Brownlow Predictor Final Leaderboard, Round 23 2022

The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.

All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.  

The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.

It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.

A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

⭐ = Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor had a strike rate of 69.7% for three vote predictions last season.

There are many games each season where a player is a clear standout, and the three-star ratings for matches came in at 92.7%.

Click the link below to see all the results from the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.

2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Results

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 23 of the 2022 AFL Season.

Who will be the likely winner of the 2022 Brownlow Medal?

Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.


Brownlow Predictor Final Leaderboard, Round 23 2022

Brisbane vs Melbourne

Brisbane 8.9 57 – Melbourne 18.7 115

(Melbourne by 58 Points)

Vote Chances

Angus Brayshaw – 27 Disposals (12 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 450 Metres Gained

Jake Lever – 13 Disposals (13 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (6 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 8 One Percenters, 7 Spoils, 414 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Luke Jackson – 13 Disposals (12 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 Tackles, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Melbourne) Kysaiah Pickett (4)

11 Disposals, 4 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals

2 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (23)

23 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts, 411 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (29) ⭐⭐⭐

30 Disposals (20 Effective and 20 Contested), 13 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 29 Pressure Acts and 578 Metres Gained

Note – The Lions hosted the Demons in a battle for a top-two finish, but the Demons were too good and won the match by a comfortable margin in a one-sided affair.

Clayton Oliver was brilliant in this clash, racking up 13 clearances and a stack of contested footy to be the most influential player on the ground.

Christian Petracca was lively for most of the contest, especially up forward, and Kysaiah Pickett was the X-Factor in the early stages with 4 first-half goals.

The Demons were far too good for the Lions and had many contributors in the win, but Oliver was the standout and will be tough to beat for the maximum votes.

PlayUp

GWS vs Fremantle

GWS 10.9 69 – Fremantle 13.11 89

(Fremantle by 20 Points)

Vote Chances

David Mundy – 30 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Andrew Brayshaw – 25 Disposals (18 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

Michael Walters – 14 Disposals (11 Effective), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 2 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 15 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Will Brodie (9)

30 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

2 Votes (GWS) Sam Taylor (2)

20 Disposals (17 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (9 Intercept Marks and 5 Contested), 7 Rebound 50s, 10 One Percenters, 10 Spoils, 4 Tackles and 370 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Fremantle) Caleb Serong (8) ⭐⭐

32 Disposals (24 Effective and 15 Contested), 11 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts, 422 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – The Dockers were behind at the long break, but got it together in the second half and kept their final four chances alive with a win.

Dockers midfielder Caleb Serong had a big finish to the match and racked up 11 clearances to be one of the better midfielders on the ground.

Will Brodie played a consistent four quarters of footy, and David Mundy lifted in the second half with 23 disposals.

Dockers midfielder Andrew Brayshaw got better late in the match, and Michael Walters was dangerous up forward at stages.

The Giants lost the match, but defender Sam Taylor was solid in the back half, racking up 9 intercept marks for the game, and is a chance to poll votes despite the loss.


North Melbourne vs Gold Coast

North Melbourne 6.11 47 – Gold Coast 16.18 114

(Gold Coast by 67 Points)

Vote Chances

Touk Miller – 25 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 400 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Jack Lukosuis – 20 Disposals, 7 Marks, 10 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 502 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Ben Ainsworth – 24 Disposals (16 Effective), 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 401 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Alex Sexton (1)

14 Disposals, 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 16 Pressure Acts, 370 Metres Gained and 6 Goals

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (12)

30 Disposals (23 Effective), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts, 671 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Gold Coast) David Swallow (8)

33 Disposals (24 Effective and 18 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 9 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts, 602 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – The Suns finished the season with a big win and had no trouble taking care of the Kangaroos in a one-sided match.

Suns midfielders David Swallow and Noah Anderson were the two standouts in the middle, and both racked up a lot of the football. They helped set up several scoring opportunities in the sizeable win and had a significant impact in the match.

Alex Sexton hit the scoreboard with 6 goals, whilst Touk Miller broke a tag and had more of an impact in the latter stages of the contest.

There are three genuine chances for the top votes, which makes it a difficult match to split, and 6 goals may be enough for the maximum votes, but David Swallow seemed everywhere at times and may lead the charge for the top votes.


Geelong vs West Coast

Geelong 19.17 131 – West Coast 7.4 46

(Geelong by 85 Points)

Vote Chances

Tyson Stengle – 18 Disposals (12 Effective), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 344 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

Brad Close – 22 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Isaac Smith – 23 Disposals (16 Effective), 8 Marks, 10 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 655 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Geelong) Joel Selwood (6)

28 Disposals (21 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goals

2 Votes (Geelong) Tom Hawkins (12)

17 Disposals, 9 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50), 3 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 353 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

3 Votes (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (11)

25 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 3 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 Tackles and 20 Pressure Acts

Note – The Cats had no trouble taking care of the Eagles, and their forwards had plenty of chances to hit the scoreboard throughout the match.

Cats games have been difficult to split for most of the season, and this game is no exception as the Cats had several contributors in the sizeable win.

Mark Blicavs had a solid match around the ground and in the ruck with 11 score involvements, and more than half of his hit-outs were to the advantage of a Geelong teammate.

Tom Hawkins, Tyson Stengle and Brad Close had a busy day up forward for the Cats, whilst Joel Selwood was one of the better midfielders on the ground, and Isaac Smith had a decent match and helped set up several scoring chances.

Another tough match to split the votes for the Cats, and the votes could go several ways in the sizeable victory for the ladder leaders.

PlayUp

Essendon vs Richmond

Essendon 11.9 75 – Richmond 21.15 141

(Richmond by 66 Points)

Vote Chances

Trent Cotchin – 25 Disposals (18 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Liam Baker – 26 Disposals (24 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 3 Spoils

Jack Ross – 21 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 3 One Percenters, 20 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Essendon) Zach Merrett (16)

37 Disposals (30 Effective and 19 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts and 432 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Richmond) Tom Lynch (13)

19 Disposals (12 Contested), 9 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 3 Ground Ball Gets, 358 Metres Gained and 5 Goals

3 Votes (Richmond) Dion Prestia (18) ⭐⭐

31 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts, 574 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – The Tigers finished off the season well against the Bombers and won the match by a significant margin.

Dion Prestia capped off a fantastic finish to the season with a potential best-on-ground performance. He was one of the best players on the ground with a stack of football and helped create a lot of scoring chances for the Tigers.

Tom Lynch had another big match up forward and booted 5 goals, whilst Trent Cotchin, Liam Baker and Jack Ross had a noticeable impact in the win.

The Bombers were well beaten, but Zach Merrett capped off a fine finish to the season and was the Bomber’s best. Merrett racked up a heap of the footy and used it well, but Prestia or Lynch will be tough to beat for the top votes.


Port Adelaide vs Adelaide

Port Adelaide 16.15 111 – Adelaide 7.13 55

(Port Adelaide by 56 Points)

Vote Chances

Karl Amon – 31 Disposals (20 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 520 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Todd Marshall – 16 Disposals, 4 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 361 Metres Gained and 4 Goals

Reilly O’Brien – 18 Disposals (16 Contested), 3 Marks (3 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Hit-outs to advantage, 12 One Percenters, 9 Spoils, 4 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Zak Butters (2)

26 Disposals (18 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 8 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (16)

35 Disposals (17 Contested), 4 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Connor Rozee (18) ⭐⭐⭐

34 Disposals (27 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Marks, 5 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 527 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal

Note – The Crows put up a fight early, but the Power were too strong in the second half and won the match by a significant margin.

Connor Rozee was the standout and won the Showdown Medal with a best-on-ground performance. Rozee used the football efficiently and made smart decisions to help find teammates in dangerous positions on the attacking half.

Ollie Wines had a busy night in the middle of the ground, as did Zak Butters, whilst Todd Marshall was dangerous up forward and booted 4 goals.

Rozee won the medal after an impressive performance and will be the favourite for the top votes.


Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs

Hawthorn 10.4 64 – Western Bulldogs 12.15 87

(Western Bulldogs by 23 Points)

Vote Chances

Adam Treloar – 25 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

Marcus Bontempelli – 20 Disposals (16 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 7 Tackles (5 Tackles Inside 50), 25 Pressure Acts, 512 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Tim English – 17 Disposals (12 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 5 Tackles and 18 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Lachie Hunter (1)

23 Disposals (20 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 585 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Hawthorn) James Sicily (6)

33 Disposals (24 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 17 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 9 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils and 748 Metres Gained

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Josh Dunkley (12) ⭐⭐

29 Disposals (20 Effective and 17 Contested), 9 Marks (2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 3 One Percenters

Note – The Bulldogs needed the win to keep their finals hopes alive and were tested by the Hawks, but managed to pull away in the closing stages.

Josh Dunkley was the best midfielder on the ground and racked up a lot of contested football, whilst Lachie Hunter and Adam Treloar had decent games and made significant contributions in the final term.

James Sicily was solid for the Hawks down back and racked up plenty of the football, but the Dogs got the win, and Dunkley will be a leading contender for the top votes.


Carlton vs Collingwood

Carlton 10.14 74 – Collingwood 11.9 75

(Collingwood by 1 Point)

Vote Chances

Adam Cerra – 27 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 460 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Sam Docherty – 29 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 786 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Brayden Maynard – 18 Disposals (12 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 3 Contested), 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 One Percenters, 6 Spoils, 6 Tackles, 16 Pressure Acts and 546 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Josh Daicos (7)

28 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Marks, 3 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 15 Pressure Acts and 640 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Collingwood) Darcy Moore (2)

24 Disposals (23 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 10 Rebound 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 12 One Percenters, 11 Spoils and 567 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (24) ⭐⭐⭐

35 Disposals (27 Contested and 21 Effective), 12 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 20 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist

Note – The Blues had a four-goal three-quarter time lead, but the Magpies came back in the closing stages and won the match by a point.

Magpies defenders Darcy Moore and Brayden Maynard were solid on the defensive half, whilst Scott Pendlebury had a decent match, and Josh Daicos was dangerous with the football.

The maximum votes will likely go to a player on the losing side as Patrick Cripps was awesome, despite the loss. Cripps racked up a massive 27 contested possessions, 20 ground ball gets and 12 clearances, but it wasn’t enough to keep the Blues in the final eight.

Sam Docherty and Adam Cerra tried hard all day for the Blues, but Patrick Cripps was the standout and will be very tough to beat for the top votes despite the loss.

PlayUp

St Kilda vs Sydney

St Kilda 11.8 74 – Sydney 13.10 88

(Sydney by 14 Points)

Vote Chances

Jack Steele – 27 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 One Percenters, 9 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal

Dan Hannebery – 30 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 4 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 585 Metres Gained

Will Hayward – 15 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks, 9 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) James Rowbottom (2)

24 Disposals (16 Effective and 15 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 408 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

2 Votes (St Kilda) Ben Long (2)

27 Disposals (26 Effective and 11 Contested), 13 Intercept Possessions, 17 Marks (7 Intercept Marks and 5 Contested), 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 346 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Sydney) Isaac Heeney (10)

23 Disposals (16 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts, 393 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Note – The Saints hosted the Swans in the last game of the season and put up a fight in the closing stages, but the Swans were too good in the end.

This match will be tough to split the votes as both sides had a few solid contributors, but when the game was up for grabs, Isaac Heeney made smart decisions with the football and was one of the better Swans on the ground for most of the match.

James Rowbottom, Luke Parker, and Chad Warner had decent matches, whilst Will Hayward booted 2 important final quarter goals to help seal the game.

The interesting performance in this match was from Saints defender Ben Long. Long took a massive 17 marks in this clash, including 7 intercept marks and 5 contested, to have a noticeable impact down back.

Saints midfielders Jack Steele and Dan Hannebery had decent matches, but the votes could several ways in the Swans win.

Brownlow Rapid Fire
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Leaderboard

Final Leaderboard – Round 23

Top 20

NameProjected Votes
Lachie Neale 30
Clayton Oliver29
Andrew Brayshaw27
Patrick Cripps24
Touk Miller23
Christian Petracca23
Jeremy Cameron18
Connor Rozee18
Dion Prestia18
Callum Mills18
Shai Bolton17
Zach Merrett16
Ollie Wines16
Marcus Bontempelli16
Rory Laird15
Sam Walsh15
Cam Guthrie14
Max Gawn14
Charlie Curnow13
Darcy Parish13
Tom Lynch13
Chad Warner13

To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.

Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

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