Brownlow Predictor, Leader Round 5 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three-vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 5 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Who will be the Brownlow Medal Leader at Round 5 of the 2022 Brownlow Medal Count?

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Predictor, Leader Round 5 2022

Brisbane vs Collingwood

Brisbane 15.8 98 – Collingwood 14.7 91

(Brisbane by 7 Points)

Vote Chances

Dayne Zorko – 28 Disposals (23 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 609 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Zac Bailey – 19 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements and 3 Goals

Jordan De Goey – 21 Disposals (18 Effective), 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 581 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (1)

27 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 25 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (5)

36 Disposals (17 Contested), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 566 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (10) ⭐⭐

33 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Note – The Lions kicked off the Easter long weekend with a win, and 2020 Brownlow Medallist Lachie Neale will go in as the favourite for the three votes.

Several other Lions made solid contributions, and a couple of Pies had big matches, but hard to go past Neale, considering his past performances in previous counts.


North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

North Melbourne 11.5 71 – Western Bulldogs 21.13 139

(Western Bulldogs by 68 Points)

Vote Chances

Tim English –  22 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 459 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Cody Weightman – 9 Disposals, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Goals

Marcus Bontempelli – 18 Disposals (15 Effective), 9 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (1)

29 Disposals (27 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 486 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Aaron Naughton (2)

12 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Smith (5) ⭐⭐

43 Disposals (31 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 646 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Bulldogs made easy work of the Kangaroos, and Bailey Smith had the football on a string with a massive 43 disposals. Smith would be almost a certainty for highest vote honours if he snagged a goal or two, but the Bulldogs had many contributors in this match and a couple of forwards that booted 5 goals each.


West Coast vs Sydney

West Coast 9.4 58 – Sydney 18.13 121

(Sydney by 63 Points)

Vote Chances

Peter Ladhams – 24 Disposals (16 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils, 414 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Errol Gulden – 27 Disposals (19 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist

Justin McInerney – 24 Disposals (17 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Isaac Heeney (7)

16 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Sydney) Luke Parker (5)

26 Disposals (17 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (5) ⭐⭐

28 Disposals (20 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 525 Metres Gained

Note – The Swans dominated the Eagles from the get-go in this clash and kept them scoreless in the first term. They kept it going after the first break and won the match comfortably.

Callum Mills and Luke Parker were the two standouts, and they had many contributors in the big win out West.


St Kilda vs Gold Coast

St Kilda 13.9 87 – Gold Coast 9.7 61

(St Kilda by 26 Points)

Vote Chances

Brad Crouch – 27 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 10 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Jack Sinclair – 27 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One percenters, 17 Pressure Acts, 524 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Touk Miller – 32 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 486 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (5)

27 Disposals (24 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (St Kilda) Jade Gresham (2)

25 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 424 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Higgins (5) ⭐⭐

16 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 5 Goals

Note – The Saints pulled away from the Suns in the second half, and Jack Higgins was the clear X-Factor with 3 second-half goals. Higgins has an elite skillset inside the forward 50 and managed to boot 5 goals to be a real handful for the Suns defenders.

The Saints won the midfield battle, whilst Touk Miller tried hard all day and was the Suns best.


Adelaide vs Richmond

Adelaide 15.11 101 – Richmond 12.10 82

(Adelaide by 19 Points)

Vote Chances

Jordan Dawson – 24 Disposals (20 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 6 One Percenters, 4 Spoils and 749 Metres Gained

Tom Doedee – 22 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters and 7 Spoils

Trent Cotchin – 24 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 9 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Laird (5)

26 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Adelaide) Ben Keays (4)

31 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts and 478 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (3) ⭐⭐

16 Disposals (11 Effective), 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 516 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

Note – The Crows got the home win against the Tigers, and Taylor Walker stood out in the early stages to help establish an early lead. He finished the game with 5 goals and is a genuine chance for the maximum votes.

Ben Keays and Rory Laird had a significant impact in the middle of the ground, whilst Trent Cotchin was the best player for the Tigers.


Melbourne vs GWS

Melbourne 19.6 120 – GWS 7.11 53

(Melbourne by 67 Points)

Vote Chances

Steven May – 24 Disposals (22 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 11 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 One Percenters, 7 Spoils, 5 Tackles and 447 Metres Gained

Charlie Spargo – 22 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 478 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Tom Green – 34 Disposals (27 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 25 Pressure Acts, 475 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Max Gawn (4)

21 Disposals (15 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 426 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (7)

31 Disposals (22 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 36 Pressure Acts, 440 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (9)

30 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 573 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Note – The Demons made easy work of the Giants, and their three stars in the middle did most of the damage.

It will be tough to pick the maximum votes in this clash, but Christian Petracca had a massive 12 score involvements and hit the scoreboard for a couple of goals.

One of the big three should get the maximum votes in the sizeable Demons win.


Carlton vs Port Adelaide

Carlton 14.10 94 – Port Adelaide 13.13 91

(Carlton by 3 Points)

Vote Chances

Zak Butters – 32 Disposals (26 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 536 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Ryan Burton – 29 Disposals (22 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 554 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Dan Houston – 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 8 Ground Ball Gets, 409 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) George Hewett (1)

33 Disposals (30 Effective and 19 Contested), 13 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 19 Pressure Acts

2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (2)

38 Disposals (29 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 400 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (4)

15 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

Note – The Blues managed to hold off a fast-finishing Power side, and Charlie Curnow was again impressive up forward and booted five goals.

Sam Walsh and George Hewett were also excellent, whilst Power midfielder Zak Butters stood up to give the Power a chance at the victory.

A tough match to split the votes, but Curnow had an impact and is a chance for the top votes.


Essendon vs Fremantle

Essendon 8.11 59 – Fremantle 16.11 107

(Fremantle by 48 Points)

Vote Chances

Darcy Parish – 33 Disposals (27 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 31 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists

Will Brodie – 26 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements and 10 Ground Ball Gets,

Caleb Serong – 30 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 420 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Sean Darcy (1)

18 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Hit-outs to advantage and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (10)

34 Disposals (23 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 461 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Fremantle) Matt Taberner (3) ⭐⭐

11 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 7 Goals

Note – The Dockers made easy work of the Bombers, and 7 goals are usually enough for the maximum votes. Matt Taberner had a day out up forward for Fremantle and was a handful for the Bombers defenders.

Andrew Brayshaw and Sean Darcy were also outstanding in helping the Dockers pull away, but when a player boots 7 goals, they are hard to go past.


Hawthorn vs Geelong

Hawthorn 14.8 92 – Geelong 11.14 80

(Hawthorn by 12 Points)

Vote Chances

Dylan Moore – 19 Disposals, 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals

Joel Selwood – 26 Disposals (23 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 10 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 562 Metres Gained

Tom Stewart – 27 Disposals (24 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 7 One Percenters, 7 Spoils and 492 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) Jai Newcombe (1)

31 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts, 653 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (2)

33 Disposals (25 Effective and 21 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 16 Ground Ball Gets, 25 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Hawthorn) James Sicily (3) ⭐⭐

26 Disposals (23 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 15 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s and 486 Metres Gained

Note – The Easter Monday clash and the Hawks won the match as the underdogs.

James Sicily was very busy down back for most of the match and stood out with his marking and ability to intercept the football.

Midfielder Jai Newcombe was busy for most of the day, whilst Tom Mitchell just got better as the match went on.

It will be hard to squeeze in any of the Cats as the Hawks had a significant win, but Joel Selwood was very good in the middle of the ground.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 5

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale10
Andrew Brayshaw10
Patrick Cripps9
Christian Petracca9
Clayton Oliver7
Isaac Heeney7
Rory Laird5
Jordan De Goey5
Jack Crisp5
Darcy Parish5
Tom Hawkins5
Patrick Dangerfield5
Tom Green5
Jayden Short5
Jack Higgins5
Jack Steele5
Luke Parker5
Callum Mills5
Bailey Smith5

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4