Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 17 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 17 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 17 2022

Geelong vs Melbourne

Geelong 12.19 91 – Melbourne 9.9 63

(Geelong by 28 Points)

Vote Chances

Tom Atkins – 21 Disposals (10 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 9 Tackles, 30 Pressure Acts, 450 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Joel Selwood – 23 Disposals (16 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist

Clayton Oliver – 34 Disposals (23 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 10 Clearances, 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 18 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 430 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (5)

32 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (2 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 629 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (11)

28 Disposals (19 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Patrick Dangerfield (8)

31 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 702 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Cats stepped up to the challenge and got the big win against the Reigning Premiers in Geelong.

This match will be tough to split as the Cats had many contributors in the win, but early in the match, Patrick Dangerfield stood out but failed to kick a goal with the 4 behinds for the game.

Cam Guthrie and Mitch Duncan played important roles throughout the win, and the emergence of Tom Atkins continues to show as he had an impact in the middle of the ground.

Clayton Oliver was the Demon’s best, but looking likely, the Cats might sweep the votes in the significant win on home soil.


Sydney vs Western Bulldogs

Sydney 17.18 120 – Western Bulldogs 9.13 67

(Sydney by 53 Points)

Vote Chances

Isaac Heeney – 17 Disposals (14 Effective), 5 Marks, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals

Luke Parker – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 28 Pressure Acts

Sam Reid – 15 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 13 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Callum Mills (13)

23 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 35 Pressure Acts, 446 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Sydney) Chad Warner (7)

25 Disposals (16 Effective), 4 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 667 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Sydney) Tom Papley (5)

24 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 17 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 434 Metres Gained, 5 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

Note – The Swans led from start to finish against the Bulldogs and dominated the match.

The Swans had many contributors in the win, and it will be difficult to split the votes, but Tom Papley was lively up forward all evening and racked up a massive 17 score involvements.

Chad Warner provided a lot of run and carry for the Swans and helped set up a stack of scoring chances, whilst Callum Mills and Sam Reid’s defence stood out, and they racked up a massive amount of tackles between them.

Luke Parker was busy in the middle of the ground, and Isaac Heeney booted 4 goals.

Tough to split the votes, but Tom Papley was one of the standouts and might be the front runner for the highest votes in the sizeable win.


Collingwood vs North Melbourne

Collingwood 13.10 88 – North Melbourne 12.9 81

(Collingwood by 7 Points)

Vote Chances

Josh Daicos – 28 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 478 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Taylor Adams – 28 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 487 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Jed Anderson – 33 Disposals (27 Effective), 9 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 469 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Jamie Elliott (1)

20 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 15 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

2 Votes (North Melbourne) Nick Larkey (5)

19 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Goals

3 Votes (North Melbourne) Luke Davies-Uniacke (4) ⭐⭐

33 Disposals (25 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 12 Clearances, 14 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 791 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Note – The Kangaroos led for most of the day against the Pies, but Collingwood finished with a five-goal final term and kept the Roos goalless to pinch the match.

Kangaroos midfielder Luke Davies-Uniacke was the best player on the ground with a heap of football, plenty of clearances and lots of pressure on the opposition. Davies-Uniacke should be the favourite for the top votes, but the Pies pinched the match.

Kangaroos forward Nick Larkey had a big day up forward and booted 5 goals, whilst Jed Anderson had an impact in the middle of the ground.

The Pies had no real standouts in this game, but Jamie Elliott stepped up when the match was up for grabs, Josh Daicos used the football well for most of the day, and Taylor Adams had an impact in the middle of the ground.


Gold Coast vs Richmond

Gold Coast 14.10 94 – Richmond 13.14 92

(Gold Coast by 2 Points)

Vote Chances

Ben Ainsworth – 26 Disposals (18 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 14 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 536 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

David Swallow – 23 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 451 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Daniel Rioli – 31 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 471 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (17)

27 Disposals (19 Effective and 16 Contested), 13 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 514 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Richmond) Shai Bolton (11)

29 Disposals (18 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 551 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (9) ⭐⭐

26 Disposals (23 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 651 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Note – The Suns trailed for most of the match against the Tigers, and Noah Anderson capped off a solid performance in the middle of the ground to kick the winning goal after the siren.

Shai Bolton was probably the best player on the ground, but the Suns won the match and kicking a goal after the siren might be enough to get the top votes.

Bolton was brilliant for the Tigers and managed to boot 3 goals. He racked up a lot of the football and looked dangerous in and around the action.

Touk Miller and Ben Ainsworth were two other Suns that stepped up, whilst Daniel Rioli was solid all day down back for the Tigers.


St Kilda vs Fremantle

St Kilda 10.10 70 – Fremantle 17.9 111

(Fremantle by 41 Points)

Vote Chances

Sean Darcy – 16 Disposals (14 Effective), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Hit-outs to advantage, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

Rory Lobb – 14 Disposals (13 Contested and 10 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Jordan Clark – 30 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 472 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Nat Fyfe (1)

21 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Will Brodie (8)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (27) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (24 Effective), 6 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts, 569 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Note – The Saints led at the half, but the Dockers booted seven goals in the third term to pull away and set up the victory.

Andrew Brayshaw continued his impressive form and will be the leading contender for the top votes. Brayshaw racked up a lot of the footy and applied a stack of pressure on the Saint’s mids throughout the win.

Will Brodie had another solid game in the middle of the ground, whilst Nat Fyfe had a clear impact in the forward half for Freo and booted 3 goals.

The Dockers won and had many contributors, but Brayshaw will be tough to beat for the maximum votes in the win.


Port Adelaide vs GWS

Port Adelaide 12.12 84 – GWS 3.11 29

(Port Adelaide by 55 Points)

Vote Chances

Zak Butters – 26 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles

Charlie Dixon – 17 Disposals (11 Effective), 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Travis Boak – 24 Disposals (12 Contested), 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 19 Pressure Acts and 436 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Jeremy Finlayson (1)

22 Disposals (16 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 391 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Sam Powell-Pepper (4)

25 Disposals (10 Contested), 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (13) ⭐⭐⭐

24 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 5 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals

Note – The Power had no trouble against the Giants at home and won the match by a comfortable margin.

Connor Rozee was a clear best on ground with elite use of the football, a stack of score involvements and 4 goals for the match.

Sam Powell-Pepper was dangerous in the forward half for most of the match, and Jeremy Finlayson held his own in the ruck and was one of the Power’s best players.

There are a few contenders for the minor votes, but Connor Rozee will likely be the heavy favourite for the top votes in the sizeable Power victory.


Brisbane vs Essendon

Brisbane 13.12 90 – Essendon 15.10 100

(Essendon by 10 Points)

Vote Chances

Jye Caldwell – 26 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 513 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Nick Hind – 27 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 681 Metres Gained

Dylan Shiel – 25 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 438 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Kyle Langford (1)

18 Disposals (12 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

2 Votes (Essendon) Peter Wright (7)

11 Disposals, 8 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (7) ⭐⭐

31 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 565 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

Note – The Lions had a stack of key players out in this clash, and the Bombers played good footy to win the match by a small margin.

Zach Merrett was one of the best players on the ground with plenty of football and helped set up several scoring opportunities for the Bombers.

Peter Wright was dangerous up forward and booted 5 goals, and Kyle Langford was lively and booted 4 goals for the match.

The interesting performance was Jye Caldwell, who tagged Lachie Neale. Caldwell racked up 26 disposals as a tagger and prevented Neale from having any real impact in the match.

The Bombers got the upset win and are a decent chance to sweep the votes in this clash.


Hawthorn vs Adelaide

Hawthorn 13.8 86 – Adelaide 8.6 54

(Hawthorn by 32 Points)

Vote Chances

Jai Newcombe – 25 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 7 Ground Ball Gets

James Sicily – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 7 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 One Percenters, 8 Spoils and 520 Metres Gained

Rory Laird – 42 Disposals (30 Effective and 14 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) Blake Hardwick (1)

32 Disposals (28 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles

2 Votes (Hawthorn) Mitch Lewis (6)

12 Disposals (11 Effective), 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

3 Votes (Hawthorn) Dylan Moore (4)

29 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 498 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Hawks got the early jump against the Crows and led comfortably from start to finish to win the match.

The votes will be tough to split as Mitch Lewis booted 5 goals in the first half to help set up a sizeable lead but was uncited in the second half with just the 2 handpasses.

Dylan Moore played a consistent football game, as did Jai Newcombe, whilst Blake Hardwick and James Sicily made it challenging for the Crow’s forwards to impact the match.

Rory Laird was the Crow’s best with a game-high 42 disposals, but the votes could go several ways in this clash.


West Coast vs Carlton

West Coast 8.5 53 – Carlton 17.14 116

(Carlton by 63 Points)

Vote Chances

Andrew Gaff – 30 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets and 502 Metres Gained

Sam Docherty – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 7 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 602 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

George Hewett – 26 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) Matthew Kennedy (4)

27 Disposals (19 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (Carlton) Harry McKay (6)

13 Disposals, 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 11 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 322 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (13) ⭐⭐

15 Disposals, 8 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 439 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

Note – The Blues kept the Eagles scoreless in the first and final terms to win this game by a comfortable margin.

Carlton’s two big forwards, Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay, were the two standouts with 10 goals between them and a lot of marks inside the forward fifty.

The Eagles did well to keep Sam Walsh and Patrick Cripps quiet for three quarters, but they stepped up in the concluding stages, and both had significant final terms.

Matthew Kennedy, George Hewett and Sam Docherty played a consistent four quarters of football for the Blues, but the two big Carlton forwards will be tough to beat for the maximum votes.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 17

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Andrew Brayshaw27
Lachie Neale25
Clayton Oliver24
Patrick Cripps18
Christian Petracca18
Touk Miller17
Sam Walsh14
Jeremy Cameron14
Charlie Curnow13
Darcy Parish13
Connor Rozee13
Callum Mills13

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16