Brownlow Predictor, Leader Round 10 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022, but will be released later in the season to allow a more in-depth analysis of each AFL match.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and using key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 10 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Who will be the Brownlow Medal Leader at Round 10 of the 2022 Brownlow Medal Count?

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Predictor, Leader Round 10 2022

Carlton vs Sydney

Carlton 15.12 102 – Sydney 13.9 87

(Carlton by 15 Points)

Vote Chances

Jacob Weitering – 14 Disposals (13 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 14 One Percenters and 12 Spoils

Matthew Kennedy – 21 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Luke Parker – 26 Disposals (13 Contested), 9 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Carlton) George Hewett (2)

32 Disposals (17 Contested), 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (9)

34 Disposals (26 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Carlton) Charlie Curnow (10) ⭐⭐

11 Disposals (10 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements and 6 Goals

Note – The Blues got it done against the Swans, and their big forward Charlie Curnow was again impressive and booted six goals.

Curnow didn’t get much of the football in this match, but the Blues had a sizeable halftime lead, and Curnow kicked five goals at the major break.

Sam Walsh was impressive and racked up a lot of the football, as did George Hewett, but Curnow had the most significant impact in the match with six majors.


Geelong vs Port Adelaide

Geelong 11.16 82 – Port Adelaide 7.5 47

(Geelong by 35 Points)

Vote Chances

Tom Stewart – 27 Disposals (24 Effective), 13 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 One Percenters and 5 Spoils

Mark Blicavs – 18 Disposals (14 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Hit-outs to advantage and 4 Tackles

Brandon Parfitt – 25 Disposals (20 Effective), 4 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 8 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Dan Houston (5)

30 Disposals (23 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 One Percenters, 3 Spoils and 514 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (9)

24 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Marks (3 Contested), 3 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 629 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (3) ⭐⭐

38 Disposals (27 Effective and 16 Contested), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 400 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Cats were tested early against the Power but pulled away in the second half and won the match.

Cam Guthrie had a big game in the middle of the ground and racked up 38 disposals and 10 clearances to be the favourite for the maximum votes.

Jeremy Cameron was dangerous up forward for most of the match, and his damaging left foot boot kicked three goals and put the ball inside 50 on eight occasions.

Those two Cats were the best two on the ground, and Dan Houston was busy all day and the Power’s best player.


Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast

Western Bulldogs 15.16 106 – Gold Coast 13.9 87

(Western Bulldogs by 19 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Macrae – 34 Disposals (24 Effective and 15 Contested), 10 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 20 Pressure Acts, 440 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Ed Richards – 20 Disposals (19 Effective), 13 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (8 Intercept Marks and 4 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 412 Metres Gained

David Swallow – 25 Disposals (17 Effective and 17 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 664 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Joel Jeffrey

10 Disposals, 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 5 Score Involvements and 5 Goals

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Smith (9)

34 Disposals (23 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 722 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (5) ⭐⭐

24 Disposals (18 Effective and 14 Contested), 8 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 589 Metres Gained and 3 Goals

Note – The Dogs got the win against the Suns, and it was their star midfielder that stood out with three goals. The match was close, and Marcus Bontempelli booted three second-half goals to be the difference in helping the Bulldogs get the win.

Bailey Smith was again impressive and racked up a heap of the footy, as did Jack Macrae, and Ed Richards played one of his best games with a stack of intercept possessions and intercept marks.

A little-known Suns forward, Joel Jeffrey, booted five goals, but hard to go past Bontempelli in this one.


North Melbourne vs Melbourne

North Melbourne 8.5 53 – Melbourne 14.16 100

(Melbourne by 47 Points)

Vote Chances

Luke McDonald – 31 Disposals (25 Effective), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts, 640 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Tom Sparrow – 20 Disposals (13 Effective), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Max Gawn – 15 Disposals, 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (North Melbourne) Aidan Corr (1)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 11 Rebound 50s, 12 One Percenters, 11 Spoils and 493 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (15)

30 Disposals (22 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 616 Metres Gained and 4 Goal Assists

3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (18) ⭐⭐⭐

45 Disposals (30 Effective and 22 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 11 Clearances, 13 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 17 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 22 Pressure Acts and 621 Metres Gained

Note – The Kangaroos were sometimes competitive in this clash, but the Demons pulled away and registered yet another win.

Clayton Oliver was a clear best on ground with a stack of the football and finished in double figures for clearances and inside 50s.

Christian Petracca had a solid game for the Demons and will be tough to beat for the two votes.

Kangaroos defender Aidan Corr was impressive on the defensive end all match, but there will be a few contenders for the single vote in this match.


Adelaide vs St Kilda

Adelaide 9.15 69 – St Kilda 14.6 90

(St Kilda by 21 Points)

Vote Chances

Brodie Smith – 28 Disposals (21 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 659 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

Callum Wilkie – 19 Disposals (14 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 11 One Percenters, 9 Spoils and 1 Goal Assist

Brad Crouch – 31 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Brad Hill (2)

30 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 586 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Sinclair (4)

32 Disposals (28 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 492 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (St Kilda) Max King (6)

7 Disposals, 6 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 6 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 2 Spoils and 6 Goals

Note – The Saints got the away win against the Crows on the back of a solid team performance and a big forward that stood up when the match was up for grabs.

This match was hard to split with no massive standouts, but Max King booted four second-half goals and finished with six for the game to be the difference. King marked the ball in dangerous positions and kicked six goals to be the X-Factor, despite only having seven disposals.

Brad Hill and Jack Sinclair were impressive, as was Brad Crouch, but this match will be difficult to split the votes and could go several ways.


Richmond vs Essendon

Richmond 11.14 80 – Essendon 7.6 48

(Richmond by 32 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Riewoldt – 11 Disposals, 10 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 332 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

Toby Nankervis – 19 Disposals (14 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 8 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Hit-outs to advantage, 7 One Percenters, 6 Spoils and 19 Pressure Acts  

Mason Redman – 29 Disposals (20 Effective), 10 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 950 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Darcy Parish (10)

43 Disposals (27 Effective and 19 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts, 572 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

2 Votes (Richmond) Liam Baker (2)

30 Disposals (27 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 3 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 475 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist

3 Votes (Richmond) Dion Prestia (5) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (28 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 503 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Note –  The Tigers were too good for the Bombers in the DreamTime Clash, and Dion Prestia won the Yiooken Award for best on the ground.

Prestia won the football regularly and used it efficiently to be the favourite for the highest vote honours.

Liam Baker had a noticeable impact in the match, whilst Darcy Parish racked up 43 disposals and is a genuine chance to poll votes, despite the loss.


GWS vs West Coast

GWS 21.12 138 – West Coast 13.8 86

(GWS by 52 Points)

Vote Chances

Josh Kelly – 29 Disposals (22 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 416 Metres Gained

Tom Green – 18 Disposals (13 Effective0, 4 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals

Matt Flynn – 18 Disposals (12 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Intercept Marks), 14 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 14 Hit-outs to advantage and 3 One Percenters

Projected Votes

1 Vote (GWS) James Peatling (1)

23 Disposals (22 Effective), 11 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals

2 Votes (GWS) Harry Perryman (2)

30 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (GWS) Stephen Coniglio (5) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (33 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 419 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists

Note – The Giants were never tested against the Eagles, and Stephen Coniglio continues to show what he can offer at the AFL level.

The Giants midfielder was brilliant in this clash and racked up a heap of the football whilst using it at a high-efficiency rate.

Harry Perryman had a busy day, and James Peatling was dangerous all day around the goals.

Coniglio will be the favourite for the maximum votes, but there will be some competition for the minor votes.


Hawthorn vs Brisbane

Hawthorn 18.9 117 – Brisbane 17.10 112

(Hawthorn by 5 Points)

Vote Chances

Dylan Moore – 19 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 356 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Jarryd Lyons – 32 Disposals (22 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts, 433 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists

Daniel Rich – 33 Disposals (28 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 919 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) James Sicily (4)

24 Disposals (19 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s, 12 One Percenters, 10 Spoils and 665 Metres Gained 

2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (4)

36 Disposals (25 Effective and 20 Contested), 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Hawthorn) Jai Newcombe (4) ⭐⭐

27 Disposals (19 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 664 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Note – The Hawks got the win in an upset against the Lions in an entertaining, higher-scoring contest.

Jai Newcombe was one of the better players on the ground with a willingness to move the ball forward, which helped set up a lot of scoring chances.

Tom Mitchell racked up a heap of the football in the win, whilst James Sicily was solid on the back half for the Hawks.

Jarryd Lyons and Daniel Rich were the Lion’s two best players, but the Hawks could sweep the votes in this one as it was an upset victory.


Fremantle vs Collingwood

Fremantle 6.8 44 – Collingwood 12.8 80

(Collingwood by 36 Points)

Vote Chances

Patrick Lipinski – 29 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 29 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Darcy Moore – 12 Disposals (10 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 15 One Percenters, 15 Spoils and 308 Metres Gained

Darcy Cameron – 12 Disposals, 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Intercept Marks), 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 18 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Oliver Henry (1)

13 Disposals (10 Effective), 5 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 18 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Will Brodie (6)

36 Disposals (25 Effective and 20 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 11 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (10)

27 Disposals (16 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 480 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – It was a wet Sunday out West, and the Dockers again struggled in the slippery conditions, and the Magpies took full advantage to dominate the match.

This will be a difficult match to split the votes, but Jack Crisp won a lot of the football and a stack of contested possessions to lead the charge for the highest votes.

Magpies forward Oliver Henry booted four goals in the wet conditions, whilst Dockers midfielder Will Brodie won a lot of hardball and was the Docker’s best.


Leaderboard

Leaderboard – Round 10

Top 10

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale18
Clayton Oliver18
Patrick Cripps17
Andrew Brayshaw16
Christian Petracca15
Callum Mills11
Charlie Curnow10
Jack Crisp10
Darcy Parish10
Sam Walsh9
Jeremy Cameron9
Touk Miller9
Shai Bolton9
Bailey Smith9

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9