Brownlow Predictor, Team Votes 2021

Brownlow Medal Predictor, Team Votes 2021
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Brownlow Predictor, Team Votes 2021

The 2021 Brownlow Medal Count could be one of the closest counts in recent times, with several genuine chances to take home the award.

Unlike last season where Brisbane Lions midfielder Lachie Neale was a clear favourite, the 2021 Brownlow Medal Count is shaping up for a thrilling finish, which could come down to the final round.

Ollie Wines is the favourite to take home the award with many chances to poll throughout the count, but Marcus Bontempelli played some superb football in AFL Season 2021 and is also a massive threat.

Demons stars Clayton Oliver and Christian Petracca are a chance to poll in many matches, and the lack of competition from teammates at the Saints makes Jack Steele a genuine contender.

Others to watch for include Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell, Carlton’s Sam Walsh and Essendon’s Darcy Parish, who all had impressive seasons.

Jack Macrae racks up a lot of the football, and Brisbane’s Jarryd Lyons is a chance to vote in many matches throughout the count.

To see how the Brownlow Medal Predictor finished, click the link Brownlow Predictor Final Leaderboard, Round 23 2021.

The Brownlow Medal Team Votes always generate interest on Brownlow Medal Night, and it is always interesting to see how certain players poll in the count.

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor Team Votes for the 2021 AFL Season.


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Note – Throughout the Round by Round Analysis in this content, there are players Projected to Vote and three players that are also considered a Vote Chance for each match.

In each table, we have the Projected Total Votes for each player and what their Possible Maximum could be if given 1 Vote when considered a slim vote chance.

This might come in handy when trying to pick a head to head matchup or a potential Top 10 or Top 20. This also shows that some players have more outside chances to poll in matches compared to others throughout the count.

Remember always to gamble responsibly, and hope you can use this as a Brownlow Medal Guide for the 2021 Brownlow Medal Count.

Best of Luck!


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Team Votes 2021

Adelaide Crows

Projected Votes – 51

Projected Leader – Rory Laird 18

The Crows made some improvements in the 2021 AFL Season and had a few regular contributors that stood up in many matches.

Rory Laird had a consistent season in the middle of the ground and looks to lead the way quite comfortably. Ben Keays and Paul Seedsman both had good years and were among the best players in many matches. Veteran Rory Sloane is another Crow that may feature in the votes.

Expect Taylor Walker to get off to a fast start in the first few rounds of the count with bags of goals and some impressive performances.

Rory Laird is the heavy favourite to win the Adelaide count and did poll well in the 2018 Season with 19 Votes and a Top Ten finish.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Rory Laird1824
Ben Keays813
Taylor Walker710
Rory Sloane79
Paul Seedsman49
Reilly O’Brien34
Lachlan Sholl34
Tom Doedee12
Brodie Smith02
Riley Thilthorpe01
Harry Schoenberg01

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Brisbane Lions

Projected Votes – 85

Projected Leader – Jarryd Lyons 23

The Lions were again one of the better sides in the competition in Season 2021 and managed a top-four finish.

2020 Brownlow Medal Winner Lachie Neale was injured for a fair chunk of the season, and a few of the regular Lions midfielders stepped up in his absence.

Jarryd Lyons may be at his third AFL Club, but he had a very consistent season in the middle of the ground and was good at extracting the footy from congestion and applying pressure on the opposition. Should poll in up to ten matches and has a slim chance in many more throughout the season.

Captain Dayne Zorko stepped up in the absence of Lachie Neale, but remember he didn’t poll a single vote last season, which was surprising. However, Zorko did have a decent year and was an X-Factor in some of the Lions wins.

The interesting one at the Lions will be Hugh McCluggage. He has not polled well in the count yet and is more of an outside type player with a role on the wing. He will be a vote chance in many matches though, and made a solid contribution throughout the season.

Jarryd Lyons has many chances to vote in the count and should lead the way at the Lions.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Jarryd Lyons2331
Dayne Zorko1820
Hugh McCluggage1419
Lachie Neale69
Oscar McInerney55
Harris Andrews46
Zac Bailey47
Daniel Rich48
Charlie Cameron34
Mitch Robinson35
Lincoln McCarthy13
Joe Daniher04
Daniel McStay01
Grant Birchall01
Eric Hipwood01
Marcus Adams01

Carlton Blues

Projected Votes – 50

Projected Leader – Sam Walsh 25

The Blues showed some glimpses of good footy in season 2021, but it was few and far between.

It will be a one-man show at the Blues throughout the count as Sam Walsh had a breakout year in Season 2021 and will rack up votes.

Walsh has incredible running power and is becoming one of the premier midfielders in the comp in just his third AFL Season.

The competition for second will be interesting, with Patrick Cripps and Ed Curnow playing some decent games and Coleman Medalist Harry McKay kicking bags of goals throughout the season.

Walsh to rack up a stack of best on grounds and win the Carlton count by a significant margin.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Sam Walsh2529
Ed Curnow78
Patrick Cripps67
Harry McKay46
Jack Silvagni33
Jacob Weitering25
Matthew Kennedy23
Liam Jones13
Sam Docherty04
Adam Saad02
Zac Williams02
Lachie Fogarty01
David Cunningham01
Jack Martin01
Nic Newman01

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Collingwood Magpies

Projected Votes – 47

Projected Leader – Taylor Adams 11

The Pies had a disappointing season, and it will be tough to pick the likely leader.

A switch to the midfield for Jordan De Goey paid off, and he had an impact in many matches throughout the season.

Taylor Adams is the type of player that can win the hardball and has finished with double-figure votes in past counts.

Other Pies that may rack up some votes include Jack Crisp, Brodie Grundy, and veteran Scott Pendlebury has a stack of vote chances.

This Brownlow Predictor has Adams leading, but De Goey, Crisp and Pendlebury have a similar amount of chances to poll, so it should be a close one at the Pies.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Taylor Adams1114
Jordan De Goey912
Jack Crisp812
Brodie Grundy69
Scott Pendlebury511
Darcy Moore34
Jamie Elliott35
Brayden Maynard14
Steele Sidebottom12
Brody Mihocek01
Will Hoskin-Elliott01
Chris Mayne01
Darcy Cameron01

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Essendon Bombers

Projected Votes – 77

Projected Leader – Darcy Parish 26

The Bombers had a decent season and managed to scrape into the finals.

An injury to Dylan Shiel gave Bombers midfielder Darcy Parish the opportunity to excel in the middle of the ground, and he managed to win three matchday medals throughout the season.

The efficient ball use of Zach Merrett and smart decision making was again on show for the Bombers, and he is a chance to poll in many matches this year.

Jake Stringer also had his most consistent season, and big Peter Wright stepped up in the forward line a few times.

Looking to be a battle between two, but Parish is a chance for best on ground honours in up to seven matches, which may be enough to win the Bombers count.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Darcy Parish2631
Zach Merrett2229
Jake Stringer1013
Peter Wright57
Devon Smith33
Andrew McGrath24
Jordan Ridley27
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti22
Nick Hind25
Mason Redman23
Sam Draper12
Dyson Heppell02
Kyle Langford02
Jayden Laverde01
Cale Hooker01
Archie Perkins01

Fremantle Dockers

Projected Votes – 59

Projected Leader – David Mundy 17

The Dockers made some improvements in the 2021 AFL Season, but there have been no real major improvements apart from the emergence of some of the younger players.

Veteran David Mundy was one of their standouts throughout the season and makes smart decisions whilst using the footy at high efficiency.

Ruckman Sean Darcy showed that he can become one of the Premier ruckman in the competition and had a significant influence in many matches this season.

Nat Fyfe will again feature in the votes, as will Andrew Brayshaw, but a veteran Docker should lead the way at Fremantle.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
David Mundy1720
Nat Fyfe1013
Sean Darcy1012
Andrew Brayshaw915
Caleb Serong46
Luke Ryan34
Rory Lobb23
Adam Cerra26
Lachie Schultz11
James Aish11
Matt Taberner02
Sam Switkowski01

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Geelong Cats

Projected Votes – 84

Projected Leader – Cam Guthrie 20

The Cats have one of the most talented lists in the AFL and again finished towards the top of the table.

Patrick Dangerfield missed a fair chunk of the season, as did Mitch Duncan, so there are plenty of votes to share around.

The midfield smarts and efficient ball use of Cam Guthrie were on show throughout the year, and he looks almost certain to lead the way at the Cats.

Joel Selwood did his usual thing in the middle of the ground, and Patrick Dangerfield is a chance for best on ground honours in a couple of matches.

Defender Tom Stewart was solid down back, and both Tom Hawkins and Jeremy Cameron will stake a claim for votes in matches.

Guthrie looks to be the one Cat to rack up votes consistently and polled ok in the count last season.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Cam Guthrie2023
Patrick Dangerfield1011
Joel Selwood913
Tom Stewart810
Sam Menegola67
Jeremy Cameron67
Brandon Parfitt55
Mitch Duncan59
Tom Hawkins59
Gary Rohan22
Zach Tuohy25
Quinton Narkle22
Zach Guthrie22
Mark O’Connor11
Mark Blicavs11
Isaac Smith05
Rhys Stanley03
Jack Henry01
Shaun Higgins01
Lachie Henderson01
Luke Dahlhaus01
Esava Ratugolea01

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Gold Coast Suns

Projected Votes – 44

Projected Leader – Touk Miller 22

The Suns were ok in patches this season, but in general, it was another disappointing year.

Touk Miller has shown plenty in recent seasons, but had a breakout year and took his game to another level. He was their best player and could poll in many matches, but he can’t win the medal due to ineligibility.

Tough to pick second spot at the Suns, but Hugh Greenwood polled more votes than projected last year and had a few solid games this season. Noah Anderson played a couple of good matches, and Brandon Ellis has the potential to vote in a few games.

Miller has never polled more than 5 votes in previous seasons, but that will change this year and should lead the way at the Suns by a significant margin.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Touk Miller2228
Hugh Greenwood68
Noah Anderson45
Brandon Ellis34
Izak Rankine22
Will Powell22
Jarrod Witts11
Ben King13
Jack Lukosius12
Ben Ainsworth12
Brayden Fiorini13
David Swallow03
Jack Bowes02
Charlie Ballard02
Lachie Weller01
Nick Holman01
Josh Corbett01
Sam Collins01
Jeremy Sharp01
Alex Sexton01

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GWS Giants

Projected Votes – 65

Projected Leader – Josh Kelly 17

The Giants took a while to get going in their 2021 Campaign but played some excellent footy towards the back end of the year and snapped up a finals spot.

Some of their midfielders were the standouts, with Josh Kelly and Tim Taranto impacting many matches and racking up the football.

Star forward Toby Greene racked up more votes than projected last season and is expected to poll votes again.

The Giants also found a couple of defenders with Sam Taylor and Isaac Cumming having consistent seasons, but it is always challenging for those down back to poll on medal night.

Kelly should poll the most at the Giants, but Tim Taranto may be a slim threat, and Toby Greene was in the top players on the ground in a similar amount of matches.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Josh Kelly1722
Tim Taranto1316
Toby Greene815
Jacob Hopper711
Callan Ward68
Tom Green57
Sam Taylor34
Lachie Whitfield39
Shane Mumford11
Nick Haynes12
Isaac Cumming12
Matt Flynn01
Lachlan Ash01
Lachlan Keeffe01
Jesse Hogan01
Jeremy Finlayson01
Matt de Boer01
Harry Perryman01
Brent Daniels01

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Hawthorn Hawks

Projected Votes – 57

Projected Leader – Tom Mitchell 27

The Hawks took a while to get going in Season 2021 but played good football in the final month, and Alastair Clarkson will hand over the reins to Sam Mitchell in Season 2022.

A former Brownlow Medalist and the leader for disposals this year, Tom Mitchell is expected to poll votes in many matches, but the Hawks may not have been competitive in enough games for him to be a threat to take home another medal.

Mitchell will clearly lead the way at the Hawks as there will be little competition for votes, but Jaeger O’Meara can win the hardball, and the creativity of Chad Wingard will also land some votes late in the count.

Mitchell to consistently feature in the votes and lead the way at the Hawks.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Tom Mitchell2730
Jaeger O’Meara1115
Chad Wingard710
Dylan Moore44
Daniel Howe33
Jonathan Ceglar23
Jacob Koschitzke11
Changkuoth Jiath13
Will Day12
James Worpel03
Blake Hardwick02
Ben McEvoy02
Jack Scrimshaw02
James Cousins01
Tim O’Brien01
Conor Nash01
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Melbourne Demons

Projected Votes – 93

Projected Leader – Clayton Oliver 31

A fantastic year from the Demons, and it was their elite defence and star-studded midfield that helped them secure the top spot on the AFL Ladder.

Clayton Oliver was one of the stars and should poll votes in a lot of matches. Christian Petracca is also projected to poll well in the count and was one of the better players on the ground in many games this season.

Ruckman Max Gawn had another stellar year, whilst Tom McDonald had a few big games up forward, and their gun defenders were consistent down back throughout the year.

Clayton Oliver looks to lead the way for the Demons as he is projected to poll quite a few times throughout the count. Christian Petracca polled well in the count last season and has many chances to vote this year.

Name Projected VotesPossible Maximum
Clayton Oliver3133
Christian Petracca2934
Max Gawn1218
Tom McDonald710
Bayley Fritsch56
Steven May34
Christian Salem28
Jack Viney13
James Harmes16
Luke Jackson11
Alex Neal-Bullen11
Jake Lever04
Kysaiah Pickett02

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Projected Votes – 35

Projected Leader – Ben Cunnington 12

The Kangaroos started the season off poorly, but regrouped towards the middle of the year and became competitive in many matches.

Midfielder Ben Cunnington led the way and has no trouble winning the hardball. He is expected to poll votes and is the favourite to lead the way at the Kangaroos.

Jy Simpkin was a bit of a surprise in the count last season and polled some unexpected votes. He had a stellar season in the middle of the ground and will again feature in the votes.

Two other Kangaroos that deserve mention are defenders Jack Ziebell and Aaron Hall. The majority of their disposals were uncontested, with the Roos choosing to chip the ball around a lot on the back-half, but both are good users of the football and racked up plenty of it. Unlikely that they will poll too many votes in the count though.

Ben Cunnington looks to lead the way, but Jy Simpkin will be a definite challenger at the Kangaroos.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Ben Cunnington1216
Jy Simpkin913
Tarryn Thomas35
Jaidyn Stephenson35
Nick Larkey33
Aaron Hall27
Luke Davies-Uniacke15
Cam Zurhaar13
Jack Ziebell14
Todd Goldstein03
Jed Anderson01

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Port Adelaide Power

Projected Votes – 89

Projected Leader – Ollie Wines 28

The Power led the league for most votes last season and will be up there again in Season 2021.

Their two star midfielders, Ollie Wines and Travis Boak are expected to lead the way.

Wines is the outright favourite to win the medal after a consistent season in the middle of the ground. He has a chance to poll votes in up to twenty matches which justifies him being favourite.

Travis Boak finished second in the count last season and looks set to poll in many matches once again this year.

A midfielder that stepped up this season and is a smart user of the football is Karl Amon. He does rack up a lot of uncontested ball, but has a unique skill set and could give double-figure votes a nudge in the count.

There were not too many other Power players to consider, but it was a consistent overall team effort for most of the season.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Ollie Wines2834
Travis Boak2230
Karl Amon914
Charlie Dixon48
Allir Allir47
Dan Houston34
Zak Butters33
Robbie Gray34
Willem Drew36
Orazrio Fantasia23
Darcy Byrne-Jones22
Tom Clurey22
Steven Motlop22
Tom Jonas11
Sam Powell-Pepper11
Connor Rozee04
Scott Lycett02
Mitch Georgiades01
Peter Ladhams01

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Richmond Tigers

Projected Votes – 51

Projected Leader – Dustin Martin 13

Like many, the Tigers had an injury-interrupted season, but they never really got going and won’t have any players contending for the medal.

Despite an injury in the back part of the season, former Brownlow Medal Winner Dustin Martin should lead the way in the count for the Tigers. He had a couple of clear Best on Ground performances and was an X-Factor in some of their wins.

The battle for second could be an interesting one with Jack Riewoldt kicking bags of goals a few times and Shai Bolton being one of the more consistent Tigers on the field when he was out there.

Dustin Martin should once again lead the way at the Tigers.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Dustin Martin1314
Jack Riewoldt99
Jack Graham58
Shai Bolton510
Tom Lynch45
Liam Baker33
Dion Prestia25
Jayden Short22
Shane Edwards23
Nick Vlastuin23
Bachar Houli11
Trent Cotchin16
Toby Nankervis13
Sydney Stack11
Kayne Lambert01
Nathan Broad01
Mabior Chol01
Jack Ross01

St Kilda Saints

Projected Votes – 69

Projected Leader – Jack Steele 31

It will be a one-man show at the Saints, and Jack Steele backed up a stellar 2020, with a better Season in 2021 and an impressive second half of the year.

Jack Steele is projected to poll in many matches, and the less competition from teammates means he is a genuine chance to take home the medal.

The battle for second at the Saints will be interesting, with Luke Dunstan a chance for best on ground honours a couple of times. Brad Crouch didn’t have too many best on ground performances, but could sneak in votes with up to ten chances to poll throughout the season.

Jack Steele to win comfortably at the Saints and expect him to make a charge in the count in the second half of the season.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Jack Steele3134
Luke Dunstan68
Tim Membrey55
Zak Jones57
Jack Billings45
Max King45
Brad Crouch411
Brad Hill34
Rowan Marshall25
Cooper Sharman22
Hunter Clark12
Dougal Howard13
Jack Higgins12
Jack Sinclair03
Jade Gresham01
Dan Butler01
Mason Wood01
Dean Kent01

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Sydney Swans

Projected Votes – 85

Projected Leader – Luke Parker 21

The Swans were one of the surprises of Season 2021 and managed to snag a spot in the finals.

Callum Mills has stepped up his game this season and is expected to poll votes, especially in the first half of the season.

Luke Parker is expected to lead the way on the back of an impressive finish to the year. He knows how to win the football and has polled well in the count before.

Other Swans that may get votes include Isaac Heeney, Lance Franklin, Josh Kennedy and Tom Hickey could be an interesting one as he was one of the better Swans players on the ground many times.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Luke Parker2125
Callum Mills1419
Isaac Heeney1011
Lance Franklin89
Jordan Dawson69
Josh Kennedy59
Oliver Florent55
Errol Gulden45
Sam Wicks33
Tom Hickey27
Will Hayward23
Braeden Campbell11
Sam Reid11
Hayden McLean11
Tom McCartin12
George Hewett13
Tom Papley04
Jake Lloyd03
James Rowbottom02
Chad Warner02
Harry Cunningham01

West Coast Eagles

Projected Votes – 58

Projected Leader – Dom Sheed 11

The Eagles were expected to be a threat this season, but never really got going and failed to make the finals.

It will be tough to pick a leader here, with Dom Sheed, Andrew Gaff and Tim Kelly all a chance to poll in the count.

Going off last season, Nic Naitanui doesn’t win enough football despite his presence and tapping ability having a clear impact in matches. He is a chance to vote in a stack of matches, but looking unlikely.

Dom Sheed was an X-Factor in a few matches, and Andrew Gaff has distinctive running power, but the Eagles count could go a few ways.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Dom Sheed1113
Andrew Gaff1014
Tim Kelly812
Jack Darling56
Elliot Yeo56
Nic Naitanui39
Jack Redden39
Liam Ryan35
Josh Kennedy33
Jamie Cripps34
Luke Shuey23
Oscar Allen12
Shannon Hurn13
Jack Petruccelle01
Liam Duggan01
Brendon Ah Chee01
Alex Witherden01
Latest Brownlow Medal Odds 2021

Western Bulldogs

Projected Votes – 88

Projected Leader – Marcus Bontempelli 29

The Bulldogs were one of the better sides for the majority of the season, but just missed a final four spot in the last round.

They do have a heavy reliance on their elite midfield, and it was Marcus Bontempelli that stepped up and is expected to poll maximum votes in many matches this season.

Jack Macrae’s ability to rack up the disposals was noticeable throughout the season, and he makes smart decisions whilst using the footy at high efficiency.

Tom Liberatore was another Dog that stepped up this season and has no trouble winning the football from congestion and applying pressure on the opposition.

Bailey Smith polled quite well last season and may get votes this year, and Josh Dunkley and Adam Treloar may feature before sustaining injuries.

Marcus Bontempelli is expected to lead the way, but Jack Macrae is also a vote chance in many matches.

NameProjected VotesPossible Maximum
Marcus Bontempelli2932
Jack Macrae2531
Tom Liberatore1015
Josh Dunkley46
Adam Treloar46
Josh Bruce44
Bailey Smith36
Aaron Naughton36
Caleb Daniel38
Bailey Dale25
Tim English13
Alex Keath02
Lachie Hunter02
Bailey Williams01
Cody Weightman01

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To see the projected votes from previous rounds, click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.

Good luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.

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About dailysportsbuddy 287 Articles
A sports enthusiast with a specific focus on the AFL Brownlow Medal Count. A model that focuses on analysing matches, analysing previous counts and using key statistics to help determine which players have the best chance of polling in the count.

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