The **Brownlow Medal Predictor** is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the** **projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.

The **DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor** uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

Here is the **Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 5 **of the **2022 AFL Season.**

Who will be the **Brownlow Medal Leader at Round 5 **of the 2022 Brownlow Medal Count?

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to **Gamble Responsibly.**

**Brisbane vs Collingwood**

*Brisbane 15.8 98 – Collingwood 14.7 91*

*Brisbane 15.8 98 – Collingwood 14.7 91*

*(Brisbane by 7 Points)*

*(Brisbane by 7 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Dayne Zorko –** 28 Disposals (23 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 609 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

**Zac Bailey –** 19 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements and 3 Goals

**Jordan De Goey –** 21 Disposals (18 Effective), 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 581 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (1)**

27 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 25 Pressure Acts

**2 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (5)**

36 Disposals (17 Contested), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 566 Metres Gained

**3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (10) **⭐⭐

33 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

**Note – **The Lions kicked off the Easter long weekend with a win, and 2020 Brownlow Medallist **Lachie Neale** will go in as the favourite for the three votes.

Several other Lions made solid contributions, and a couple of Pies had big matches, but hard to go past Neale, considering his past performances in previous counts.

**North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs**

*North Melbourne 11.5 71 – Western Bulldogs 21.13 139*

*North Melbourne 11.5 71 – Western Bulldogs 21.13 139*

*(Western Bulldogs by 68 Points)*

*(Western Bulldogs by 68 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Tim English** – 22 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 459 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

**Cody Weightman – **9 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Goals

**Marcus Bontempelli – **18 Disposals (15 Effective), 9 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (1)**

29 Disposals (27 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 486 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

**2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Aaron Naughton (2)**

12 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

**3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Smith (5) **⭐⭐

43 Disposals (31 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 646 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**Note **– The Bulldogs made easy work of the Kangaroos, and **Bailey Smith** had the football on a string with a massive 43 disposals. Smith would be almost a certainty for highest vote honours if he snagged a goal or two, but the Bulldogs had many contributors in this match and a couple of forwards that booted 5 goals each.

**West Coast vs Sydney**

*West Coast 9.4 58 – Sydney 18.13 121*

*West Coast 9.4 58 – Sydney 18.13 121*

**(Sydney by 63 Points)**

**(Sydney by 63 Points)**

**Vote Chances**

**Peter Ladhams –** 24 Disposals (16 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 414 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

**Errol Gulden –** 27 Disposals (19 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist

**Justin McInerney –** 24 Disposals (17 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Sydney) Isaac Heeney (7)**

16 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

**2 Votes (Sydney) Luke Parker (5)**

26 Disposals (17 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

**3 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (5) **⭐⭐

28 Disposals (20 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 525 Metres Gained

**Note – **The Swans dominated the Eagles from the get-go in this clash and kept them scoreless in the first term. They kept it going after the first break and won the match comfortably.

**Callum Mills** and **Luke Parker** were the two standouts, and they had many contributors in the big win out West.

**St Kilda vs Gold Coast**

*St Kilda 13.9 87 – Gold Coast 9.7 61*

*St Kilda 13.9 87 – Gold Coast 9.7 61*

*(St Kilda by 26 Points)*

*(St Kilda by 26 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Brad Crouch – **27 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 10 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

**Jack Sinclair –** 27 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One percenters, 17 Pressure Acts, 524 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**Touk Miller –** 32 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 486 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (5)**

27 Disposals (24 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts

**2 Votes (St Kilda) Jade Gresham (2)**

25 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 424 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

**3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Higgins (5) **⭐⭐

16 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

**Note – **The Saints pulled away from the Suns in the second half, and **Jack Higgins** was the clear X-Factor with 3 second-half goals. Higgins has an elite skillset inside the forward 50 and managed to boot 5 goals to be a real handful for the Suns defenders.

The Saints won the midfield battle, whilst **Touk Miller** tried hard all day and was the Suns best.

**Adelaide vs Richmond**

*Adelaide 15.11 101 – Richmond 12.10 82*

*Adelaide 15.11 101 – Richmond 12.10 82*

*(Adelaide by 19 Points)*

*(Adelaide by 19 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Jordan Dawson –** 24 Disposals (20 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 6 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 749 Metres Gained

**Tom Doedee – **22 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters and 7 Spoils

**Trent Cotchin –** 24 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 9 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 1 Goal

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Laird (5)**

26 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

**2 Votes (Adelaide) Ben Keays (4)**

31 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts and 478 Metres Gained

**3 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (3) **⭐⭐

16 Disposals (11 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 516 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

**Note –** The Crows got the home win against the Tigers, and **Taylor Walker** stood out in the early stages to help establish an early lead. He finished the game with 5 goals and is a genuine chance for the maximum votes.

**Ben Keays** and **Rory Laird** had a significant impact in the middle of the ground, whilst **Trent Cotchin** was the best player for the Tigers.

**Melbourne vs GWS**

*Melbourne 19.6 120 – GWS 7.11 53*

*Melbourne 19.6 120 – GWS 7.11 53*

*(Melbourne by 67 Points)*

*(Melbourne by 67 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Steven May – **24 Disposals (22 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 11 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 One Percenters, 7 Spoils, 5 Tackles and 447 Metres Gained

**Charlie Spargo –** 22 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 478 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

**Tom Green –** 34 Disposals (27 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 25 Pressure Acts, 475 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Melbourne) Max Gawn (4)**

21 Disposals (15 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 426 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

**2 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (7)**

31 Disposals (22 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 36 Pressure Acts, 440 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**3 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (9) **⭐

30 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 573 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

**Note –** The Demons made easy work of the Giants, and their three stars in the middle did most of the damage.

It will be tough to pick the maximum votes in this clash, but** Christian Petracca **had a massive 12 score involvements and hit the scoreboard for a couple of goals.

One of the big three should get the maximum votes in the sizeable Demons win.

**Carlton vs Port Adelaide**

*Carlton 14.10 94 – Port Adelaide 13.13 91*

*Carlton 14.10 94 – Port Adelaide 13.13 91*

*(Carlton by 3 Points)*

*(Carlton by 3 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Zak Butters –** 32 Disposals (26 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 536 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

**Ryan Burton – **29 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 554 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

**Dan Houston –** 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 8 Ground Ball Gets, 409 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Carlton) George Hewett (1)**

33 Disposals (30 Effective and 19 Contested), 13 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 19 Pressure Acts

**2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (2)**

38 Disposals (29 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 400 Metres Gained

**3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (4) **⭐

15 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

**Note –** The Blues managed to hold off a fast-finishing Power side, and **Charlie Curnow** was again impressive up forward and booted five goals.

**Sam Walsh** and **George Hewett** were also excellent, whilst Power midfielder **Zak Butters** stood up to give the Power a chance at the victory.

A tough match to split the votes, but Curnow had an impact and is a chance for the top votes.

**Essendon vs Fremantle**

*Essendon 8.11 59 – Fremantle 16.11 107*

*Essendon 8.11 59 – Fremantle 16.11 107*

*(Fremantle by 48 Points)*

*(Fremantle by 48 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Darcy Parish –** 33 Disposals (27 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 31 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

**Will Brodie –** 26 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements and 10 Ground Ball Gets,

**Caleb Serong –** 30 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 420 Metres Gained

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Fremantle) Sean Darcy (1)**

18 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Hit-outs to advantage and 2 Goals

**2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (10)**

34 Disposals (23 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 461 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

**3 Votes (Fremantle) Matt Taberner (3) **⭐⭐

11 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 7 Goals

**Note –** The Dockers made easy work of the Bombers, and 7 goals are usually enough for the maximum votes. **Matt Taberner** had a day out up forward for Fremantle and was a handful for the Bombers defenders.

**Andrew Brayshaw **and **Sean Darcy** were also outstanding in helping the Dockers pull away, but when a player boots 7 goals, they are hard to go past.

**Hawthorn vs Geelong**

*Hawthorn 14.8 92 – Geelong 11.14 80*

*Hawthorn 14.8 92 – Geelong 11.14 80*

*(Hawthorn by 12 Points)*

*(Hawthorn by 12 Points)*

**Vote Chances**

**Dylan Moore –** 19 Disposals, 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals

**Joel Selwood – **26 Disposals (23 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 10 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 562 Metres Gained

**Tom Stewart – **27 Disposals (24 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 7 One Percenters, 7 Spoils and 492 Metres Gained

**Projected Votes**

**1 Vote (Hawthorn) Jai Newcombe (1)**

31 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 653 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

**2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (2)**

33 Disposals (25 Effective and 21 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 16 Ground Ball Gets, 25 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

**3 Votes (Hawthorn) James Sicily (3) **⭐⭐

26 Disposals (23 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 15 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s and 486 Metres Gained

**Note –** The Easter Monday clash and the Hawks won the match as the underdogs.

**James Sicily** was very busy down back for most of the match and stood out with his marking and ability to intercept the football.

Midfielder **Jai Newcombe** was busy for most of the day, whilst **Tom Mitchell** just got better as the match went on.

It will be hard to squeeze in any of the Cats as the Hawks had a significant win, but** Joel Selwood **was very good in the middle of the ground.

**Leaderboard – Round 5**

**Top 10**

Name | Projected Votes |
---|---|

Lachie Neale | 10 |

Andrew Brayshaw | 10 |

Patrick Cripps | 9 |

Christian Petracca | 9 |

Clayton Oliver | 7 |

Isaac Heeney | 7 |

Rory Laird | 5 |

Jordan De Goey | 5 |

Jack Crisp | 5 |

Darcy Parish | 5 |

Tom Hawkins | 5 |

Patrick Dangerfield | 5 |

Tom Green | 5 |

Jayden Short | 5 |

Jack Higgins | 5 |

Jack Steele | 5 |

Luke Parker | 5 |

Callum Mills | 5 |

Bailey Smith | 5 |

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link **Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022** on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to **Gamble Responsibly. **