Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 18 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 18 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 18 2022

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda

Western Bulldogs 13.6 84 – St Kilda 7.14 56

(Western Bulldogs by 28 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Macrae – 31 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Bailey Smith – 29 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 436 Metres Gained

Callum Wilkie – 27 Disposals (24 Effective), 14 Intercept Possessions, 16 Marks (8 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 3 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Western Bulldogs) Bailey Dale (2)

30 Disposals (27 Effective), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 705 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Western Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (7)

31 Disposals (26 Effective and 16 Contested), 11 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 16 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Western Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (11) ⭐⭐⭐

34 Disposals (23 Effective and 17 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (3 Intercept Marks, 2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 21 Pressure Acts, 546 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

Note – The Bulldogs were too good for the Saints on a Friday Night, leading from start to finish to dominate the match.

Marcus Bontempelli was the clear standout and a strong chance to land the maximum votes in this clash. Bontempelli racked up plenty of the football, made smart decisions and booted a couple of goals in a best-on-ground showing.

Tom Liberatore won a lot of hardball in the win and extracted the football with 11 clearances for the match. Both Jack Macrae and Bailey Smith won a lot of the football, and the run and carry of Bailey Dale stood out, and he used the football at high efficiency for most of the night.

The Saints were outclassed in this match, but Callum Wilkie was busy all night down back and the Saint’s best player.


Adelaide vs Collingwood

Adelaide 13.8 86 – Collingwood 14.7 91

(Collingwood by 5 Points)

Vote Chances

Taylor Walker – 13 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets,  3 One Percenters, 332 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 5 Goals

Sam Berry – 21 Disposals (13 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 17 Tackles and 45 Pressure Acts

Patrick Lipinski – 28 Disposals, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Scott Pendlebury (1)

29 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 12 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (11)

31 Disposals (17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 20 Tackles, 34 Pressure Acts and 558 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Collingwood) Nick Daicos (11) ⭐⭐⭐

40 Disposals (33 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 747 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Note – The Magpies pinched another close match against lower-ranked opposition and kept their final four hopes alive.

First-year player Nick Daicos was the clear standout in this match and will be the red hot favourite for the highest votes in the narrow win for Collingwood.

Daicos racked up 40 disposals at 82% efficiency and managed to go forward and boot 3 goals in a clear best-on-ground performance.

Scott Pendlebury and Patrick Lipinksi played important roles in the win, whilst the defensive pressure from Crows midfielders Rory Laird and Sam Berry had a noticeable impact in the match.

Laird and Berry racked up a massive 37 tackles between them, but it wasn’t enough to topple the Magpies, and Nick Daicos will be very tough to beat for the three votes.


GWS vs Brisbane

GWS 9.5 59 – Brisbane 15.9 99

(Brisbane by 40 Points)

Vote Chances

Rhys Mathieson – 23 Disposals (18 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 409 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Cam Rayner – 19 Disposals (13 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

Lachie Neale – 26 Disposals (19 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 495 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (GWS) Harrison Himmelberg (4)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 664 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Brisbane) Keidean Coleman (3)

25 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 454 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (10) ⭐⭐⭐

29 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts, 542 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

Note – The Lions had no trouble against the Giants, and it was an established wingman that stood up and booted 4 goals.

Hugh McCluggage will be the favourite for the maximum votes in this clash as he racked up a lot of the football, and 4 goals from a midfielder usually lands the top votes.

Keidean Coleman was dangerous with the footy from the back-half for the Lions, whilst Lachie Neale, Cam Rayner and Rhys Mathieson had an impact in setting up the win.

The Giants lost the match, but Harrison Himmelberg continued to excel in his new role down back and had a very busy day on the defensive half for the Giants.


North Melbourne vs Richmond

North Melbourne 14.8 92 – Richmond 11.22 88

(North Melbourne by 4 Points)

Vote Chances

Jaidyn Stephenson – 23 Disposals (20 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 12 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 835 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Todd Goldstein – 15 Disposals (14 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Noah Cumberland – 14 Disposals, 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 18 Pressure Acts, 345 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (North Melbourne) Luke Davies-Uniacke (5)

28 Disposals (21 Effective), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 560 Metres Gained

2 Votes (North Melbourne) Jy Simpkin (3)

34 Disposals (18 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 502 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (North Melbourne) Cameron Zurhaar (3) ⭐⭐

12 Disposals, 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 6 Goals

Note – The Kangaroos got the quick start against the Tigers and managed to hold on despite the Tigers coming back at the end.

Cam Zurhaar was the difference as he was dangerous up forward for the Kangaroos and managed to boot 6 goals in the win. Zurhaar kicked 5 goals before the main break, and the Roos had a sizeable halftime lead.

Jy Simpkin had a clear impact in the middle of the ground and got a lot of support from Luke Davies-Uniacke throughout the day. Todd Goldstein held his own in the ruck, and Jaidyn Stephenson used the football well from the defence for the Roos.

Given this match was an upset win, it may be unlikely that a Tiger sneaks into the votes, but Noah Cumberland was lively all day up forward and might be a sneaky chance.


Carlton vs Geelong

Carlton 8.7 55 – Geelong 12.13 85

(Geelong by 30 Points)

Vote Chances

Sam Walsh – 33 Disposals (29 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts

Zach Tuohy – 24 Disposals (17 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 471 Metres Gained

Mitch Duncan – 26 Disposals (22 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements and 459 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (5)

20 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks (3 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 25 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (16)

18 Disposals, 5 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 417 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Joel Selwood (5)

25 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 392 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Note – The Cats were too good for the Blues and had many contributors in the win.

This will be a tough match to split the votes, but Cats veteran Joel Selwood had an impact in the middle of the ground with efficient use of the football and racked up 10 score involvements.

Cats forward Jeremy Cameron was again dangerous, whilst Mitch Duncan, Zach Tuohy and Mark Blicavs are all chances to poll for the Cats.

The Blues were beaten, but Sam Walsh was their best player, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he polls votes in this game.


Fremantle vs Sydney

Fremantle 9.11 65 – Sydney 11.16 82

(Sydney by 17 Points)

Vote Chances

Tom Papley – 17 Disposals (12 Effective), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Isaac Heeney – 18 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Robbie Fox – 24 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 8 One Percenters and 6 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Errol Gulden (1)

23 Disposals (18 Effective), 8 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 393 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (15)

26 Disposals (17 Effective), 9 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 471 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Sydney) Chad Warner (10) ⭐⭐⭐

35 Disposals (27 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 800 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Note – The Swans travelled West and stepped up against the Dockers despite being down at the major break. The Swans regrouped at the half and won the match convincingly.

Chad Warner was a clear standout, and he will be the favourite for the top votes with effective use of the football and a willingness to attack.

Callum Mills had a solid match, as did Errol Gulden, whilst Tom Papley and Isaac Heeney were lively up forward for the Swans.

Warner will be very tough to beat for the maximum votes in a big win for the Swans.


Hawthorn vs West Coast

Hawthorn 15.12 102 – West Coast 12.5 77

(Hawthorn by 25 Points)

Vote Chances

Dylan Moore – 25 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 32 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Tom Mitchell – 33 Disposals (17 Contested), 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist

Jai Newcombe – 28 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Marks, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 391 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) Josh Ward (1)

34 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 618 Metres Gained

2 Votes (West Coast) Tom Barrass (3)

30 Disposals (28 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 18 Marks (8 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 8 One Percenters, 8 Spoils and 346 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Hawthorn) Luke Breust (3) ⭐⭐

15 Disposals (11 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 372 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – The Hawks were tested at times against the Eagles, but came away with the win in the end.

Luke Breust was the standout up forward for the Hawks and was dangerous for most of the contest, booting 6 goals.

First-year player Josh Ward played his best game of the season, whilst Jai Newcombe, Tom Mitchell and Dylan Moore all had an impact throughout the day.

The Eagles were beaten, but it may have been by more if Tom Barrass wasn’t out there. Barrass was busy down back and racked up 18 marks, including 8 intercept marks in a fantastic defensive effort.

Luke Breust will be the one to beat for the top votes on the back of a 6-goal haul.


Melbourne vs Port Adelaide

Melbourne 12.11 83 – Port Adelaide 10.9 69

(Melbourne by 14 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Viney – 28 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 24 Pressure Acts, 473 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Connor Rozee – 33 Disposals (26 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts, 446 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Ollie Wines – 27 Disposals (22 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (8)

29 Disposals (22 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 550 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (20)

30 Disposals (25 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 10 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 21 Pressure Acts, 586 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

3 Votes (Melbourne) Kysaiah Pickett (3) ⭐⭐

14 Disposals (12 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 3 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 326 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – The Demons were too good for the Power and won the match on the back of a 6-goal haul from their star small forward. Kysaiah Pickett had a clear impact in this match and was dangerous around the goals booting 6 majors.

Christian Petracca had a clear impact in the middle of the ground and used the football at an elite 83% efficiency, whilst Jack Viney stepped up in the absence of the injured Clayton Oliver.

The Power had a crack in this match and got good service from some of their star players, but the Dees were too good in the end, and Kysaiah Pickett will be tough to beat for the top votes.


Essendon vs Gold Coast

Essendon 14.19 103 – Gold Coast 8.7 55

(Essendon by 48 Points)

Vote Chances

Sam Draper – 13 Disposals, 5 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 4 Tackles and 2 Goals

Andrew McGrath – 29 Disposals (23 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, and 1 Goal Assist

Jake Stringer – 16 Disposals (10 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 25 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Dylan Shiel (1)

29 Disposals (21 Effective and 14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts and 452 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Essendon) Mason Redman (6)

34 Disposals (26 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Get, 4 Tackles, 643 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists 

3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (10) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (31 Effective), 8 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 444 Metres Gained

Note – The Bombers stepped up to the challenge and won this match despite being the underdogs.

Zach Merrett was one of the standouts for the Bombers with a stack of football, and he used it at a high 86% efficiency rate.

Mason Redman was excellent in the back half for the Bombers, whilst Dylan Shiel had an impact in the middle of the ground.

It will not be surprising if Sam Draper polls votes in this clash as he had an impact in the ruck and a goal of the year contender.

Merrett or Redman will be tough to beat for the top votes.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 18

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Andrew Brayshaw27
Lachie Neale25
Clayton Oliver24
Christian Petracca20
Patrick Cripps18
Touk Miller17
Jeremy Cameron16
Callum Mills15
Sam Walsh14
Charlie Curnow13
Darcy Parish13
Connor Rozee13

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

The remaining five rounds will be released at the conclusion of the 2022 AFL Season.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17