zak Butters – 26 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles
Charlie Dixon – 17 Disposals (11 Effective), 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Travis Boak – 24 Disposals (12 Contested), 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 19 Pressure Acts and 436 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Jeremy Finlayson (1)
22 Disposals (16 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 391 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Sam Powell-Pepper (4)
25 Disposals (10 Contested), 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (13) ⭐⭐⭐
24 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 5 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals
Note – The Power had no trouble against the Giants at home and won the match by a comfortable margin.
Connor Rozee was a clear best on ground with elite use of the football, a stack of score involvements and 4 goals for the match.
Sam Powell-Pepper was dangerous in the forward half for most of the match, and Jeremy Finlayson held his own in the ruck and was one of the Power’s best players.
There are a few contenders for the minor votes, but Connor Rozee will likely be the heavy favourite for the top votes in the sizeable Power victory.
Brisbane vs Essendon
Brisbane 13.12 90 – Essendon 15.10 100
(Essendon by 10 Points)
Vote Chances
Jye Caldwell – 26 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 513 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Nick Hind – 27 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 681 Metres Gained
Dylan Shiel – 25 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 438 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Kyle Langford (1)
18 Disposals (12 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals
2 Votes (Essendon) Peter Wright (7)
11 Disposals, 8 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (7) ⭐⭐
31 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 565 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
Note – The Lions had a stack of key players out in this clash, and the Bombers played good footy to win the match by a small margin.
Zach Merrett was one of the best players on the ground with plenty of football and helped set up several scoring opportunities for the Bombers.
Peter Wright was dangerous up forward and booted 5 goals, and Kyle Langford was lively and booted 4 goals for the match.
The interesting performance was Jye Caldwell, who tagged Lachie Neale. Caldwell racked up 26 disposals as a tagger and prevented Neale from having any real impact in the match.
The Bombers got the upset win and are a decent chance to sweep the votes in this clash.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide
Hawthorn 13.8 86 – Adelaide 8.6 54
(Hawthorn by 32 Points)
Vote Chances
Jai Newcombe – 25 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 7 Ground Ball Gets
James Sicily – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 7 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 One Percenters, 8 Spoils and 520 Metres Gained
Rory Laird – 42 Disposals (30 Effective and 14 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Hawthorn) Blake Hardwick (1)
32 Disposals (28 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Mitch Lewis (6)
12 Disposals (11 Effective), 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
3 Votes (Hawthorn) Dylan Moore (4) ⭐
29 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 498 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Hawks got the early jump against the Crows and led comfortably from start to finish to win the match.
The votes will be tough to split as Mitch Lewis booted 5 goals in the first half to help set up a sizeable lead but was uncited in the second half with just the 2 handpasses.
Dylan Moore played a consistent football game, as did Jai Newcombe, whilst Blake Hardwick and James Sicily made it challenging for the Crow’s forwards to impact the match.
Rory Laird was the Crow’s best with a game-high 42 disposals, but the votes could go several ways in this clash.
West Coast vs Carlton
West Coast 8.5 53 – Carlton 17.14 116
(Carlton by 63 Points)
Vote Chances
Andrew Gaff – 30 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets and 502 Metres Gained
Sam Docherty – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 602 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
George Hewett – 26 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Matthew Kennedy (4)
27 Disposals (19 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Carlton) Harry McKay (6)
13 Disposals, 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 11 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 322 Metres Gained and 5 Goals
3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (13) ⭐⭐
15 Disposals, 8 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 439 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
Note – The Blues kept the Eagles scoreless in the first and final terms to win this game by a comfortable margin.
Carlton’s two big forwards, Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay, were the two standouts with 10 goals between them and a lot of marks inside the forward fifty.
The Eagles did well to keep Sam Walsh and Patrick Cripps quiet for three quarters, but they stepped up in the concluding stages, and both had significant final terms.
Matthew Kennedy, George Hewett and Sam Docherty played a consistent four quarters of football for the Blues, but the two big Carlton forwards will be tough to beat for the maximum votes.
Leaderboard – Round 17
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | 27 |
| Lachie Neale | 25 |
| Clayton Oliver | 24 |
| Patrick Cripps | 18 |
| Christian Petracca | 18 |
| Touk Miller | 17 |
| Sam Walsh | 14 |
| Jeremy Cameron | 14 |
| Charlie Curnow | 13 |
| Darcy Parish | 13 |
| Connor Rozee | 13 |
| Callum Mills | 13 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.