Brownlow Projected Votes, Round 12 2021
The start of the bye rounds, and the Melbourne Demons continue to impress after yet another win. They have been a standout in all facets of the game and currently have a player that is leading the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor.
There is some close competition with a few others starting to climb, and another Demon chasing after a best on ground performance.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 12 of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Melbourne vs Brisbane
Melbourne 14.13 97 – Brisbane 11.9 75
(Melbourne by 22 Points)
The Demons hosted the Lions at Metricon Stadium and were the better side with an impressive win. The Lions led at the half, but the Dees found some form in the third term on the back of stellar performances from their elite midfield.
Christian Petracca was excellent in the middle of the ground making smart decisions and attacking the scoreboard.
Max Gawn gave his midfield plenty of first use chances, with James Harmes having an impact and Clayton Oliver finding the footy in the second-half.
Steven May was again solid down back, and Tom McDonald booted 3 Goals.
The Lions had a fantastic first-half, and Zac Bailey stood out with 4 Goals. Dayne Zorko and Jarryd Lyons were again solid down back, and Harris Andrews stood out in defence.
Vote Chances
Clayton Oliver – 25 Disposals (13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts and 477 Metres Gained
James Harmes – 23 Disposals (20 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets and 23 Pressure Acts
Jarryd Lyons – 28 Disposals (18 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 523 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Zac Bailey (1)
19 Disposals (16 Effective), 5 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements and 4 Goals
2 Votes (Melbourne) Max Gawn (10)
17 Disposals (14 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 Tackles, 6 One Percenters, 5 Spoils and 1 Goal
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (15) ⭐⭐⭐
26 Disposals (16 Contested), 4 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 724 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Note – The Demons were impressive in the second-half, and Christian Petracca was a clear standout in this clash. He created scoring chances, got the ball out of congestion and hit the scoreboard to be the favourite for the maximum votes.
Sydney vs St Kilda
Sydney 13.14 92 – St Kilda 12.11 83
(Sydney by 9 Points)
The Swans overcame a spirited Saints side that would not go away, and had a few of the better players on the ground.
Jack Steele was the most influential player on the ground despite the loss, and was well supported by Brad Crouch and the busy Jack Higgins up forward.
The Swans won the match, and Luke Parker stood up when the game was up for grabs. Tom Hickey continues his impressive season in the ruck, and Jake Lloyd and Dayne Rampe were solid on the Swans back-half.
Vote Chances
Tom Hickey – 21 Disposals (16 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 6 One Percenters and 5 Spoils
Jake Lloyd – 27 Disposals (26 Effective), 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 7 Rebound 50s, 8 Score Involvements and 500 Metres Gained
Jack Higgins – 23 Disposals, 12 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (St Kilda) Brad Crouch (4)
38 Disposals (30 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Sydney) Luke Parker (7)
27 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 454 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele (12) ⭐⭐
31 Disposals (25 Effective and 16 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts, 467 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – Never a certainty when a side loses, but Steele was brilliant in this clash and kept the Saints in the match. Featuring in all the key statistical areas, and will be the favourite for Best on Ground honours.
Adelaide vs Collingwood
Adelaide 10.13 73 – Collingwood 12.6 78
(Collingwood by 5 Points)
The Pies got off to a fast start against the Crows on the back of a 4 Goal first quarter from forward Jamie Elliott.
Elliott continued to present throughout the contest, and the Pies were good enough to get the win in the end. Scott Pendlebury was important when the game was up for grabs, and was well supported in the middle by Jack Crisp and Steele Sidebottom.
The Crows have found some consistent performers this year, and it was again Rory Laird, Ben Keays, Paul Seedsman and Taylor Walker that were among their best.
Vote Chances
Taylor Walker – 22 Disposals (14 Contested), 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Clearances, 11 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goals
Reilly O’Brien – 19 Disposals (14 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Marks (5 Contested and 5 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Hit-outs to advantage, 4 Tackles, 7 One Percenters and 5 Spoils
Jack Crisp – 31 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 9 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 412 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Scott Pendlebury (2)
21 Disposals (17 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Adelaide) Rory Laird (8)
40 Disposals (28 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
3 Votes (Collingwood) Jamie Elliott (3) ⭐⭐
14 Disposals (12 Effective), 6 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts, 382 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
Note – A massive first term from Elliott, and he kept the form going to end up with 6 Goals and helped the Magpies get the away win. There were some other significant contributors in this one, but six from a small forward is usually enough.
Essendon vs Richmond
Essendon 12.12 84 – Richmond 19.9 123
(Richmond by 39 Points)
The Dreamtime clash did not disappoint, and it was a packed out house on a Saturday Night at Optus Stadium.
The Bombers looked like causing an upset in this contest, until the Tigers turned on the afterburners in the closing stages on the back of an awesome display from Dustin Martin and Shai Bolton.
Martin and Bolton came up big in the fourth quarter, and the Bombers looked to run out of legs.
Despite the loss, the Yiooken Award went to Bomber Darcy Parish, who won a stack of the football and gave his side every chance to stay in the match.
Vote Chances
Zach Merrett – 32 Disposals (28 Effective and 14 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 418 Metres Gained
Kyle Langford – 28 Disposals (22 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Intercept Marks), 8 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 589 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Jack Graham – 22 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Marks, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 33 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Shai Bolton (5)
21 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 425 Metres Gained, 3 Goal Assists and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Richmond) Dustin Martin (11)
27 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 426 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (19) ⭐⭐
44 Disposals (31 Effective and 16 Contested), 8 Marks, 9 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 737 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
Note – Parish was a certainty for the 3 Votes until the Tigers kicked away in the fourth quarter to blow away the margin. He did still win the medal, but Dustin Martin was superb in the fourth quarter and may pinch the three votes.
Carlton vs West Coast
Carlton 10.13 73 – West Coast 14.11 95
(West Coast by 22 Points)
The Eagles had not won at the SCG since 1999, but records are there to be broken, and they came out victors on a Sunday Afternoon.
Liam Ryan was excellent for the Eagles and a real X-Factor when the match mattered, and Dom Sheed won a lot of the football. Nic Naitanui, Andrew Gaff and Jack Redden were also influential in the middle of the ground.
The Blues struggled in this clash, but Sam Walsh was their best player and racked up a heap of the football.
Vote Chances
Andrew Gaff – 30 Disposals (21 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 3 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Jack Redden – 22 Disposals (16 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Nic Naitanui – 15 Disposals (11 Contested), 9 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 16 Hit-outs to advantage and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Sam Walsh (10)
30 Disposals (25 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
2 Votes (West Coast) Dom Sheed (9)
32 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 521 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
3 Votes (West Coast) Liam Ryan (3) ⭐⭐
17 Disposals (10 Contested), 9 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 410 Metres Gained and 4 Goals
Note – The Eagles have missed the creativity of Ryan this season, and he was back to make an impact. Ryan presented well all day, kicking 4 Goals and taking 4 contested marks. He should get the three votes, but did poll less than projected last season.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
Fremantle 9.11 65 – Western Bulldogs 13.15 93
(Western Bulldogs by 28 Points)
The Dogs flew out west to take on the Dockers, and their classy midfield was just too good.
Marcus Bontempelli was a clear standout and racked up plenty of the football whilst hitting the scoreboard and creating scoring chances.
Jack Macrae was again busy throughout the contest, and if Aaron Naughton could kick straight, the margin may have been more significant.
The Dockers were outclassed, but Veteran David Mundy was again outstanding in the middle of the ground and stood out with elite decision making.
Vote Chances
Aaron Naughton – 19 Disposals, 13 Marks (8 Marks Inside 50 and 5 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 407 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Tom Liberatore – 19 Disposals (12 Contested), 6 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 27 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Lachie Hunter – 27 Disposals 4 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 486 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) David Mundy (11)
30 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (16)
35 Disposals (26 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 435 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (18) ⭐⭐⭐
27 Disposals (19 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts, 595 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Note – When a side has a player as skilful as Bontempelli in the middle of the ground, they will be competitive, and the skills of the Bulldogs midfielder were on show once again. A clear best on ground performance in the win over Fremantle.
Leaderboard – Round 12
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | 21 |
| Darcy Parish | 19 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 18 |
| Jack Macrae | 16 |
| Christian Petracca | 15 |
| Jarryd Lyons | 14 |
| Cam Guthrie | 14 |
| Hugh McCluggage | 12 |
| Jack Steele | 12 |
| David Mundy | 11 |
| Touk Miller | 11 |
| Ollie Wines | 11 |
| Dustin Martin | 11 |
Click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar to see the projected votes from previous rounds. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
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