The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 8 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs
Port Adelaide 12.14 86 – Western Bulldogs 10.9 69
(Port Adelaide by 17 Points)
Vote Chances
Jeremy Finlayson – 14 Disposals (11 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 3 Goals
Connor Rozee – 21 Disposals (16 Effective), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Aaron Naughton – 15 Disposals (11 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Todd Marshall (3)
13 Disposals (11 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (3)
32 Disposals (23 Effective and 20 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 10 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 16 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts and 543 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (5) ⭐⭐
30 Disposals (21 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 406 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Note – The Power got the better of the Bulldogs, and veteran midfielder Travis Boak stood out in the middle of the ground. Boak was in and around the action for most of the contest and helped set up scoring chances with a lot of contested ball and effective use of the footy.
Jack Macrae for the Bulldogs was busy in the middle of the ground, whilst the contested marking of Port big man Todd Marshall stood out at times.
Fremantle vs North Melbourne
Fremantle 15.12 102 – North Melbourne 3.6 24
(Fremantle by 78 Points)
Vote Chances
Caleb Serong – 27 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 3 One Percenters
Bailey Banfield – 18 Disposals, 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts, 437 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Heath Chapman – 25 Disposals (23 Effective and 10 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) Will Brodie (4)
37 Disposals (33 Effective), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 493 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Fremantle) Sean Darcy (3)
17 Disposals (14 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 20 Hit-outs to advantage and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (16) ⭐⭐
34 Disposals (25 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 599 Metres Gained
Note – The Dockers made easy work off the Kangaroos, and Andrew Brayshaw was again one of their best players. Brayshaw has incredible running power and makes smart decisions with a willingness to move the ball forward on most occasions.
Sean Darcy dominated the ruck with a massive 20 hit-outs to advantage for Freo, whilst Will Brodie continued his impressive form and racked up plenty of the footy.
Richmond vs Collingwood
Richmond 17.11 113 – Collingwood 12.14 86
(Richmond by 27 Points)
Vote Chances
Jack Graham – 30 Disposals (10 Contested), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 39 Pressure Acts and 485 Metres Gained
Toby Nankervis – 23 Disposals (15 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage and 5 Tackles
Jack Crisp – 30 Disposals (22 Effective), 9 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts, 606 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Shai Bolton (7)
21 Disposals (13 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 423 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Richmond) Trent Cotchin (2)
29 Disposals (13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 21 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Richmond) Tom Lynch (6) ⭐⭐⭐
25 Disposals (18 Effective and 11 Contested), 11 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 426 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
Note – Tigers forward Tom Lynch was on from the get-go in this match and provided a lot of headaches for the Pies defenders.
Lynch had 5-goals at halftime to be the difference and ended up with 6 for the match in a best-on-ground showing.
Trent Cotchin was one of the better midfielders on the ground, whilst Shai Bolton was dangerous when he went near the football.
Sydney vs Gold Coast
Sydney 8.13 61 – Gold Coast 10.15 75
(Gold Coast by 14 Points)
Vote Chances
Izak Rankine – 13 Disposals, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 410 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Brayden Fiorini – 29 Disposals, 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 448 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Matt Rowell – 16 Disposals (15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 18 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Will Powell (1)
19 Disposals (10 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters and 3 Spoils
2 Votes (Gold Coast) Jarrod Witts (3)
19 Disposals (15 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 11 Hit-outs to advantage
3 Votes (Gold Coast) David Swallow (3) ⭐
24 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 437 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Suns got the unexpected away win against the Swans in a solid overall team performance.
This match is tough to split the votes with several contributors for the Suns, but veteran midfielder David Swallow will likely be the favourite for top vote honours.
The Suns pulled away in the final term, and Swallow was one of the standouts in the concluding stages, whilst the Swans had no answers for Jarrod Witts in the ruck.
The votes could go a few different ways in this match, but the Suns won on the back of solid performances from several players.
GWS vs Geelong
GWS 4.11 35 – Geelong 12.16 88
(Geelong by 53 Points)
Vote Chances
Tyson Stengle – 20 Disposals (13 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 457 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Patrick Dangerfield – 28 Disposals (13 Contested), 6 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 490 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Zach Guthrie – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 474 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (7)
12 Disposals, 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
2 Votes (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (2)
25 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 5 Hit-outs to advantage, 8 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 511 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (3) ⭐⭐
33 Disposals (28 Effective), 12 Marks, 4 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements and 386 Metres Gained
Note – The Cats dominated the Giants in Canberra, and a 16 disposal first term from Mitch Duncan set the scene early. Duncan used the football efficiently for most of the match and will likely be the favourite for the maximum votes.
Mark Blicavs racked up a lot of the football throughout the match, and the 5 goals from star forward Jeremy Cameron cannot be denied, as 3 of those came in the first quarter.
Essendon vs Hawthorn
Essendon 16.12 108 – Hawthorn 11.15 81
(Essendon by 27 Points)
Vote Chances
Nic Martin – 22 Disposals (17 Effective), 9 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Dyson Heppell – 25 Disposals (23 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s and 7 Ground Ball Gets
Jaeger O’Meara – 28 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 459 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Zach Merrett (1)
28 Disposals (21 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 439 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (9)
32 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 442 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Essendon) Peter Wright (3) ⭐⭐
16 Disposals (14 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 7 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 372 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
Note – The Bombers stormed home in the final term to win this match, and big forward Peter Wright was the difference with 3 last-quarter goals and a total of 6 for the game.
Bombers midfielder Darcy Parish was again influential in the middle of the ground, whilst Zach Merrett provided a lot of support.
Peter Wright was the difference in the end and should go in as the favourite for the maximum votes.
Brisbane vs West Coast
Brisbane 16.9 105 – West Coast 4.6 30
(Brisbane by 75 Points)
Vote Chances
Charlie Cameron – 10 Disposals, 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements and 4 Goals
Daniel Rich – 28 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks and 6 Ground Ball Gets
Shannon Hurn – 27 Disposals (25 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 9 Rebound 50s, 4 Tackles and 413 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (3)
26 Disposals (22 Effective), 10 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 537 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
2 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (15)
29 Disposals (20 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 17 Pressure Acts
3 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (4) ⭐⭐⭐
26 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 25 Pressure Acts, 3 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
Note – The Eagles were competitive at times, but the talented Lions outfit were too good in the end and won by a comfortable margin.
Hugh McCluggage was the standout for the Lions, and whenever a midfielder boots multiple goals, they are always a chance for the maximum votes.
Lachie Neale was again influential in the middle of the ground, and the ball use of Dayne Zorko and Daniel Rich stood out throughout the win.
Melbourne vs St Kilda
Melbourne 14.9 93 – St Kilda 8.7 55
(Melbourne by 38 Points)
Vote Chances
Christian Petracca – 36 Disposals (16 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts, 629 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Kysaiah Pickett – 14 Disposals (12 Contested and 10 Effective), 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 14 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals
James Harmes – 16 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 467 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Melbourne) Angus Brayshaw (3)
31 Disposals (22 Effective and 10 Contested), 11 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 496 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Melbourne) Ed Langdon (5)
39 Disposals (31 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 566 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (15) ⭐⭐
38 Disposals (30 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts
Note – The Demons did not have any issues taking care of the Saints, and Clayton Oliver continued his impressive season with a lot of the football and used it efficiently.
Ed Langdon found a lot of the football on the wing, and Angus Brayshaw intercepted the football on a regular occurrence, but hard to go past Oliver for the maximum votes.
Carlton vs Adelaide
Carlton 17.14 116 – Adelaide 10.8 68
(Carlton by 48 Points)
Vote Chances
Sam Docherty – 30 Disposals (24 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 455 Metres Gained
Zac Fisher – 23 Disposals (18 Effective), 8 Marks, 11 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 376 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Matthew Kennedy – 23 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 24 Pressure Acts, 610 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Adam Cerra (2)
27 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 550 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (17)
35 Disposals (28 Effective and 19 Contested), 5 Marks, 10 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (7) ⭐⭐
21 Disposals (12 Contested), 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 7 Inside 50s, 15 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 609 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
Note – The Blues were too good for the Crows, and forward Charlie Curnow was again impressive with a 6-goal haul. Curnow racked up a decent amount of football in this clash and was involved in the Blues scoring on 15 occasions.
Star midfielder Patrick Cripps also had a big match, but had just the 9 kicks to go with his 26 handballs.
Curnow racked up 20 kicks in this match and booted 6 goals, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Cripps got the highest votes as his impact was also noticeable.
Leaderboard – Round 8
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Patrick Cripps | 17 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | 16 |
| Lachie Neale | 15 |
| Clayton Oliver | 15 |
| Christian Petracca | 10 |
| Darcy Parish | 9 |
| Jack Higgins | 8 |
| Callum Mills | 8 |
| Ben Keays | 7 |
| Charlie Curnow | 7 |
| Jack Crisp | 7 |
| Jeremy Cameron | 7 |
| Max Gawn | 7 |
| Shai Bolton | 7 |
| Jack Steele | 7 |
| Isaac Heeney | 7 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.