Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 6 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 6 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 6 2022

GWS vs St Kilda

GWS 8.12 60 – St Kilda 10.17 77

(St Kilda by 17 Points)

Vote Chances

Callan Ward – 21 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

Seb Ross – 24 Disposals (20 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Jack Sinclair – 25 Disposals (22 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 523 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (6)

29 Disposals (16 Contested), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts, 501 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (St Kilda) Josh Battle (2)

23 Disposals (16 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 580 Metres Gained

3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Higgins (8) ⭐⭐

18 Disposals (12 Effective), 9 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 427 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals 

Note – The Saints were behind by a narrow margin at the half and kept the Giants goalless in the third term to set up the win.

Jack Higgins had a massive three-goal third quarter and helped the Saints pull away in a solid individual performance.

The Saints lost Rowan Marshall in the ruck, and it was Josh Battle that stood up. Battle didn’t win many taps but took a lot of marks around the ground and had a noticeable impact in the second half.

Jack Steele was again influential in the middle of the ground and is a decent vote chance.


Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows

Western Bulldogs 9.8 62 – Adelaide 8.15 63

(Adelaide by 1 Point)

Vote Chances

Josh Dunkley – 28 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Rory Laird – 30 Disposals (24 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 24 Pressure Acts and 11 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50)

Billy Frampton – 26 Disposals (23 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 502 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (1)

33 Disposals (21 Effective and 19 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 34 Pressure Acts and 522 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (5)

19 Disposals (10 Contested), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Adelaide) Ben Keays (7)

33 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 29 Pressure Acts and 624 Metres Gained

Note – The Crows pinched a close one, and this match will be tough to split with several contributors in a low-scoring contest.

Ben Keays was influential in the middle of the ground for Adelaide, and if he had been more accurate in front of goals, his chances for maximum votes would increase as he kicked four behinds.

Taylor Walker booted a couple of important goals in the match’s closing stages, which may stand out, but several players are a genuine vote chance in this clash.


Port Adelaide vs West Coast

Port Adelaide 18.9 117 – West Coast 4.9 33

(Port Adelaide by 84 Points)

Vote Chances

Jeremy Finlayson – 19 Disposals (13 Effective), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 2 Goal Assists and 5 Goals

Ollie Wines – 33 Disposals (13 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 668 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Travis Boak – 34 Disposals (25 Effective and 13 Contested), 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Dan Houston (4)

33 Disposals (22 Effective and 14 Contested), 11 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 457 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Todd Marshall (2)

14 Disposals (12 Effective), 11 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 7 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 343 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (3) ⭐⭐

31 Disposals (26 Effective and 15 Contested), 7 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Note – The Power made easy work of the Eagles, and Connor Rozee stood out with a lot of the football and used it at a high-efficiency rate.

The Power did have several solid contributors in this match, with forward Todd Marshall dangerous for most of the contest, but the minor votes could go several ways.


Fremantle vs Carlton

Fremantle 14.13 97 – Carlton 9.8 62

(Fremantle by 35 Points)

Vote Chances

Brennan Cox – 17 Disposals (17 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Intercept Marks), 5 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters and 4 Spoils

Sam Switkowski – 19 Disposals (13 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 28 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Rory Lobb – 14 Disposals, 5 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Lachie Schultz (4)

16 Disposals (13 Effective), 11 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 387 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (12)

27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (12) ⭐⭐

32 Disposals (26 Effective and 19 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

Note – The Dockers might have won the match, but Patrick Cripps was the best and most consistent player on the ground.

Cripps racked up a lot of the football, and anytime a midfielder has 30+ disposals and boots 3+ goals, they are a genuine chance for highest vote honours.

Andrew Brayshaw is a challenger for the votes and made a significant contribution in the win, whilst Lachie Schultz was lively all match up forward.


North Melbourne vs Geelong

North Melbourne 9.7 61 – Geelong 17.19 121

(Geelong by 60 Points)

Vote Chances

Cam Guthrie – 28 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles and 1 Goal

Tom Atkins – 23 Disposals (18 Effective and 12 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 3 One Percenters

Tom Hawkins – 17 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Joel Selwood (1)

24 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Geelong) Zach Tuohy (2)

32 Disposals (26 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 7 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements and 492 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (6) ⭐⭐⭐

16 Disposals (11 Effective), 9 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50), 13 Score Involvements, 428 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 7 Goals

Note – The Cats were never tested against the Kangaroos, and Jeremy Cameron will be the red hot favourite for maximum votes in this clash with seven goals. Cameron tallied a massive seven marks inside the forward fifty and provided many headaches for the Roos defenders.

The Ball use of Zach Tuohy stood out in this match, and he hit targets regularly to help set up scoring chances for the winning side.


Gold Coast vs Brisbane

Gold Coast 11.14 80 – Brisbane 21.6 132

(Brisbane by 52 Points)

Vote Chances

Hugh McCluggage – 22 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts and 3 Goal Assists

Lachie Neale – 25 Disposals (18 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Charlie Cameron – 14 Disposals, 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 8 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters, 5 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Lincoln McCarthy (3)

22 Disposals (14 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks, 3 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (5)

30 Disposals (13 Contested), 13 Clearances, 13 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 873 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Brisbane) Zac Bailey (4) ⭐⭐

17 Disposals (14 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts and 6 Goals

Note – The Lions were too good for the Suns, and a six-goal haul from Zac Bailey makes him the favourite for highest vote honours.

The minor votes could go several ways in this clash, with Jarryd Lyons, Lincoln McCarthy and a few others having solid matches.


Richmond vs Melbourne

Richmond 8.6 54 – Melbourne 9.22 76

(Melbourne by 22 Points)

Vote Chances

Christian Petracca – 25 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 437 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Max Gawn – 19 Disposals, 8 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 11 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

Alex Neal-Bullen – 27 Disposals (14 Contested), 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Richmond) Nick Vlastuin (1)

30 Disposals (23 Effective and 10 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (4 Intercept marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 544 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Melbourne) Ed Langdon (3)

30 Disposals (25 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 599 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (10) ⭐⭐⭐

41 Disposals (27 Effective and 22 Contested), 13 Clearances, 9 Inside 50S, 10 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts, 684 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Demons were behind at the major break, but a 23 disposal and 9 clearance second half from Clayton Oliver helped them lift and secure the win.

Oliver was consistent throughout the match and the red-hot favourite for highest vote honours.

The battle for the minor votes will be led by Demons wingman Ed Langdon who racked up a lot of the football on the wing and used it well.

Tigers defender Nick Vlastuin also had a noticeable impact on the back half for the Tigers.


Hawthorn vs Sydney

Hawthorn 10.8 68 – Sydney 16.13 109

(Sydney by 41 Points)

Vote Chances

Jaeger O’Meara – 20 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 10 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts and 338 Metres Gained

Lance Franklin – 18 Disposals, 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Luke Parker – 29 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 22 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Chad Warner (1)

24 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 422 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Sydney) Peter Ladhams (2)

19 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 15 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 One Percenters and 5 Spoils

3 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (8) ⭐⭐⭐

37 Disposals (34 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 660 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Note – The Swans had to come from behind in this clash, and Callum Mills had one of the best individual performances of the season. Mills racked up a lot of the football and used it at an elite 92% efficiency rate to be a real stand out.

Chad Warner and Peter Ladhams lifted in the second half to help the Swans secure the win.


Essendon vs Collingwood

Essendon 12.10 82 – Collingwood 15.3 93

(Collingwood by 11 Points)

Vote Chances

Zach Merrett – 36 Disposals (31 Effective), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 415 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Sam Draper – 16 Disposals (10 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 3 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

Scott Pendlebury – 25 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 25 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Jeremy Howe (1)

22 Disposals (20 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 4 Contested), 6 Rebound 50s and 325 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (7)

44 Disposals (33 Effective and 15 Contested), 12 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements and 8 Ground Ball Gets

3 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Ginnivan (3) ⭐⭐

12 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Score Involvements, 355 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

Note – Based on statistics Darcy Parish was probably the best player on the ground, but when the match was up for grabs, Jack Ginnivan stood up and booted three second-half goals.

Ginnivan finished with five goals for the game and won the Anzac Day Medal to be the difference in the latter stages.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 6

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps12
Andrew Brayshaw12
Lachie Neale10
Clayton Oliver10
Christian Petracca9
Jack Higgins8
Callum Mills8
Ben Keays7
Darcy Parish7
Isaac Heeney7

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5