Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 7 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 7 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 7 2022

West Coast vs Richmond

West Coast 8.8 56 – Richmond 25.15 165

(Richmond by 109 Points)

Vote Chances

Nick Vlastuin – 24 Disposals (20 Effective), 14 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 5 One Percenters

Kamdyn McIntosh – 21 Disposals (16 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 423 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Maurice Rioli – 14 Disposals (12 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 3 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Richmond) Jayden Short (6)

31 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 18 Pressure Acts, 792 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

2 Votes (Richmond) Shai Bolton (6)

30 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 15 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 719 Metres Gained, 4 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Richmond) Tom Lynch (3) ⭐⭐

19 Disposals (13 Effective and 13 Contested), 14 Marks (9 Marks Inside 50 and 8 Contested), 349 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 7 Goals

Note – The Eagles were outplayed from start to finish in this clash, and big forward Tom Lynch probably should have kicked double-figure goals. Lynch was busy all night up forward and ended up with 7 goals, 14 marks and 15 score involvements.

Lynch is a genuine chance for maximum vote honours, but Shai Bolton’s impact in the middle of the ground was very noticeable. Bolton was classy all night, whilst Jayden Short should also poll votes in this match.


Geelong vs Fremantle

Geelong 10.6 66 – Fremantle 10.9 69

(Fremantle by 3 Points)

Vote Chances

Cam Guthrie – 35 Disposals (14 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 19 Pressure Acts, 447 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Mark Blicavs – 20 Disposals (16 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (2 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

Griffin Logue – 13 Disposals (11 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 4 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters and 5 Spoils

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (13)

28 Disposals (18 Effective), 5 Inside 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 512 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Fremantle) Blake Acres (3)

27 Disposals (20 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 675 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Geelong) Tom Stewart (4) ⭐⭐

40 Disposals (32 Effective and 10 Contested), 11 Intercept Possessions, 14 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 9 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 4 Tackles, 962 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Dockers didn’t get off to a great start but faced their biggest test of the season in Geelong and managed to claw their way back for the win.

Tom Stewart was busy down back for the Cats and was probably the best player on the ground, with the Dockers putting in a solid team performance in the win.

Blake Acres was the standout for Fremantle, whilst the run and carry of Andrew Brayshaw gets noticed, and he lifted when the match was up for grabs.


Adelaide vs GWS

Adelaide 8.6 54 – GWS 17.11 113

(GWS by 59 Points)

Vote Chances

Jesse Hogan – 18 Disposals (12 Effective), 10 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 11 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Tim Taranto – 23 Disposals (16 Effective), 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 433 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Stephen Coniglio – 20 Disposals (14 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (6 Tackles Inside 50), 15 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (GWS) Isaac Cumming (1)

33 Disposals (25 Effective and 15 Contested), 15 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 7 Tackles and 402 Metres Gained

2 Votes (GWS) Toby Greene (2)

17 Disposals (11 Effective), 7 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

3 Votes (GWS) Josh Kelly (3) ⭐⭐

41 Disposals (30 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 736 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Note – The Giants travelled to Adelaide and led from start to finish on the back of a four-goal first half from forward Toby Greene.

Josh Kelly was the best and most consistent player on the ground, whilst defender Isaac Cumming intercepted the Crows attack on several occasions.


Melbourne vs Hawthorn

Melbourne 13.13 91 – Hawthorn 11.15 81

(Melbourne by 10 Points)

Vote Chances

Steven May – 20 Disposals (16 Effective), 15 Rebound 50s, 9 One Percenters, 7 Spoils and 687 Metres Gained

Dylan Moore – 33 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 546 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

James Sicily – 26 Disposals (20 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 9 Rebound 50s, 5 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 631 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (10)

31 Disposals (26 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 27 Pressure Acts, 637 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (12)

33 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 461 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Melbourne) Max Gawn (7) ⭐⭐⭐

29 Disposals (14 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Intercept Marks), 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage, 406 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Note – The Hawks put up a fight in this clash, but the Demons star players were the difference in the end and stood up when the match was up for grabs.

Max Gawn was the standout and dominated the stoppages, whilst Clayton Oliver and Christian Petracca will be tough to beat for the minor votes.


St Kilda vs Port Adelaide

St Kilda 4.18 42 – Port Adelaide 5.13 43

(Port Adelaide by 1 Point)

Vote Chances

Seb Ross – 31 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 752 Metres Gained

Robbie Gray – 15 Disposals (11 Effective), 4 Marks, 8 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Zak Butters – 23 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 399 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (7)

27 Disposals (20 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 37 Pressure Acts and 450 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (2)

27 Disposals (21 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ryan Burton (3)

25 Disposals (18 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 12 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 834 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The match wasn’t pretty to watch, but the Power got the narrow win after the Saints blew their chances in front of goal.

A tough match to split the votes, with no real standouts, but Power defender Ryan Burton was busy down back and always willing to move the ball forward.

Ollie Wines and Jack Steele racked up plenty of the football, but this match was tough to split, and the votes could go several ways.


Carlton vs North Melbourne

Carlton 17.12 114 – North Melbourne 10.4 64

(Carlton by 50 Points)

Vote Chances

Adam Saad – 25 Disposals (22 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 470 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Harry McKay – 15 Disposals, 11 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 334 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

Matthew Kennedy – 24 Disposals (18 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 11 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 5 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) Sam Docherty (2)

33 Disposals (25 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 506 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (4)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 24 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (15) ⭐⭐⭐

35 Disposals (24 Effective and 18 Contested), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 10 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 1 Goal

Note – The Blues were never really tested in this match against the Kangaroos, and it was Patrick Cripps that continued his fine start to the season. Cripps won a lot of contested footy and extracted it from congestion regularly to be the favourite for the three votes.

Sam Walsh again had an impact in the middle of the ground, whilst Sam Docherty was solid down back, and Harry McKay booted four goals.


Collingwood vs Gold Coast

Collingwood 17.13 115 – Gold Coast 14.6 90

(Collingwood by 25 Points)

Vote Chances

Darcy Cameron – 16 Disposals (13 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Contested ), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 5 Tackles and 2 Goals

Brody Mihocek – 13 Disposals (10 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters and 4 Goals

Scott Pendlebury – 25 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 416 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Patrick Lipinski (3)

30 Disposals (23 Effective), 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

2 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (7)

28 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts, 499 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (6) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (27 Effective and 17 Contested), 10 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 590 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

Note – The Pies got the early lead and maintained it for most of the contest, and Jack Crisp was again one of their better performers.

Gold Coast midfielder Touk Miller was probably the best and most consistent player on the ground and is a chance to poll the maximum votes.

The Magpies won the match with several contributors throughout the day.


Western Bulldogs vs Essendon

Western Bulldogs 16.7 103 – Essendon 10.11 71

(Western Bulldogs by 32 Points)

Vote Chances

Caleb Daniel – 32 Disposals (26 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 532 Metres Gained

Bailey Smith – 26 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 26 Pressure Acts, 453 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Tom Liberatore – 24 Disposals (17 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Dale (1)

28 Disposals (24 Effective), 7 Marks, 9 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 724 Metres Gained

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (2)

19 Disposals (15 Effective and 14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 5 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Josh Dunkley (5)

29 Disposals (16 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Note – The Bulldogs were too good for the Bombers and had several contributors, making it a tough match to split the votes.

Josh Dunkley was lively all day and booted a couple of goals, whilst Marcus Bontempelli had an impact when he got the football, despite just the 19 disposals.

Many chances for the votes in this clash, but looking unlikely a Bomber will sneak in.


Sydney vs Brisbane

Sydney 13.11 89 – Brisbane 17.11 113

(Brisbane by 24 Points)

Vote Chances

Luke Parker – 33 Disposals (24 Effective and 21 Contested), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Callum Mills – 30 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 417 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Hugh McCluggage – 28 Disposals (22 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 26 Pressure Acts, and 488 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (2)

22 Disposals (17 Effective), 8 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 446 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Sydney) Lance Franklin (2)

15 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 328 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (13) ⭐⭐⭐

37 Disposals (26 Contested and 25 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 20 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 418 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Note – The Lions went to Sydney and got the win, and Lachie Neale stood out in the middle of the ground. He racked up a stack of contested football and 11 clearances to be the favourite for highest vote honours.

Swans forward Lance Franklin booted six goals in a loss for the Swans and is a decent chance to poll in this match.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 7

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps15
Lachie Neale13
Andrew Brayshaw13
Clayton Oliver12
Christian Petracca10
Jack Higgins8
Callum Mills8
Ben Keays7
Jack Crisp7
Darcy Parish7
Max Gawn7
Jack Steele7
Isaac Heeney7

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6