Brownlow Predictor Final Leaderboard, Round 23 2021
The 2021 AFL Season is done and dusted, and the Melbourne Demons managed to finish the season on top of the AFL Ladder for the first time since 1964. Max Gawn kicked the winning goal after the siren against the Cats to hand the Demons top spot and pole position for the 2021 AFL Finals.
The 2021 Brownlow Medal Count could go down to the wire with quite a few players possibly still in contention with one round left.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 23 and the final round of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Western Bulldogs vs Port Adelaide
Western Bulldogs 10.4 64 – Port Adelaide 9.12 66
(Port Adelaide by 2 Points)
The Bulldogs and the Power went at it on a Friday Night in a battle to finish in the final four. The Dogs looked good in the early stages, but the Power had a big second half and came back to pinch the match in a close encounter.
Former Captain Travis Boak was fantastic throughout the match, whilst the Brownlow Medal Favourite Ollie Wines, will almost certainly add to his vote tally in the final game of the year.
Robbie Gray was an X-Factor in the latter stages of the match and is hitting form come finals time. Other Power players that had an impact were Connor Rozee, Scott Lycett was good in the ruck, and Trent McKenzie was solid on the back half.
There were no real standouts at the Bulldogs, but Jack Macrae did his usual thing in the middle, and Lachie Hunter had a good match.
Marcus Bontempelli was lively in the first term, but was well contained after quarter time and unlikely to feature in the votes.
Vote Chances
Jack Macrae – 29 Disposals (21 Effective), 8 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 428 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Connor Rozee – 21 Disposals (17 Effective), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Scott Lycett – 22 Disposals (18 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements and 10 Hit-outs to advantage
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Robbie Gray (3)
25 Disposals (19 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (28)
34 Disposals (28 Effective and 17 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 15 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 418 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (22) ⭐⭐
31 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 3 One Percenters, 440 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Richmond vs Hawthorn
Richmond 12.11 83 – Hawthorn 12.11 83
(Draw)
The Hawks looked in control of this match with a quarter to go, but the Tigers never gave in, and Jack Riewoldt stepped up in the dying stages to boot two crucial goals, and the match ended on level terms.
The better players on the ground were from the Hawks with Jaeger O’Meara, Chad Wingard and Tom Mitchell all winning a lot of the football and having an impact.
Conor Nash stepped up for the Hawks, whilst Ben McEvoy took a bunch of contested marks.
There were no massive standouts for the Tigers, but Tom Lynch presented well up forward all day, Jack Ross had a decent match, and defenders David Astbury and Jayden Short were important down back.
Vote Chances
Tom Lynch – 16 Disposals (10 Contested), 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 11 Score Involvements, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
Jack Ross – 24 Disposals (17 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 448 Metres Gained
Conor Nash – 24 Disposals (21 Effective), 8 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (27)
36 Disposals (30 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Tackles
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Chad Wingard (7)
30 Disposals (11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Hawthorn) Jaeger O’Meara (11) ⭐
36 Disposals (27 Effective and 15 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 425 Metres Gained
Note – Tough to split the votes between the three Hawks in this match, with all three making a solid contribution. O’Meara won a lot of hardball and finished the game off well, but the votes could go a few ways in this clash.
Sydney vs Gold Coast
Sydney 21.10 136 – Gold Coast 6.13 49
(Sydney by 87 Points)
The Swans and the Suns went at it at Marvel Stadium, and the Swans proved too strong and won the match by a comfortable margin.
Lance Franklin was brilliant up forward and continues to close in on becoming the sixth player to kick 1000 goals after snagging a bag of six majors.
Jordan Dawson continues to impress and will be the favourite for highest vote honours on the back of a brilliant performance.
Midfielder Luke Parker got better as the match went on, whilst Tom Hickey won the ruck battle, and Jake Lloyd used the football at high efficiency on the back half. Isaac Heeney was also lively up forward and booted three goals.
The Suns were well beaten, but Touk Miller was again their best player in the loss.
Vote Chances
Jake Lloyd – 36 Disposals (34 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 615 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Tom Hickey – 18 Disposals (13 Contested and 12 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Luke Parker – 23 Disposals (17 Effective and 16 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 23 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Sydney) Isaac Heeney (10)
20 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Goal Assists and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Sydney) Lance Franklin (8)
13 Disposals (9 Effective), 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 342 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
3 Votes (Sydney) Jordan Dawson (6) ⭐⭐
33 Disposals (26 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 16 Marks (2 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 21 Pressure Acts, 689 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Note – When Buddy has an impact, he usually features in the votes, but the best player on the ground was Dawson. Will go in favourite for the three votes, but it wouldn’t be at all surprising if the veteran Swans forward pinches them.
Brisbane vs West Coast
Brisbane 19.11 125 – West Coast 13.9 87
(Brisbane by 38 Points)
The Eagles needed the win to keep their finals hopes alive and regrouped after a poor start to make a match of it. The Lions were too good though, and managed to win the game by a big enough margin and secure a final four finish.
The Lions more experienced campaigners stepped up, with Dayne Zorko, Lachie Neale and Jarryd Lyons having decent matches.
Defender Daniel Rich was solid throughout the contest and had a significant impact in the closing stages. Forwards Joe Daniher and Charlie Cameron also had an impact, booting seven goals between them.
For the Eagles, Nic Naitanui was massive in the ruck and provided many headaches for big Oscar McInerney.
Elliot Yeo and Luke Shuey also had big matches and helped the Eagles stay in the contest.
Vote Chances
Lachie Neale – 29 Disposals (23 Effective and 14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 3 One Percenters, 23 Pressure Acts, 430 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Luke Shuey – 34 Disposals (23 Effective and 16 Contested), 12 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 574 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Elliot Yeo – 30 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts, 3 One Percenters and 619 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (18)
27 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 3 One Percenters, 23 Pressure Acts, 574 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (West Coast) Nic Naitanui (3)
24 Disposals (22 Contested), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 20 Hit-outs to advantage and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Brisbane) Daniel Rich (4) ⭐
29 Disposals (22 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 8 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters, 4 Spoils, 874 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Note – Quite a few players had a significant impact in this match, but Daniel Rich had a noticeable final term. He read the play well throughout the game with many intercept marks and a willingness to move the ball forward. Nic Naitanui was also a big reason the Eagles stayed in it, but this match was tough to split.
Geelong vs Melbourne
Geelong 12.5 77 – Melbourne 12.9 81
(Melbourne by 4 Points)
The battle for the top of the table, and it looked like the Cats were going to run away with it at the half. The Demons never gave in, and Captain Max Gawn had the honour of kicking the match-winning goal after the siren.
Midfielder Clayton Oliver was brilliant in the win, but will have competition for the maximum votes as the massive last quarter from Max Gawn was very noticeable.
Jake Lever was rock solid down back for the Demons, whilst James Harmes and Christian Petracca had an impact throughout the win. Small Forward Kysaiah Pickett also stepped up and kicked some important goals.
For the Cats, captain Joel Selwood was their best player, whilst Cam Guthrie won a lot of the football, and Tom Hawkins booted four goals.
Vote Chances
Jake Lever – 22 Disposals (20 Effective and 10 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (7 Intercept Marks and 4 Contested), 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 1 Goal Assist
James Harmes – 26 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 28 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Kysaiah Pickett – 14 Disposals (11 Effective), 4 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 16 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Joel Selwood (9)
28 Disposals (21 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Melbourne) Max Gawn (12)
25 Disposals (17 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 12 Hit-outs to advantage, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 3 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 477 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (31) ⭐⭐
37 Disposals (26 Contested and 25 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 17 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 34 Pressure Acts, 466 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Note – Oliver was the best and most consistent player in this match, but the massive last quarter from Melbourne Captain Max Gawn cannot be denied. Oliver was brilliant and gets the nod, but this will be an interesting match, and it may provide some drama at the conclusion of the count.
Carlton vs GWS
Carlton 11.9 75 – GWS 12.17 89
(GWS by 14 Points)
The Blues hung in there in this clash, but the Giants needed the win to secure a finals berth, and they came out on top.
Callan Ward was brilliant for the Giants in the win, and was well supported by Tim Taranto and Josh Kelly in the middle of the ground.
Jacob Hopper also had a decent match, whilst Toby Greene was lively up forward, and Jesse Hogan booted three goals.
The Blues tried hard in this clash, with Ed Curnow standing out and booting four goals. Sam Walsh and Matthew Kennedy also had an impact.
Vote Chances
Sam Walsh – 29 Disposals (13 Contested), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances and 9 Ground Ball Gets
Josh Kelly – 29 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 3 One Percenters, 603 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Toby Greene – 20 Disposals, 11 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 10 Score Involvements, 433 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Tim Taranto (13)
29 Disposals (16 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 17 Pressure Acts and 405 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Carlton) Ed Curnow (7)
25 Disposals (17 Effective), 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 4 Goals
3 Votes (GWS) Callan Ward (6) ⭐⭐
28 Disposals (23 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 517 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Note – Ward stood out in the win and stepped up to help the Giants secure a finals berth. He will be the favourite for the maximum votes, but Curnow booted four goals, and Taranto and Kelly were good. Not a certainty, but the definite favourite for the three votes.
St Kilda vs Fremantle
St Kilda 17.5 107 – Fremantle 6.13 49
(St Kilda by 58 Points)
The Dockers needed the win and results to go their way, but the Saints were out to spoil their finals aspirations.
The Saints made easy work of Fremantle in Tasmania and managed to jump them on the ladder in the process.
Jack Steele was one of the standouts in the win for the Saints and set the tone early when the match was up for grabs.
Rowan Marshall had a decent match in the ruck for the Saints, whilst Brad Crouch and Zak Jones were solid in the middle of the ground.
Young forward Cooper Sharman took a bunch of contested marks and booted four goals, whilst Nick Coffield had a good match down back.
For the Dockers, Caleb Serong continued his fine finish to the season, and Andrew Brayshaw racked up plenty of the football.
Vote Chances
Rowan Marshall – 21 Disposals (15 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Intercept Marks), 9 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles, 17 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
Brad Crouch – 28 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 18 Pressure Acts
Caleb Serong – 35 Disposals (28 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 19 Pressure Acts and 427 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Zak Jones (5)
28 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
2 Votes (St Kilda) Cooper Sharman (2)
15 Disposals (10 Effective), 6 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 339 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 4 Goals
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele (31) ⭐⭐⭐
36 Disposals (17 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 6 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts and 445 Metres Gained
Note – One of the toughest weeks to pick a Lock of the Week, but due to popular demand, here it is. Steele capped off a fine second half of the season with a solid performance in the final match of the year. He won a lot of the hardball and will be the favourite for maximum vote honours in the win. May even be enough to pinch the medal in the final round.
Essendon vs Collingwood
Essendon 16.6 102 – Collingwood 9.10 64
(Essendon by 38 Points)
The Pies came to play in the early stages of this match, but the Bombers proved too strong and secured a finals berth.
Devon Smith and Jake Stringer were the two standouts for the Bombers, whilst Peter Wright booted four goals, and Zach Merrett had an impact in the middle.
For the Pies, Taylor Adams had a decent match in the middle of the ground, whilst forward Jamie Elliott was lively and booted four goals.
Vote Chances
Peter Wright – 13 Disposals, 8 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 4 One Percenters and 4 Goals
Zach Merrett – 27 Disposals (22 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles and 17 Pressure Acts
Jamie Elliott – 18 Disposals, 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Taylor Adams (11)
31 Disposals (15 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 442 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Essendon) Jake Stringer (10)
24 Disposals (16 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters, 18 Pressure Acts, 428 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Essendon) Devon Smith (3) ⭐⭐
23 Disposals (19 Effective), 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 26 Pressure Acts, 387 Metres Gained, 4 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – Shades of the old Devon Smith in this clash, and he had a significant impact throughout the contest. Not a noted vote-getter, and Jake Stringer was also pretty good, but he will be the favourite for the maximum votes.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne
Adelaide 13.20 98 – North Melbourne 8.6 54
(Adelaide by 44 Points)
The final match of the season and Crows had an excellent finish and beat the Kangaroos quite comfortably.
Ben Keays and Rory Laird were the two standout performers in the win and were well supported by Rory Sloane.
Other Crows that had an impact included Brodie Smith, Harry Schoenberg and Shane McAdam.
For the Kangaroos, Aaron Hall again racked up the uncontested ball, Tarryn Thomas had a decent match, as did Jy Simpkin, and Nick Larkey booted three goals.
Vote Chances
Harry Schoenberg – 24 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Aaron Hall – 37 Disposals (28 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 16 Rebound 50s, 967 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Tarryn Thomas – 26 Disposals (20 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 5 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts, 406 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Sloane (7)
27 Disposals (21 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Marks, 6 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 17 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (18)
40 Disposals (34 Effective and 17 Contested), 4 Marks, 10 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles and 21 Pressure Acts
3 Votes (Adelaide) Ben Keays (8) ⭐⭐
38 Disposals (32 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 621 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – Keays capped off a fine season with a standout performance in the win. Rory Laird will challenge for the maximum votes, but Keays snagged a couple of goals and had a noticeable impact.
Final Leaderboard – Round 23
Top 20
| Position | Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Clayton Oliver | 31 |
| Jack Steele | 31 | |
| 3rd | Marcus Bontempelli | 29 |
| Christian Petracca | 29 | |
| 5th | Ollie Wines | 28 |
| 6th | Tom Mitchell | 27 |
| 7th | Darcy Parish | 26 |
| 8th | Sam Walsh | 25 |
| Jack Macrae | 25 | |
| 10th | Jarryd Lyons | 23 |
| 11th | Zach Merrett | 22 |
| Touk Miller | 22 | |
| Travis Boak | 22 | |
| 14th | Luke Parker | 21 |
| 15th | Cam Guthrie | 20 |
| 16th | Rory Laird | 18 |
| Dayne Zorko | 18 | |
| 18th | David Mundy | 17 |
| Josh Kelly | 17 | |
| 20th | Hugh McCluggage | 14 |
| Callum Mills | 14 |
To see the projected votes from previous rounds, click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
Cheers and always Gamble Responsibly.