The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 20 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Fremantle vs Melbourne
Fremantle 5.9 39 – Melbourne 12.13 85
(Melbourne by 46 Points)
Vote Chances
James Aish – 28 Disposals (25 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 501 Metres Gained
Max Gawn – 14 Disposals (12 Contested), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 1 Goal Assist
Bayley Fritsch – 14 Disposals, 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 304 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (21)
30 Disposals (26 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 491 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Melbourne) Angus Brayshaw (5)
28 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 564 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Melbourne) Jack Viney (9) ⭐⭐
33 Disposals (16 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 523 Metres Gained
Note – The Dockers hosted the Demons in a prime-time Friday Night fixture and again struggled in the slippery conditions.
The Demons in and under guns went to work, with Jack Viney having the most significant impact in the match, winning a stack of contested football, and he should be the favourite for highest vote honours.
Christian Petracca and Angus Brayshaw won a lot of the footy and helped the Demons attack for most of the contest, whilst Max Gawn won the ruck battle and Bayley Fritsch and Kysaiah Pickett were dangerous around the sticks.
James Aish went to Clayton Oliver and kept him relatively quiet, but Viney will be tough to beat for the top votes.
Collingwood vs Port Adelaide
Collingwood 13.10 88 – Port Adelaide 12.10 82
(Collingwood by 6 Points)
Vote Chances
Brayden Maynard – 21 Disposals (14 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils and 469 Metres Gained
Ollie Wines – 30 Disposals (23 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 6 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts, 563 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Zak Butters – 25 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 441 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Jordan De Goey (9)
23 Disposals (13 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 470 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (15)
35 Disposals (28 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 472 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Collingwood) Josh Daicos (4) ⭐
26 Disposals, 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Pressure Acts and 659 Metres Gained
Note – The Magpies won another close match with several contributors in a challenging game to split the votes.
Josh Daicos had some impressive moments, and a big third term to help the magpies establish a three-quarter time lead.
Jordan De Goey was dangerous with the footy, and Brayden Maynard had an impact down back for the Pies.
Connor Rozee led the way for the Power and continued his impressive break-out season with a stack of the football. He was well supported by Ollie Wines and Zak Butters in the loss.
Tough to split the votes in this clash, but the flashiness and smarts of Josh Daicos may stand out, and he had a noticeable impact on the result.
Sydney vs GWS
Sydney 17.10 112 – GWS 5.9 39
(Sydney by 73 Points)
Vote Chances
James Rowbottom – 23 Disposals (15 Effective), 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 413 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Callum Mills – 27 Disposals (20 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 442 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Nick Blakey – 21 Disposals (19 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Sydney) Sam Reid (3)
18 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Sydney) Errol Gulden (3)
33 Disposals (22 Effective), 12 Marks, 10 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts, 692 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Sydney) Luke Parker (10) ⭐⭐
34 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Swans had no issues against the Giants and won the match by a comfortable margin at the SCG.
Luke Parker will lead the charge for the top votes with a solid performance in the middle of the ground, and he racked up a stack of the football.
Errol Gulden was busy around the forward half for most of the match and had a significant impact, whilst Sam Reid had some impressive moments and snagged 3 goals.
It will likely be a battle between two for the top votes in this clash, with Parker and Gulden the likely favourites.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
St Kilda 10.15 75 – Hawthorn 9.9 63
(St Kilda by 12 Points)
Vote Chances
Seb Ross – 26 Disposals (21 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Ben Paton – 25 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 4 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 5 Tackles
Tom Mitchell – 31 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 9 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (11)
31 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (St Kilda) Brad Crouch (10)
30 Disposals (15 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (St Kilda) Rowan Marshall (3) ⭐⭐⭐
30 Disposals (22 Effective and 13 Contested), 10 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 7 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 465 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Saints got the win, but the Hawks came back in the final stages to make it interesting.
Saints ruckman Rowan Marshall was a clear best on ground in the win. Marshall won a lot of the football, and his ruck work helped the Saints win first use of the footy on several occasions.
Brad Crouch had a busy day in the midfield, as did Jack Steele, but Marshall will be very tough to beat for the top votes and seemed everywhere at stages.
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
Geelong 14.10 94 – Western Bulldogs 9.12 66
(Geelong by 28 Points)
Vote Chances
Brad Close – 19 Disposals (14 Effective), 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 25 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Tom Stewart – 22 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 490 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Tom Liberatore – 28 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 33 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Isaac Smith (2)
26 Disposals (17 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 499 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (13)
25 Disposals (16 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Geelong) Patrick Dangerfield (11) ⭐
26 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 17 Pressure Acts, 537 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Dogs led early, but the Cats were too good for the Bulldogs and had many contributors in a tough match to split the votes.
Patrick Dangerfield will be one of the leading contenders for the top votes, whilst Cam Guthrie and Isaac Smith were busy throughout the win, and Brad Close was dangerous on the offensive half for the Cats.
A tough match to split, but Dangerfield gets the nod as he had some impressive moments and some defensive acts that stood out at stages.
Adelaide vs Carlton
Adelaide 12.12 84 – Carlton 8.7 55
(Adelaide by 29 Points)
Vote Chances
Rory Laird – 32 Disposals (25 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 30 Pressure Acts and 592 Metres Gained
Taylor Walker – 21 Disposals (15 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 345 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Sam Walsh – 40 Disposals (24 Effective and 15 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts and 444 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (21)
41 Disposals (30 Effective and 21 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 12 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 596 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
2 Votes (Adelaide) Ben Keays (9)
21 Disposals, 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 374 Metres Gained, 4 Goal Assists and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Adelaide) Brodie Smith (3) ⭐
37 Disposals (29 Effective and 11 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 13 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 1019 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Crows upset the Blues in Adelaide and had several players contributing to the win.
A tough match to split the votes with several contenders, but the Crows got the win, and Brodie Smith racked up a lot of the footy and was willing to move the ball forward with 1019 metres gained and a massive 13 inside 50s. He had a noticeable impact in the win and is a genuine chance for the top votes.
Ben Keays was the X-Factor with a move to the forward half, and he had some impressive moments hitting the scoreboard with 3 goals.
Taylor Walker had a busy night up forward, and Rory Laird did his usual thing in the middle of the ground, whilst Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh racked up a massive 81 disposals between them for the losing side.
Gold Coast vs West Coast
Gold Coast 16.11 107 – West Coast 16.8 104
(Gold Coast by 3 Points)
Vote Chances
Mabior Chol – 7 Disposals, 5 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 5 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
Matt Rowell – 19 Disposals (15 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets and 30 Pressure Acts
Tim Kelly – 28 Disposals (21 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 607 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (10)
29 Disposals (21 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (West Coast) Jack Darling (2)
14 Disposals (12 Effective), 8 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 7 Score Involvements and 6 Goals
3 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (23) ⭐⭐⭐
31 Disposals (21 Contested), 15 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 591 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
Note – The Suns managed to win against the Eagles, but the Eagles came back in the second half and made a game of it.
Suns midfielder Touk Miller was brilliant in the win and racked up a lot of the footy to go along with a massive 15 clearances.
Miller will be tough to beat for the top votes and was a clear best on ground, whilst Noah Anderson and Matt Rowell had an impact in the middle, and Mabior Chol booted 5 goals from limited opportunities.
West Coast forward Jack Darling was dangerous up forward and booted 6 goals, and Tim Kelly played a big part in helping the Eagles come back late in the contest.
Richmond vs Brisbane
Richmond 15.14 104 – Brisbane 14.13 97
(Richmond by 7 Points)
Vote Chances
Noah Cumberland – 8 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
Keidean Coleman – 30 Disposals (21 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 742 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Lachie Neale – 31 Disposals (21 Effective and 18 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Trent Cotchin (3)
24 Disposals, 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Richmond) Tom Lynch (8)
15 Disposals (11 Contested), 7 Marks (5 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Goals
3 Votes (Richmond) Shai Bolton (14) ⭐⭐
24 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 711 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Note – The Lions dominated the match early, but the Tigers came back in the second half and managed to win the game by a slim margin.
Shai Bolton will be the favourite for the top votes and was dangerous with the football for most of the contest. Bolton should have kicked a bag of goals, but his impact was significant, and he will be tough to beat for the top votes.
Tigers forward Tom Lynch was the X-Factor with 4 second-half goals, Noah Cumberland booted 5 goals from just 8 disposals, and Trent Cotchin had some impressive moments when the match was up for grabs.
Lachie Neale and Keidean Coleman were the best for the Lions, but the Tigers got the win, and Bolton will be tough to beat for the top votes.
Essendon vs North Melbourne
Essendon 17.12 114 – North Melbourne 9.12 66
(Essendon by 48 Points)
Vote Chances
Nick Hind – 24 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 553 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Jayden Laverde – 23 Disposals (20 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 2 Goal Assists
Jy Simpkin – 41 Disposals (29 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 555 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Jake Stringer (2)
14 Disposals (10 Effective), 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts, 380 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals
2 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (15)
38 Disposals (23 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 8 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 38 Pressure Acts, 688 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Essendon) Mason Redman (9) ⭐⭐
32 Disposals (31 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 607 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Note – The Bombers had no issues against the Kangaroos and won the match comfortably.
Mason Redman was excellent on the defensive half for the Bombers and used the football at an elite 97% disposal efficiency. In addition, Redman took a stack of intercept marks and helped set up play on the back half on numerous occasions.
Zach Merrett had a big match for the Bombers with a massive 26 disposals in the second half, and Jake Stringer was lively and managed to boot 5 goals.
A battle between two for the top votes, but Redman gets the nod as he played a consistent four quarters of football, and Merrett racked up most of his disposals when the match was done and dusted.
Leaderboard – Round 20
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | 27 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | 27 |
| Clayton Oliver | 24 |
| Touk Miller | 23 |
| Patrick Cripps | 21 |
| Christian Petracca | 21 |
| Jeremy Cameron | 16 |
| Sam Walsh | 15 |
| Zach Merrett | 15 |
| Connor Rozee | 15 |
| Callum Mills | 15 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.