The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 19 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Richmond vs Fremantle
Richmond 7.10 52 – Fremantle 7.10 52
(Draw)
Vote Chances
Shai Bolton – 15 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Caleb Serong – 27 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Brennan Cox – 23 Disposals (21 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 7 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 9 One Percenters and 7 Spoils
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Nick Vlastuin (3)
23 Disposals (20 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 6 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Fremantle) Hayden Young (2)
31 Disposals (26 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 14 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 467 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Richmond) Dion Prestia ⭐
30 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Tigers and the Dockers played in the season’s first draw, but the Tigers blew the match in the dying minutes and probably should have won.
This will be a tough match to split the votes, with defenders probably having the most significant impact in a low-scoring affair. However, Tigers midfielder Dion Prestia was one of the better midfielders on the ground and had a consistent match. Prestia was in and around the action for most of the night and is a genuine chance for the top votes.
Dockers defender Hayden Young was solid on the back half, as was Brennan Cox, whilst Nick Vlastuin played an important role for the Tigers, and Shai Bolton was dangerous when he had the football.
The votes could go several ways in this clash, but Prestia was the best midfielder on the ground.
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn
North Melbourne 11.9 75 – Hawthorn 19.7 121
(Hawthorn by 46 Points)
Vote Chances
Luke Davies-Uniacke – 30 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 35 Pressure Acts, 407 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Jaeger O’Meara – 20 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 26 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Dylan Moore – 25 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (5)
32 Disposals (29 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Jai Newcombe (6)
30 Disposals (22 Effective and 15 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 580 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Hawthorn) Jack Gunston (6) ⭐⭐
17 Disposals, 7 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 410 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
Note – The Hawks had no issues taking care of the Kangaroos, and forward, Jack Gunston was the standout performer. Gunston should have kicked a couple more goals but ended up with 5 in a solid game up forward.
Midfielders Jai Newcombe and Tom Mitchell had a clear impact in the middle of the ground, but Gunston will be tough to beat for the top votes, and he was dangerous for most of the match.
Sydney vs Adelaide
Sydney 17.16 118 – Adelaide 12.13 85
(Sydney by 33 Points)
Vote Chances
Chad Warner – 25 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Marks, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts, 535 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Luke Parker – 29 Disposals (18 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Score Involvements, 12 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 16 Ground Ball Gets and 32 Pressure Acts
Sam Berry – 24 Disposals (20 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 14 Tackles, 40 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Laird (12)
38 Disposals (24 Effective and 21 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 11 Clearances, 14 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 848 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Sydney) Nick Blakey (5)
26 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 618 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Sydney) Tom Papley (8) ⭐
22 Disposals (11 Contested), 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 391 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – The Swans booted nine goals in the first term, and the Crows were never really in the match as the Swans won the game comfortably.
The Swans set up a massive lead early, and Tom Papley and Nick Blakey stood out in the early stages. Papley was lively up forward, and Blakey significantly impacted the back half for the Swans.
Chad Warner and Luke Parker had decent games in the middle, whilst Rory Laird and Sam Berry tried hard for the Crows despite the loss.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong
Port Adelaide 14.10 94 – Geelong 16.10 106
(Geelong by 12 Points)
Vote Chances
Karl Amon – 25 Disposals (18 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 606 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Sam Powell-Pepper – 19 Disposals, 7 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 457 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Zach Tuohy – 27 Disposals (21 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Rebound 50s, 713 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Charlie Dixon (1)
23 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 8 One Percenters, 6 Spoils, 3 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Geelong) Tom Hawkins (10)
15 Disposals (14 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Atkins (3) ⭐
24 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 4 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 31 Pressure Acts and 12 Ground Ball Gets
Note – The Cats managed to scrape home in Adelaide despite a spirited performance from the Power.
This will be a tough match to split the votes, but a significant final term from Cats midfielder Tom Atkins helped get them the win, and Tom Hawkins booted 4 goals for the match, including 2 when the game was up for grabs.
Charlie Dixon had a massive third term to help the Power stage a comeback, but the votes could go several ways in this match, with Atkins likely to be one of the favourites.
Brisbane vs Gold Coast
Brisbane 16.14 110 – Gold Coast 14.9 93
(Brisbane by 17 Points)
Vote Chances
Zac Bailey – 24 Disposals (10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 442 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Noah Anderson – 31 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 642 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Brandon Ellis – 29 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 448 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Charlie Cameron (4)
13 Disposals, 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 8 Tackles (8 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (27)
32 Disposals (26 Effective and 18 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts and 411 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (20) ⭐⭐
34 Disposals (22 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 604 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Lions were tested against the Suns but lifted in the closing stages to get the win.
The winner of the Marcus Ashcroft Medal came from the Suns as Touk Miller had a big game in the middle of the ground and was one of the best out there.
Lachie Neale did his usual thing in the middle of the ground, whilst the defensive forward pressure of Charlie Cameron stood out at times, and he laid a massive 8 tackles inside the forward fifty and snagged 3 goals.
The medal winners usually have a good track record for getting the three votes, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Lachie Neale gets the top votes here.
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne
Western Bulldogs 17.8 110 – Melbourne 15.10 100
(Western Bulldogs by 10 Points)
Vote Chances
Tim English – 20 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 4 Contested), 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 20 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Ed Richards – 24 Disposals (23 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 4 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts and 442 Metres Gained
Clayton Oliver – 28 Disposals (21 Contested), 12 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 430 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Jamarra Ugle-Hagan (1)
10 Disposals, 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 365 Metres Gained and 5 Goals
2 Votes (Melbourne) Max Gawn (12)
25 Disposals (13 Contested), 8 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 15 Hit-outs to advantage and 417 Metres Gained
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (14) ⭐⭐⭐
26 Disposals (19 Contested and 16 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 11 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 9 One Percenters, 9 Tackles, 34 Pressure Acts, 461 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Note – The Dogs got the huge upset win against the Demons on a Saturday Night, and their number one draft pick from 2020 was the X-Factor.
Jamarra Ugle-Hagan booted 5 goals in this match and made the most of his opportunities up forward, but Marcus Bontempelli was a clear best on ground and should get the top votes.
Demons ruckman Max Gawn battled hard for Melbourne, as did Clayton Oliver, but Bontempelli was the best and most consistent player on the ground.
Carlton vs GWS
Carlton 13.12 90 – GWS 8.6 54
(Carlton by 36 Points)
Vote Chances
Charlie Curnow – 18 Disposals, 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 398 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals
Harry McKay – 18 Disposals, 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Tim Taranto – 30 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 388 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Sam Walsh (15)
31 Disposals (23 Effective and 15 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 23 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (20)
34 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 33 Pressure Acts, 465 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Carlton) Adam Saad (3) ⭐
25 Disposals (23 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 581 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – Carlton was too good for GWS and had several contributors in the win, but a defender will be tough to beat for the top votes.
Adam Saad had a massive game down back for the Blues and took a huge mark, making this match difficult to split the votes.
Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh were very good in the middle of the ground, and Charlie Curnow booted 4 goals, but the most noticeable player on the ground was Saad.
Collingwood vs Essendon
Collingwood 12.8 80 – Essendon 11.10 76
(Collingwood by 4 Points)
Vote Chances
Josh Daicos – 19 Disposals (15 Effective), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 475 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Taylor Adams – 28 Disposals (17 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Clearances, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Dylan Shiel – 30 Disposals (24 Effective), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts and 503 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Jamie Elliott (2)
14 Disposals, 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Essendon) Sam Draper (2)
16 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (13) ⭐⭐
38 Disposals (23 Effective and 15 Contested), 4 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 630 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Note – The Magpies managed to pinch this game after the siren when Jamie Elliott booted a goal from a tough angle.
The best and most consistent players on the ground were Bombers, but the Pies won the match.
Zach Merrett had a massive impact in the middle of the ground, whilst Sam Draper played a significant role in the ruck and racked up a stack of intercept marks.
The Pies didn’t have any real star players that stood out in this game, but 2 final quarter goals and a goal after the siren won’t hurt Jamie Elliott’s chances of polling a vote in this match.
Zach Merrett was the best player on the ground despite the loss.
West Coast vs St Kilda
West Coast 10.2 62 – St Kilda 14.6 90
(St Kilda by 28 Points)
Vote Chances
Tom Barrass – 26 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 10 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 11 One Percenters and 11 Spoils
Jack Sinclair – 27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 3 Spoils
Marcus Windhager – 23 Disposals (15 Effective), 5 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 523 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Dan Butler (1)
14 Disposals, 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 19 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 5 Goals
2 Votes (St Kilda) Brad Crouch (8)
31 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele (10) ⭐⭐
40 Disposals (32 Effective and 14 Contested), 10 Marks, 10 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 410 Metres Gained
Note – The Saints were tested by the Eagles but pulled away in the final term, and their star midfielder had a big match.
Jack Steele racked up 40 disposals in this clash and will be the favourite for the top votes.
Brad Crouch was busy in the middle of the ground, and Marcus Windhager tagged Tim Kelly keeping him to just the 4 disposals for the game.
Saints small forward Dan Butler had a day out up forward and snagged 5 goals, but Jack Steele was the best player on the ground.
Leaderboard – Round 19
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | 27 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | 27 |
| Clayton Oliver | 24 |
| Patrick Cripps | 20 |
| Touk Miller | 20 |
| Christian Petracca | 20 |
| Jeremy Cameron | 16 |
| Sam Walsh | 15 |
| Callum Mills | 15 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 14 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.