Round 9 of the 2021 AFL Season is complete, and the Kangaroos are finally on the winners list after an impressive win over the Hawks.
The race for the 2021 Brownlow Medal is also getting close, with a couple of contenders from two of the top teams moving up the leaderboard.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 9 of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
St Kilda vs Geelong
St Kilda 5.17 47 – Geelong 10.8 68
(Geelong by 21 Points)
The Cats were let off the hook in this one with inaccuracy in front of goal from the Saints. The Saints had a real crack, but Geelong was too good in the end.
Cam Guthrie had yet another impressive performance in the middle of the ground and racked up plenty of the football. Mitch Duncan, Zach Tuohy, Tom Stewart and Lachie Henderson were a few other solid contributors.
For the Saints, Jack Steele was again a workhorse in the middle, and Brad Crouch was among the best afield before leaving the ground injured for a minor period.
Vote Chances
Issac Smith – 27 Disposals (21 Effective), 11 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s and 482 Metres Gained
Brad Crouch – 28 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Tackles and 26 Pressure Acts
Jack Steele – 23 Disposals (13 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 11 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Zach Tuohy (1)
31 Disposals (28 Effective), 6 Marks, 7 Rebound 50s and 593 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Geelong) Mitch Duncan (5)
30 Disposals (25 Effective), 15 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goal Assists
3 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (14) ⭐⭐
36 Disposals (27 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 29 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Note – The Saints kicked themselves out of this match, but Cam Guthrie stood out for the Cats with effective ball use, smart decision making, and pressure off the football.
Sydney vs Collingwood
Sydney 10.12 72 – Collingwood 5.12 42
(Sydney by 30 Points)
The Swans took on the Pies to kick off the Saturday slate of AFL Matches and the Pies hung in there in the first half only to be outclassed in the second.
Callum Mills and Luke Parker were among the Swans best in the win, whilst Tom Hickey continues his impressive form as the number one ruckman.
Forwards Isaac Heeney and Hayden McLean were strong up forward, and Dayne Rampe was rock solid down back.
For the Pies, Will Hoskin-Elliott was busy, and Jack Crisp was one of their best in his 150th consecutive match.
Vote Chances
Tom Hickey – 19 Disposals (16 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 3 Marks (3 Contested and all Intercept Marks), 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s and 6 Ground Ball Gets
Will Hoskin-Elliott – 23 Disposals (10 Marks), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 415 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Jack Crisp – 24 Disposals (20 Effective), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles and 35 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Sydney) Hayden McLean (1)
18 Disposals (12 Effective and 11 Contested), 9 Marks (5 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Sydney) Callum Mills (9)
28 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 27 Pressure Acts and 420 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Sydney) Isaac Heeney (3) ⭐
22 Disposals (18 Effective), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 3 Goals
Note – Not the easiest match to split the votes as the Swans had some decent contributors, but when Heeney hits the scoreboard, he has polled well in the past. He had a real impact on the result at important times and is a real shot at the maximum votes.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne
Hawthorn 12.8 80 – North Melbourne 13.9 87
(North Melbourne by 7 Points)
The Hawks looked the goods early, but the longer the game went on, the Kangaroos could sniff their first victory of the season.
On the back of stellar performances from Jy Simpkin and Ben Cunnington, the Kangaroos pleased coach David Noble and got their first win of the year.
Todd Goldstein won the ruck battle, and Luke Davies-Uniacke and Cam Zurhaar were other contributors.
For the Hawks, Chad Wingard was probably their best player and was well supported by James Cousins, Blake Hardwick and Liam Shiels.
Vote Chances
Todd Goldstein – 19 Disposals (15 Effective), 6 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 13 Hit-outs to advantage, 7 One Percenters, 7 Spoils and 1 Goal
Chad Wingard – 21 Disposals (15 Effective), 5 Inside 50s, 13 Score Involvements, 4 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
James Cousins – 23 Disposals (19 Effective), 4 Marks, 8 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 2 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (North Melbourne) Luke Davies-Uniacke (1)
24 Disposals (20 Effective and 14 Contested), 11 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal
2 Votes (North Melbourne) Ben Cunnington (5)
37 Disposals (29 Effective and 27 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 13 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s and 17 Ground Ball Gets
3 Votes (North Melbourne) Jy Simpkin (3) ⭐⭐
38 Disposals (26 Effective and 23 Contested), 14 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles and 550 Metres Gained
Note – The Kangaroos got their first win, and Simpkin racked up a lot of the football and was busy extracting it. He polled ok in last years count, and had a big match in this one, but so did his midfield teammate Ben Cunnington.
Gold Coast vs Brisbane
Gold Coast 7.9 59 – Brisbane 19.10 124
(Brisbane 73 Points)
This match was excepted to be somewhat close, but the Lions continued their impressive run without 2020 Brownlow Medalist Lachie Neale.
They made the Suns look second rate, with Jarryd Lyons and Dayne Zorko having a significant influence at stoppages. Hugh McClugage continues his decent run of form, but Brandon Starcevich, Harris Andrews, and Grant Birchall kept the Suns from hitting the scoreboard. Forward Dan McStay played his best game of the season and snagged four goals.
Not a lot of contributors from the Suns, and they missed the midfield influence of Touk Miller. David Swallow was probably their most consistent contributor.
Vote Chances
Dan McStay – 14 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 7 Score Involvemetns and 4 Goals
Harris Andrews – 17 Disposals (17 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (6 Intercept Marks and 5 Contested), 9 One Percenters and 9 Spoils
Grant Birchall – 26 Disposals (22 Effective), 13 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvemetns, 436 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (11)
24 Disposals (19 Effective), 8 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (4)
34 Disposals (26 Effective and 12 Contested), 9 Marks, 7 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 708 Metres Gained, 24 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (11) ⭐⭐
37 Disposals (30 Effective and 15 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 36 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Note – The Lions had a big win, and Jarryd Lyons had a significant impact in the middle of the ground. Dayne Zorko was also excellent, but Lyons gets the nod in this one with elite ball use and lots of pressure on the opposition.
Richmond vs GWS
Richmond 13.9 87 – GWS 12.11 83
(Richmond by 4 Points)
The Giants looked to be in control for the majority of this contest, but give Dusty an inch, and he will take a mile as he was a clear X-Factor in this match.
This was a gutsy win from the Tigers with many significant players out, and Dustin Martin was incredible and snagged 4 Goals. Liam Baker stepped up and filled the void in the middle of the ground, making a massive contribution. The Tigers defence and pressure around the football stood out and pinched them the win.
For the Giants, Jacob Hopper was excellent in the middle and at extracting the football at stoppages. Josh Kelly and Tim Taranto continued their impressive form, and Jesse Hogan proved that he can still play at the elite level.
Vote Chances
Toby Nankervis – 16 Disposals (12 Contested), 5 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 7 Clearances, 6 Hit-outs to advantage, 8 One Percenters, 5 Tackles and 8 Spoils
Jack Graham – 23 Disposals (18 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 24 Pressure Acts
Josh Kelly – 27 Disposals (19 Effective and 12 Contested), 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Jacob Hopper (2)
35 Disposals (20 Contested), 5 Marks, 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 17 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Richmond) Liam Baker (2)
33 Disposals (16 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 32 Pressure Acts, and 529 Metres Gained
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (Richmond) Dustin Martin (9) ⭐⭐⭐
28 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 428 Metres Gained and 4 Goals
Note – The Tigers managed to pinch this game, and it was the brilliance of Dustin Martin that made the difference. Dangerous each time he went near the footy in the closing stages, he kicked important goals to win the Tigers the match.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs
Port Adelaide 12.5 77 – Western Bulldogs 15.6 96
(Western Bulldogs by 19 Points)
The Power hosted the Dogs in Adelaide, and the Bulldogs came out on top in a gutsy performance.
Marcus Bontempelli was again influential in the middle, and Tom Liberatore was in and around the stoppages, consistently extracting the ball from a congested situation.
The elite ball use of Caleb Daniel was on show down back, and Aaron Naughton was the best forward on the ground with 4 Goals.
For the Power, Ollie Wines and Travis Boak were their best and should probably poll based on their input, but the Dogs won the match and may fill the votes page come Brownlow Night.
Vote Chances
Ollie Wines – 32 Disposals (24 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Marks, 5 Clearances, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Travis Boak – 30 Disposals (21 Effective and 12 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 421 Metres Gained, 7 Tackles and 29 Pressure Acts
Caleb Daniel – 26 Disposals (24 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 5 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 449 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Aaron Naughton (1)
11 Disposals (8 Effective and 9 Contested), 5 Marks (3 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 3 One Percenters and 4 Goals
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Tom Liberatore (6)
27 Disposals (20 Contested and 19 Effective), 12 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 19 Ground Ball Gets and 28 Pressure Acts
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (12) ⭐⭐
26 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 589 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 2 Goals
Note – Another fine display from the Dogs midfielder, and Bontempelli had a big night in the win. He used the footy well, hit the scoreboard and had the most noticeable impact on the ground.
Essendon vs Fremantle
Essendon 10.8 68 – Fremantle 8.13 61
(Essendon by 7 Points)
The Bombers hosted the Dockers and were too good in the end to win by a narrow margin.
Darcy Parish continues his superb form this season and had another best on ground performance. Nick Hind, Mason Redman and Jordan Ridley were again solid on the defensive end, and Andrew McGrath had a decent match in the middle of the ground.
For the Dockers, Sean Darcy won the ruck battle, and Andrew Brayshaw racked up a lot of uncontested footy.
Vote Chances
Andrew McGrath – 27 Disposals (19 Effective and 10 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles and 24 Pressure Acts
Matt Taberner – 16 Disposals, 7 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements and 4 Goals
Andrew Brayshaw – 33 Disposals (27 Effective), 8 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Nick Hind (1)
31 Disposals (26 Effective), 6 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks ( 2 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 523 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Fremantle) Sean Darcy (2)
22 Disposals (14 Contested), 4 Marks, 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 15 Hit-outs to advantage and 8 Tackles
3 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (10) ⭐⭐⭐
39 Disposals (27 Effective and 18 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 459 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – Parish is having a breakout year and will again go in favourite for another Best on Ground performance. He has taken his game to another level, winning the contested ball, and racks up the important clearances.
Melbourne vs Carlton
Melbourne 13.16 94 – Carlton 10.8 68
(Melbourne by 26 Points)
The Demons continue to roll on in the 2021 AFL Season and have now won 9 matches straight. They took care of the Blues and are looking the goods approaching the bye rounds.
Clayton Oliver was again instrumental in the middle of the ground, and Tom McDonald provided a lot of headaches for the Blues defenders and presented well all match.
Christian Petracca also had an influence at stoppages, and defenders Jake Lever and Christian Salem continue their fine form on the back-half.
For the Blues, Patrick Cripps tried his best all day and was good at congestion, whilst Sam Walsh and Sam Docherty were among the Blues best.
Vote Chances
Christian Petracca – 27 Disposals (16 Contested), 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 528 Metres Gained
Christian Salem – 29 Disposals (21 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Score Involvements, and 5 Ground Ball Gets
Sam Walsh – 30 Disposals (21 Effective), 9 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Tackles and 20 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (3)
27 Disposals (14 Contested), 7 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50) and 28 Pressure Acts
2 Votes (Melbourne) Tom McDonald (5)
18 Disposals (15 Effective and 10 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (15) ⭐⭐
28 Disposals (18 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Note – Another win for the Demons, and Oliver was again one of the standout players. He always makes smart decisions with the football and helps set up teammates. He should get the three votes in this game, but Tom McDonald was also impressive.
West Coast vs Adelaide
West Coast 16.10 106 – Adelaide 11.10 76
(West Coast by 30 Points)
The last game of the round, and it was a brilliant second quarter show from Eagles Forward Jack Darling that set up the win for the home side. Darling was fantastic in the second quarter and booted five goals which helped the Eagles create a protectable lead.
Tim Kelly was again busy in the middle of the ground and was the prime beneficiary of the elite ruck work from Nic Naitanui. Small forward Jamie Cripps stepped up in the forward line, and defender Alex Witherden played his best game of the season.
For the Crows, Rory Laird was excellent in the middle of the ground and won a lot of the football to be the shining light.
Vote Chances
Nic Naitanui – 13 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Marks (3 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 14 Hit-outs to advantage, 5 One Percenters and 5 Spoils
Jamie Cripps – 25 Disposals (20 Effective), 10 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 638 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Alex Witherden – 30 Disposals (25 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 10 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets and 684 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Adelaide) Rory Laird (6)
36 Disposals (28 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Marks, 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 1 Goal
2 Votes (West Coast) Tim Kelly (8)
31 Disposals (24 Effective and 18 Contested), 11 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets and 3 Goal Assists
3 Votes (West Coast) Jack Darling (5) ⭐⭐
15 Disposals, 8 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 5 Contested), 3 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
Note – The Crows hung around in the first term, but a Five Goal second quarter from Jack Darling was the difference in the match and will get noticed. Went quiet in the second half, but was the clear X-Factor in this game when it was up for grabs.
Leaderboard – Round 9
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | 15 |
| Cam Guthrie | 14 |
| Jack Macrae | 12 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 12 |
| Jarryd Lyons | 11 |
| Hugh McCluggage | 11 |
| Darcy Parish | 10 |
| David Mundy | 10 |
| Christian Petracca | 10 |
| Travis Boak | 9 |
| Dustin Martin | 9 |
| Callum Mills | 9 |
To see the projected votes from previous rounds, click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
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