The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 9 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs
Collingwood 7.9 51 – Western Bulldogs 14.15 99
(Western Bulldogs by 48 Points)
Vote Chances
Jack Macrae – 37 Disposals (29 Effective and 14 Contested), 8 Marks, 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts and 449 Metres Gained
Tom Liberatore – 31 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 12 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 8 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Marcus Bontempelli – 26 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 493 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Josh Dunkley (6)
24 Disposals (22 Effective), 9 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements and 3 Goals
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Smith (7)
41 Disposals (26 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 684 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Adam Treloar (3) ⭐⭐
35 Disposals (24 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 537 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Note – The Dogs were too good for the Pies on a Friday Night, and the former Pie, Adam Treloar, stood up against his old side.
Treloar racked up plenty of football to go along with his 3 goals and was named the Charlie Sutton-Bob Rose Medal winner for a best-on-ground performance.
Bulldogs midfielder Bailey Smith was very busy during the match and racked up 41 disposals, whilst there were several other contributors for the Bulldogs side.
Treloar won the medal and will likely go in favourite for highest vote honours.
Hawthorn vs Richmond
Hawthorn 14.10 94 – Richmond 17.15 117
(Richmond by 23 Points)
Vote Chances
Tom Lynch – 16 Disposals (12 Effective), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
Toby Nankervis – 20 Disposals (15 Contested), 8 Clearances, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils and 1 Goal
Liam Baker – 24 Disposals (16 Effective and 12 Contested), 14 Intercept Possessions, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 20 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Dion Prestia (2)
28 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 510 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Richmond) Shai Bolton (9)
20 Disposals, 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 7 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 17 Pressure Acts, 422 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Richmond) Dustin Martin (3) ⭐
20 Disposals (16 Effective), 4 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 409 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
Note – The Tigers won against the Hawks, and both Dustin Martin and Shai Bolton impressed with 5 goals between them.
There were several contributors in this match, and the votes could go several ways, but the Tigers won the game, and both Martin and Bolton had an impact when the match was up for grabs.
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
North Melbourne 6.10 46 – Port Adelaide 17.13 115
(Port Adelaide by 69 Points)
Vote Chances
Luke Davies-Uniacke – 25 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 36 Pressure Acts and 431 Metres Gained
Karl Amon – 24 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 606 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Allir Allir – 14 Disposals (14 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 7 One Percenters and 7 Spoils
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (4)
27 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Sam Powell-Pepper (2)
23 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (5) ⭐⭐⭐
32 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 575 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – The Power made easy work of the Kangaroos, and 2021 Brownlow Medal Winner Ollie Wines was the star in a clear best-on-ground showing.
Wines racked up a lot of the football and booted a couple of goals the be the favourite for highest vote honours.
There are several chances for the minor votes, but Sam Powell-Pepper and Connor Rozee were both impressive for the Power and busy around the action for most of the day.
St Kilda vs Geelong
St Kilda 13.12 90 – Geelong 11.14 80
(St Kilda by 10 Points)
Vote Chances
Jack Sinclair – 31 Disposals (25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 650 Metres Gained
Zach Tuohy – 26 Disposals (20 Effective), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 559 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Joel Selwood – 22 Disposals (17 Effective and 12 Contested), 10 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 5 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 512 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Jade Gresham (3)
30 Disposals (21 Effective and 13 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 18 Pressure Acts and 318 Metres Gained
2 Votes (St Kilda) Paddy Ryder (2)
10 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
3 Votes (St Kilda) Brad Crouch (6) ⭐⭐
36 Disposals (27 Effective and 18 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Saints pulled off a big win against the Cats, and midfielder Brad Crouch will lead the charge for the maximum votes as he won a lot of contested footy throughout the win.
Paddy Ryder may have only had the 10 disposals, but some of his ruck work in the concluding stages of the match went a long way to helping the Saints pull off the upset win.
Crouch gets the nod, but the impact of Ryder was noticeable when the match was up for grabs, and he hit the scoreboard with three goals.
Sydney vs Essendon
Sydney 14.21 105 – Essendon 6.11 47
(Sydney by 58 Points)
Vote Chances
Luke Parker – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 538 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Errol Gulden – 26 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 504 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Lance Franklin – 16 Disposals, 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 316 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Sydney) Tom Papley (1)
21 Disposals (17 Effective), 10 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 323 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Sydney) Chad Warner (3)
32 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 507 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (11) ⭐⭐
29 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 13 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 453 Metres Gained
Note – The Swans were too good for the Bombers, and Callum Mills won a heap of the football and applied a stack of pressure on the opposition with 13 tackles.
Mills should be the favourite for the maximum votes, but the Swans had several contributors in the win, with Lance Franklin and Tom Papley marking the ball in dangerous positions and helping set up a lot of scoring chances.
Chad Warner and Errol Gulden also had a noticeable impact throughout the match.
Adelaide vs Brisbane
Adelaide 9.12 66 – Brisbane 16.6 102
(Brisbane 36 Points)
Vote Chances
Rory Laird – 33 Disposals (24 Effective and 17 Contested), 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles and 25 Pressure Acts
Oscar McInerney – 11 Disposals, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 7 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Zac Bailey – 19 Disposals (13 Effective), 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 485 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (6)
24 Disposals (17 Effective and 16 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 7 Tackles, 34 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (5)
26 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 518 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (18) ⭐⭐
36 Disposals (24 Effective and 19 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 391 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Crows hung around against the Lions, but Brisbane pulled away in the third term, and their star players stood up.
Lachie Neale will lead the charge for the votes and got better as the match went on, whilst Dayne Zorko and Jarryd Lyons showed their class when the game was up for grabs.
Lachie Neale is a proven vote-getter and gets the nod. However, there are several contenders for votes, with Oscar McInerney dominating the ruck, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Charlie Cameron polls with 4 goals from just the 8 disposals.
Gold Coast vs Fremantle
Gold Coast 10.9 69 – Fremantle 4.9 33
(Gold Coast by 36 Points)
Vote Chances
Jarrod Witts – 10 Disposals, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 7 One Percenters, 7 Spoils, 9 Tackles, 15 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Izak Rankine – 18 Disposals (15 Contested), 11 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Caleb Serong – 26 Disposals (14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 14 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 34 Pressure Acts and 333 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Matt Rowell (4)
18 Disposals (15 Contested), 9 Clearances, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles and 29 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Gold Coast) Mabior Chol
10 Disposals, 4 Marks (4 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50 ), 7 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles and 4 Goals
3 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (9) ⭐⭐⭐
34 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 587 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Dockers led the inside 50s by a comfortable margin but struggled in the wet conditions, and the Suns took full advantage.
Touk Miller was best-on-ground and made the most of Jarrod Witts dominating the ruck at stoppages.
Mabior Chol was dangerous up forward and snagged 4 goals, but Touk Miller will be very hard to beat for the maximum votes.
GWS vs Carlton
GWS 11.9 75 – Carlton 15.15 105
(Carlton by 30 Points)
Vote Chances
Josh Kelly – 36 Disposals (31 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts, 401 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
George Hewett – 30 Disposals (22 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Jack Silvagni – 20 Disposals (16 Effective), 8 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Matthew Kennedy (3)
27 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 392 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Docherty (4)
28 Disposals (27 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 44 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (7) ⭐⭐
31 Disposals (27 Effective and 15 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Note – The Blues pulled away from the Giants in the final term, and Sam Walsh will lead the charge for the votes with a stack of footy and he used it at a high-efficiency rate.
Sam Docherty and Matthew Kennedy both had a significant impact in the final term, and GWS midfielder Josh Kelly is a chance to poll and was the Giant’s best.
West Coast vs Melbourne
West Coast 5.8 38 – Melbourne 16.16 112
(Melbourne by 74 Points)
Vote Chances
Kysaiah Pickett – 20 Disposals (15 Effective), 4 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 357 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Clayton Oliver – 29 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Tom McDonald – 14 Disposals, 5 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (West Coast) Connor West (1)
29 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts and 405 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Melbourne) Jack Viney (3)
27 Disposals (24 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 12 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (13) ⭐⭐
28 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts, 466 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Note – The Demons made easy work of the Eagles, and the skills of Christian Petracca were on show. Petracca was dangerous all day and racked up a massive 14 score involvements in the win.
Demons midfielder Jack Viney was busy all day and provided a lot of pressure on the Eagle’s mids, whilst the Demons forwards had plenty of chances to hit the scoreboard in the win.
The Eagles lost the match, but Connor West played the best game of his career and was the Eagle’s best player.
Leaderboard – Round 9
Top 10
Name | Projected Votes |
---|---|
Lachie Neale | 18 |
Patrick Cripps | 17 |
Andrew Brayshaw | 16 |
Clayton Oliver | 15 |
Christian Petracca | 13 |
Callum Mills | 11 |
Darcy Parish | 9 |
Touk Miller | 9 |
Shai Bolton | 9 |
Jack Higgins | 8 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.