Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 8 2021
Round 8 is done and dusted, and the Melbourne Demons are still the only team that is undefeated so far in the 2021 AFL Season.
We have a tie for the lead of the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor after 8 Rounds, and Jack Macrae is now joined by Demon, Clayton Oliver.
A Geelong midfielder that polled well last year, Cam Guthrie is right behind them and is racking up a lot of the football.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 8 of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Richmond vs Geelong
Richmond 9.9 63 – Geelong 19.12 126
(Geelong by 63 Points)
A significant build-up to the Grand Final rematch all week, and the first-half didn’t disappoint. The Tigers got off to a fast start, and Shai Bolton took one of the best marks of the season as the Tigers went into the break with a 9 point lead.
The Cats came out to play in the second half, with forwards Jeremy Cameron, Gary Rohan and Tom Hawkins all having an impact in a dominant third term.
Cam Guthrie continued to win the football and was well supported by Mitch Duncan in the second-half.
Geelong’s defence also stood up, with Tom Stewart and Zach Tuohy being the standouts on the defensive half.
Shai Bolton was again the shining light for the Tigers, and he not only took a Mark of the Year Contender, but was also the Tiger most productive player.
Votes Chances
Tom Hawkins – 20 Disposals (16 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 16 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
Mitch Duncan – 30 Disposals (24 Effective), 10 Marks, 4 Clearances, 12 Score Involvements, 7 Tackles and 24 Pressure Acts
Tom Stewart – 26 Disposals (21 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements and 563 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Gary Rohan (1)
16 Disposals (14 Effective), 6 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 11 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Goals
2 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (11)
36 Disposals (28 Effective), 11 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles
3 Votes (Geelong) Jeremy Cameron (3) ⭐⭐
22 Disposals, 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 15 Score Involvements, 492 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 6 Goals
Note – Cameron seemed on from the start in this clash and had a big first-half. He kept it going as the match went on and provided plenty of headaches for the Tigers defenders. The definite favourite for BOG honours.
Gold Coast vs St Kilda
Gold Coast 7.12 54 – St Kilda 8.15 63
(St Kilda by 9 Points)
The Suns looked like the winner in this one at three-quarter time, but the Saints fought back in the final term to pinch the match.
Jack Steele and Jack Billings had an influence in the closing stages and were well supported by Zak Jones, Brad Crouch and Hunter Clark.
For the Suns, Touk Miller continues his excellent form and David Swallow was very good at pressurizing the Saints mids for the majority of the contest.
Vote Chances
David Swallow – 28 Disposals (22 Effective), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 486 Metres Gained, 13 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts
Brad Crouch – 30 Disposals (23 Effective), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles and 1 Goal
Zak Jones – 31 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 674 Metres Gained, 7 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (8)
33 Disposals (26 Effective), 7 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 609 Metres Gained
2 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Billings (4)
25 Disposals (21 Effective), 13 Marks, 7 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 525 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
3 Votes (St Kilda) Jack Steele (7) ⭐⭐
28 Disposals (11 Contested), 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 508 Metres Gained, 8 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Note – The Saints won the match, and when Steele takes the game on, he usually has a significant impact. He should get the three votes in this one, but Jack Billings was also another solid contributor.
GWS vs Essendon
GWS 16.11 107 – Essendon 16.9 105
(GWS by 2 Points)
The Bombers trailed for the majority of the contest, but fought back and almost pinched the match.
Zach Merrett and Darcy Parish were influential, but it wasn’t enough to get the win.
For the Giants, Tim Taranto, Josh Kelly, Tom Green and Toby Greene were solid all day and in and amongst the best players on the field.
Vote Chances
Tom Green – 28 Disposals (23 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist
Toby Greene – 21 Disposals, 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 473 Metres Gained, 5 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Darcy Parish – 35 Disposals (26 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 506 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Tim Taranto (5)
29 Disposals (22 Effective), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 30 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (GWS) Josh Kelly (6)
30 Disposals (11 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 505 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
3 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (6) ⭐
37 Disposals (26 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 13 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 644 Metres Gained, 6 One Percenters and 3 Goal Assists
Note – The Bombers lost the match, but Merrett seemed everywhere at times and racked up a staggering 13 Inside 50s. The loss makes it no certainty, but the game was close, and Merrett was good in the last quarter.
North Melbourne vs Collingwood
North Melbourne 11.10 76 – Collingwood 14.10 94
(Collingwood by 18 Points)
The Pies finally got back on the winner’s list, and it was Jordan De Goey who found some form and put on a show up forward with 6 Goals.
Darcy Moore has also been a Pie out of form in recent weeks, but he went down back and proved he is more valuable on the defensive end. Brayden Maynard was solid down back for the majority of the contest, and the run and carry of Jack Crisp helped create scoring chances.
For the Kangaroos, Aaron Hall and Jack Ziebell were again their best, but many of their possessions were cheap ones on the back-half.
Vote Chances
Brayden Maynard – 32 Disposals (26 Effective), 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 574 Metres Gained, 6 One Percenters and 4 Spoils
Scott Pendlebury – 21 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 28 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Aaron Hall – 37 Disposals (27 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 925 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (3)
31 Disposals (22 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 665 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
2 Votes (Collingwood) Darcy Moore (3)
28 Disposals (24 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 19 Marks (8 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s and 476 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Collingwood) Jordan De Goey (3) ⭐⭐
17 Disposals, 6 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50, including 3 Contested), 9 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 6 Goals
Note – The Pies found some form, and so did De Goey. He was the most important player on the ground when the match was up for grabs, and six goals should be enough to get the three votes.
Melbourne vs Sydney
Melbourne 10.7 67 – Sydney 8.10 58
(Melbourne by 9 Points)
The Demons were tested on a Saturday Night at the MCG, but they stood up in a gutsy performance to be the only remaining undefeated side.
Clayton Oliver was again influential in the middle of the ground, and James Harmes played his best game of the season.
Christian Petracca had an influence, and Tom McDonald continues his excellent form with 4 Goals.
For the Swans, Callum Mills was in and amongst the action for most of the contest, and Luke Parker was another solid contributor.
Vote Chances
Tom McDonald – 18 Disposals (13 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
Christian Petracca – 28 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Luke Parker – 32 Disposals (16 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Melbourne) James Harmes (1)
31 Disposals (21 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Clearances, 6 Rebound 50s, 18 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 29 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (7)
33 Disposals (18 Contested), 6 Clearances, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (12) ⭐⭐
35 Disposals (19 Contested), 6 Intercept possessions, 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 534 Metres Gained, 5 Tackles and 22 Pressure Acts
Note – The Demons were challenged in this clash, but Oliver continues his solid form and is moving up the leaderboard of the predictor fast. He featured in all the significant statistics and should get the maximum votes.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide
Port Adelaide 12.15 87 – Adelaide 5.8 38
(Port Adelaide by 49 Points)
The Power continued their winning streak over the Crows, and their defenders made it challenging for Adelaide.
The Crows did have many forward 50 entries, but Tom Clurey, Tom Jonas and Darcy Byrne-Jones stood up on the defensive end.
Travis Boak won the medal for Best on Ground, and Connor Rozee and Charlie Dixon were solid contributors throughout the contest. Scott Lycett won the ruck battle, but will face the tribunal for a rough tackle.
For the Crows, Rory Laird and Rory Sloane had decent games in the middle, but the Crows failed to convert chances going forward.
Vote Chances
Scott Lycett – 18 Disposals, 7 Intercept Possessions, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 8 One Percenters and 6 Spoils
Connor Rozee – 23 Disposals (10 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Rory Sloane – 20 Disposals, 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles, 31 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Laird (5)
36 Disposals (21 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 19 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Tom Clurey (2)
17 Disposals (15 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 4 Rebound 50s, 11 One Percenters and 10 Spoils
3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (9) ⭐⭐
28 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal Assist
Note – Boak won the medal, but this was a difficult match to split the votes with the Power defenders making it almost impossible for the Crows to be effective up forward. Boak gets the nod because he won the medal, but who knows which way the umps will go in this one.
Hawthorn vs West Coast
Hawthorn 8.12 60 – West Coast 14.14 98
(West Coast by 38 Points)
The Eagles have struggled away from Optus Stadium this season, but they impressed at the MCG with a win over the Hawks.
The incredible running power of Andrew Gaff was on show, and he stood out racking up a lot of the football and using it efficiently.
Dom Sheed had a decent game in the middle as well as Tim Kelly, and Jack Darling continues his impressive form over the last few weeks. A little known Eagle, Brendon Ah Chee stepped up in the forward line and managed to boot 4 Goals.
For the Hawks, Tom Mitchell was very impressive in the middle of the ground, and James Worpel racked up plenty of the football.
Vote Chances
Tim Kelly – 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 10 Marks, 5 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 472 Metres Gained, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Jack Darling – 17 Disposals, 9 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Brendon Ah Chee – 17 Disposals, 5 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 440 Metres Gained, 4 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 21 Pressure Acts and 4 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (West Coast) Dom Sheed (6)
35 Disposals (27 Effective and 12 Contested), 10 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 425 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (8)
41 Disposals (34 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets and 4 Tackles
3 Votes (West Coast) Andrew Gaff (8) ⭐⭐
38 Disposals (31 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 516 Metres Gained
Note – The elite running power of Gaff was on show again, and he even won some contested ball. Covered the ground well and was consistent for the majority of the contest.
Western Bulldogs vs Carlton
Western Bulldogs 16.11 107 – Carlton 13.13 91
(Western Bulldogs by 16 Points)
The Blues got the early jump on the Bulldogs on the back of an impressive 4 Goal opening half from veteran Eddie Betts. They looked like winners in the third term until the dogs big names decided to take the game on and reap the benefits.
Marcus Bontempelli was superb in the second-half of this match, and Tom Liberatore was a contested ball and clearance machine when the game mattered. Forward Josh Bruce stood up and booted 5 Goals, and Adam Treloar and Caleb Daniel were solid contributors.
For the Blues, Jacob Weitering was very good down back in the first 3 quarters, as was Sam Docherty.
Sam Walsh continued his decent form, and Eddie Betts hit the scoreboard.
Vote Chances
Jacob Weitering – 23 Disposals (16 Effective and 13 Contested), 12 Intercept Possessions, 13 Marks (7 Contested and 7 Intercept Marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 490 Metres Gained, 9 One Percenters and 8 Spoils
Sam Docherty – 31 Disposals (27 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Rebound 50s and 850 Metres Gained
Jack Macrae – 32 Disposals (23 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 592 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Josh Bruce (4)
15 Disposals (12 Effective), 11 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 11 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (4)
27 Disposals (23 Effective and 17 Contested), 13 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 13 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Tackles
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (9) ⭐⭐⭐
32 Disposals (19 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Contested), 10 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 679 Metres Gained, 8 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Note – The Blues challenged late, but the Bont came up big in the last quarter and was the difference in the match. He took the game on when the Dogs were down, and it was easy to see who will get the three votes.
Brisbane vs Fremantle
Brisbane 14.11 95 – Fremantle 10.11 71
(Brisbane by 24 Points)
The Lions got off to a fast start and led from start to finish, and the Dockers were never really in this match.
Jarryd Lyons was one of the best midfielders on the ground, and Hugh McCluggage continued his impressive season in the absence of Lachie Neale.
Daniel Rich set up play on the back-half, and Brandon Starcevich is beginning to become one of the most underrated defenders in the game. Charlie Cameron also gave the inexperienced Dockers defence a lot of headaches up forward.
For the Dockers, Nat Fyfe was excellent in the middle of the ground, doing the things that have got him votes in previous counts. He also managed to snag a goal and may feature in the votes in this match come Brownlow Night.
Votes Chances
Charlie Cameron – 14 Disposals, 11 Marks (8 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements and 3 Goals
Daniel Rich – 31 Disposals (25 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements and 660 Metres Gained
Dayne Zorko – 21 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 3 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) Nat Fyfe (6)
27 Disposals (22 Effective and 18 Contested), 5 Marks (3 Inside 50 and 2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (10)
27 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 30 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (8) ⭐⭐
29 Disposals (25 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Marks, 6 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 402 Metres Gained, 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Note – Lyons wins contested ball and uses the footy at high efficiency. He was one of the best midfielders on the ground and will be the favourite for the three votes in this one.
Leaderboard – Round 8
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Jack Macrae | 12 |
| Clayton Oliver | 12 |
| Cam Guthrie | 11 |
| Hugh McCluggage | 10 |
| David Mundy | 10 |
| Christian Petracca | 10 |
| Travis Boak | 9 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 9 |
| Jarryd Lyons | 8 |
| Touk Miller | 8 |
| Tom Mitchell | 8 |
| Ollie Wines | 8 |
| Andrew Gaff | 8 |
To see the projected votes from previous rounds, click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
Cheers and always remember to gamble resposnibly
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