Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 8 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three-vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 8 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 8 2022

Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs

Port Adelaide 12.14 86 – Western Bulldogs 10.9 69

(Port Adelaide by 17 Points)

Vote Chances

Jeremy Finlayson – 14 Disposals (11 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 3 Goals

Connor Rozee – 21 Disposals (16 Effective), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Aaron Naughton – 15 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Todd Marshall (3)

13 Disposals (11 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (3)

32 Disposals (23 Effective and 20 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 10 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 16 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts and 543 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (5) ⭐⭐

30 Disposals (21 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 406 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Note – The Power got the better of the Bulldogs, and veteran midfielder Travis Boak stood out in the middle of the ground. Boak was in and around the action for most of the contest and helped set up scoring chances with a lot of contested ball and effective use of the footy.

Jack Macrae for the Bulldogs was busy in the middle of the ground, whilst the contested marking of Port big man Todd Marshall stood out at times.


Fremantle vs North Melbourne

Fremantle 15.12 102 – North Melbourne 3.6 24

(Fremantle by 78 Points)

Vote Chances

Caleb Serong – 27 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 3 One Percenters

Bailey Banfield – 18 Disposals, 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts, 437 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Heath Chapman – 25 Disposals (23 Effective and 10 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 1 Goal Assist

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Will Brodie (4)

37 Disposals (33 Effective), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 493 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Fremantle) Sean Darcy (3)

17 Disposals (14 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 20 Hit-outs to advantage and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (16) ⭐⭐

34 Disposals (25 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 599 Metres Gained

Note – The Dockers made easy work off the Kangaroos, and Andrew Brayshaw was again one of their best players. Brayshaw has incredible running power and makes smart decisions with a willingness to move the ball forward on most occasions.

Sean Darcy dominated the ruck with a massive 20 hit-outs to advantage for Freo, whilst Will Brodie continued his impressive form and racked up plenty of the footy.


Richmond vs Collingwood

Richmond 17.11 113 – Collingwood 12.14 86

(Richmond by 27 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Graham – 30 Disposals (10 Contested), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 39 Pressure Acts and 485 Metres Gained

Toby Nankervis – 23 Disposals (15 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage and 5 Tackles

Jack Crisp – 30 Disposals (22 Effective), 9 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts, 606 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Richmond) Shai Bolton (7)

21 Disposals (13 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 423 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Richmond) Trent Cotchin (2)

29 Disposals (13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 21 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Richmond) Tom Lynch (6) ⭐⭐⭐

25 Disposals (18 Effective and 11 Contested), 11 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 426 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – Tigers forward Tom Lynch was on from the get-go in this match and provided a lot of headaches for the Pies defenders.

Lynch had five goals at halftime to be the difference and ended up with six for the match in a best-on-ground showing.

Trent Cotchin was one of the better midfielders on the ground, whilst Shai Bolton was dangerous when he went near the football.


Sydney vs Gold Coast

Sydney 8.13 61 – Gold Coast 10.15 75

(Gold Coast by 14 Points)

Vote Chances

Izak Rankine – 13 Disposals, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 410 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Brayden Fiorini – 29 Disposals, 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 448 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Matt Rowell – 16 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 18 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Will Powell (1)

19 Disposals (10 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Jarrod Witts (3)

19 Disposals (15 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 11 Hit-outs to advantage

3 Votes (Gold Coast) David Swallow (3)

24 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 437 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – The Suns got the unexpected away win against the Swans in a solid overall team performance.

This match is tough to split the votes with several contributors for the Suns, but veteran midfielder David Swallow will likely be the favourite for top vote honours.

The Suns pulled away in the final term, and Swallow was one of the standouts in the concluding stages, whilst the Swans had no answers for Jarrod Witts in the ruck.

The votes could go a few different ways in this match, but the Suns won on the back of solid performances from several players.


GWS vs Geelong

GWS 4.11 35 – Geelong 12.16 88

(Geelong by 53 Points)

Vote Chances

Tyson Stengle – 20 Disposals (13 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 457 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Patrick Dangerfield – 28 Disposals (13 Contested), 6 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 490 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Zach Guthrie – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 474 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (7)

12 Disposals, 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

2 Votes (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (2)

25 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 5 Hit-outs to advantage, 8 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 511 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (3) ⭐⭐

33 Disposals (28 Effective), 12 Marks, 4 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements and 386 Metres Gained

Note – The Cats dominated the Giants in Canberra, and a 16 disposal first term from Mitch Duncan set the scene early. Duncan used the football efficiently for most of the match and will likely be the favourite for the maximum votes.

Mark Blicavs racked up a lot of the football throughout the match, and the five goals from star forward Jeremy Cameron cannot be denied, as three of those came in the first quarter.


Essendon vs Hawthorn

Essendon 16.12 108 – Hawthorn 11.15 81

(Essendon by 27 Points)

Vote Chances

Nic Martin – 22 Disposals (17 Effective), 9 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Dyson Heppell – 25 Disposals (23 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s and 7 Ground Ball Gets

Jaeger O’Meara – 28 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 459 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Zach Merrett (1)

28 Disposals (21 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 439 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (9)

32 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 442 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Essendon) Peter Wright (3) ⭐⭐

16 Disposals (14 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 7 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 372 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – The Bombers stormed home in the final term to win this match, and big forward Peter Wright was the difference with three last-quarter goals and a total of six for the game.

Bombers midfielder Darcy Parish was again influential in the middle of the ground, whilst Zach Merrett provided a lot of support.

Peter Wright was the difference in the end and should go in as the favourite for the maximum votes.


Brisbane vs West Coast

Brisbane 16.9 105 – West Coast 4.6 30

(Brisbane by 75 Points)

Vote Chances

Charlie Cameron – 10 Disposals, 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

Daniel Rich – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks and 6 Ground Ball Gets

Shannon Hurn – 27 Disposals (25 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 9 Rebound 50s, 4 Tackles and 413 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (3)

26 Disposals (22 Effective), 10 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 537 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

2 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (15)

29 Disposals (20 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 17 Pressure Acts

3 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (4) ⭐⭐⭐

26 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 25 Pressure Acts, 3 Goal Assists and 4 Goals

Note – The Eagles were competitive at times, but the talented Lions outfit was too good in the end and won by a comfortable margin.

Hugh McCluggage was the standout for the Lions, and whenever a midfielder boots multiple goals, they are always a chance for the maximum votes.

Lachie Neale was again influential in the middle of the ground, and the ball use of Dayne Zorko and Daniel Rich stood out throughout the win.


Melbourne vs St Kilda

Melbourne 14.9 93 – St Kilda 8.7 55

(Melbourne by 38 Points)

Vote Chances

Christian Petracca – 36 Disposals (16 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts, 629 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Kysaiah Pickett – 14 Disposals (12 Contested and 10 Effective), 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 14 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

James Harmes – 16 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 467 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Angus Brayshaw (3)

31 Disposals (22 Effective and 10 Contested), 11 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 496 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Melbourne) Ed Langdon (5)

39 Disposals (31 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 566 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (15) ⭐⭐

38 Disposals (30 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts

Note – The Demons did not have any issues taking care of the Saints, and Clayton Oliver continued his impressive season with a lot of the football and used it efficiently.

Ed Langdon found a lot of the football on the wing, and Angus Brayshaw intercepted the football on a regular occurrence, but hard to go past Oliver for the maximum votes.


Carlton vs Adelaide

Carlton 17.14 116 – Adelaide 10.8 68

(Carlton by 48 Points)

Vote Chances

Sam Docherty – 30 Disposals (24 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 455 Metres Gained

Zac Fisher – 23 Disposals (18 Effective), 8 Marks, 11 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 376 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Matthew Kennedy – 23 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 24 Pressure Acts, 610 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) Adam Cerra (2)

27 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 550 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (17)

35 Disposals (28 Effective and 19 Contested), 5 Marks, 10 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (7) ⭐⭐

21 Disposals (12 Contested), 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 7 Inside 50s, 15 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 609 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

Note – The Blues were too good for the Crows, and forward Charlie Curnow was again impressive with a six-goal haul. Curnow racked up a decent amount of football in this clash and was involved in the Blues scoring on 15 occasions.

Star midfielder Patrick Cripps also had a big match but had just the 9 kicks to go with his 26 handballs.

Curnow racked up 20 kicks in this match and booted six goals, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Cripps got the highest votes as his impact was noticeable.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 8

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps17
Andrew Brayshaw16
Lachie Neale15
Clayton Oliver15
Christian Petracca10
Darcy Parish9
Jack Higgins8
Callum Mills8
Ben Keays7
Charlie Curnow7
Jack Crisp7
Jeremy Cameron7
Max Gawn7
Shai Bolton7
Jack Steele7
Isaac Heeney7

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7