Brownlow Medal Leader Round 10, Predictor 2021
Ten Rounds are done and dusted in the 2021 AFL Season, and there are no more undefeated sides, with the Demons losing a close one to the Crows in Adelaide.
After ten rounds in the 2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor, we have a clear leader, and it is a Demons midfielder that leads the way after an impressive start to the season.
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 10 of the 2021 AFL Season.
Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.
Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.
This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.
A Star ⭐ rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Brisbane vs Richmond
Brisbane 15.12 102 – Richmond 11.8 74
(Brisbane by 28 Points)
The Tigers travelled to Brisbane in a much-anticipated matchup against the Lions. Brisbane showed their class in all facets of the game and came out victors by a comfortable margin.
The Lions midfield has stepped up in the absence of Brownlow Medalist Lachie Neale, and they continued their solid form.
Jarryd Lyons was again very good at extracting the football, and captain Dayne Zorko won a lot of hardball and set up many scoring chances. Hugh McCluggage was again impressive in the middle, and Zac Bailey stepped up to kick 4 Goals.
Eric Hipwood had a good night up forward, and Mitch Robinson found some form in and around the forward-half.
The Tigers had an off night, but Noah Balta was solid down for most of the contest and probably their best player in the loss.
Vote Chances
Eric Hipwood – 13 Disposals (10 Effective), 7 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 7 Score Involvements and 4 Goals
Zac Bailey – 15 Disposals (12 Effective), 10 Score Involvements, 3 Goal Assists and 4 Goals
Mitch Robinson – 22 Disposals (17 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 492 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (12)
27 Disposals (16 Contested), 7 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 14 Ground Ball Gets, 505 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
2 Votes (Brisbane) Dayne Zorko (6)
28 Disposals (19 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Clearances 11 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 650 Metres Gained, 25 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (14) ⭐⭐
26 Disposals (15 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Note – The Lions midfielders got the better of the Reigning Premiers, and it was Dayne Zorko and Jarryd Lyons that stood out the most. This one could go either way, but Lyons stood up when the match was up for grabs.
Carlton vs Hawthorn
Carlton 13.8 86 – Hawthorn 9.9 63
(Carlton by 23 Points)
Carlton got the win against the struggling Hawks outfit, and Sam Walsh continued his super form in what seems to be a breakout year.
Walsh won a lot of the football and put plenty of pressure on the opposition in an impressive showing. Patrick Cripps and Ed Curnow were also excellent in the middle of the ground, whilst defenders Sam Docherty, Zac Williams and Adam Saad all had a significant impact down back.
For the Hawks, Tom Mitchell won a heap of the football and will more than likely feature in the votes.
Vote Chances
Sam Docherty – 26 Disposals (11 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 533 Metres Gained
Zac Williams – 26 Disposals (22 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 764 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Adam Saad – 26 Disposals (23 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 658 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (4)
25 Disposals (18 Effective and 12 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 34 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
2 Votes (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (10)
44 Disposals (34 Effective and 16 Contested), 8 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 609 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Walsh (9) ⭐⭐
30 Disposals (21 Effective and 17 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets 6 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 33 Pressure Acts, 432 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Note – Walsh was a clear standout in this game with an elite work ethic and the ability to read the play. He won a stack of contested football and applied a lot of pressure on the opposition.
Geelong vs Gold Coast
Geelong 14.7 91 – Gold Coast 8.9 57
(Geelong by 34 Points)
The Cats hosted the Suns, got the early jump in the first quarter, and controlled the contest.
Veteran Joel Selwood led from the front in the middle of the ground and was one of the Cats best.
Cam Guthrie had an excellent first half, and Quinton Narkle played one of his best games with a lot of contested possessions, in which many were effective. Tom Stewart was solid down back once again, and Mark Blicavs stepped up with some time in the ruck.
The usual contributors at the Suns with Hugh Greenwood and Touk Miller winning a lot of the footy, but will be outsiders to poll given the Suns were never really a threat in this one.
Vote Chances
Cam Guthrie – 29 Disposals (14 Contested), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Tackles
Touk Miller – 30 Disposals (23 Effective and 15 Contested), 7 Clearances, 4 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 25 Pressure Acts, 434 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Hugh Greenwood – 18 Disposals (12 Contested), 7 Clearances, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 16 Tackles, 48 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Geelong) Mark Blicavs (1)
18 Disposals (14 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 6 Tackles and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Geelong) Quinton Narkle (2)
34 Disposals (26 Effective and 15 Contested), 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets and 434 Metres Gained
3 Votes (Geelong) Joel Selwood (7) ⭐⭐⭐
39 Disposals (32 Effective and 17 Contested), 10 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets and 7 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50)
Note – Selwood was brilliant in this game, racking up a heap of possessions in which many were both effective and contested. He extracted the footy regularly and had a significant impact on the result when it mattered.
Adelaide vs Melbourne
Adelaide 15.6 96 – Melbourne 14.11 95
(Adelaide by 1 Point)
The Demons were upset and lost their first match of the season, coming up against a Crows side that impressed.
Paul Seedsman, Rory Laird and Ben Keays all stood up for the Crows, whilst Tex Walker was handy in the closing stages, helping the Crows win the match.
The Demons may have lost the game, but they had a clear best on ground contributor. Clayton Oliver played one of the best individual games of the year, and almost single-handedly willed the Demons to victory. Christian Petracca was also influential when the match was up for grabs.
Vote Chances
Rory Laird – 35 Disposals (27 Effective and 17 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 21 Pressure Acts
Ben Keays – 34 Disposals (11 Contested), 8 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles, 22 Pressure Acts, 418 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
Taylor Walker – 16 Disposals (13 Effective), 9 Marks (6 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements and 3 Goals
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (11)
32 Disposals (23 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Marks, 11 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 731 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Adelaide) Paul Seedsman (2)
35 Disposals (25 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 20 Pressure Acts, 657 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Lock of the Week
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (18) ⭐⭐⭐
38 Disposals (28 Effective and 27 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 14 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 19 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 626 Metres Gained and 3 Goals
Note – The Demons may have lost the game, but Oliver was simply brilliant and featured in all the key statistical areas that have been consistent from past winners. With a willingness to win the football, Oliver makes smart decisions at critical times and is a midfielder that can sniff a goal. He should get the maximum votes in this one.
Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda
Western Bulldogs 21.18 144 – St Kilda 5.3 33
(Western Bulldogs by 111 Points)
This match was over fast and looked like a training run for the Bulldogs at times.
The Dogs won easily, and it was again their two midfield stars, Marcus Bontempelli and Jack Macrae, that were the standouts.
Backmen Bailey Dale and Caleb Daniel were very good down back for the Dogs, and Aaron Naughton made the most of a Saints Defence that is getting hammered at the moment. Tom Liberatore also kept winning the contested football and extracted it on a regular occurrence.
Nobody to mention at the Saints as this was an abysmal performance, and no player is any chance of polling votes in the 111 point loss.
Vote Chances
Tom Liberatore – 31 Disposals (28 Effective and 14 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested), 8 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 17 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Aaron Naughton – 15 Disposals, 9 Marks (7 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 12 Score Involvements and 5 Goals
Caleb Daniel – 25 Disposals (21 Effective and 11 Contested), 10 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 6 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles and 19 Pressure Acts
Projected Votes
1 Vote (W.Bulldogs) Bailey Dale (1)
34 Disposals (27 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 5 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 761 Metres Gained and 2 Goals
2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (14)
41 Disposals, (33 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts and 539 Metres Gained
3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (15) ⭐⭐
26 Disposals (18 Effective), 5 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 27 Pressure Acts, 797 Metres Gained and 4 Goals
Note – The game was over fast, but whenever a midfielder gets a lot of the football and boots a bag of goals, they usually get the maximum votes. Bontempelli was very classy in the big win.
Fremantle vs Sydney
Fremantle 12.14 86 – Sydney 13.6 84
(Fremantle by 2 Points)
Wet conditions out West, and this game came down to the wire with Captain Nat Fyfe kicking the winning goal in the closing stages.
Fyfe was excellent in this game, and a Dockers tall stood up in the second-half to boot 4 Goals. Lachie Shultz also booted 4 for Freo, and Veteran David Mundy made smart decisions with the footy in the closing stages. Michael Walters also found some form with a switch to the midfield.
For the Swans, Lance Franklin had a big night up forward and booted 6 Goals, whilst Jordan Dawson was solid down back, and Callum Mills continues his impressive form as predominantly a midfielder.
Vote Chances
David Mundy – 29 Disposals (17 Contested), 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements and 9 Ground Ball Gets
Callum Mills – 26 Disposals (17 Contested), 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 24 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Jordan Dawson – 31 Disposals (26 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (3 Intercept Marks), 17 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 9 One Percenters, 7 Spoils and 711 Metres Gained
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Fremantle) Rory Lobb (1)
18 Disposals (13 Effective and 10 Contested), 9 Marks (4 Contested and 3 Marks Inside 50), 5 Inside 50s, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 4 Spoils and 4 Goals
2 Votes (Sydney) Lance Franklin (5)
18 Disposals (14 Effective), 10 Marks (4 Marks Inside 50 and 3 Contested), 5 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 3 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 478 Metres Gained and 6 Goals
3 Votes (Fremantle) Nat Fyfe (9) ⭐⭐
27 Disposals (20 Effective and 19 Contested), 13 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 41 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Note – Fyfe stood up in this match and extracted the football on a regular occurrence. A work ethic second to none, Fyfe applied a lot of pressure when the game got tight and congested and kicked the winning goal to be a real X-Factor.
GWS vs West Coast
GWS 13.15 93 – West Coast 11.11 77
(GWS by 16 Points)
The Giants were too good for the Eagles and kept their finals hopes alive in an impressive win.
The Giants mids won the battle to win the football with Tom Green, Josh Kelly, Callan Ward and Jacob Hopper all making significant contributions. Lachie Whitfield used the footy well, and Sam Taylor continues to be one of the better stoppers in the game down back.
For the Eagles, Nic Naitanui won the ruck battle, and Tim Kelly was their best onballer.
Vote Chances
Jacob Hopper – 28 Disposals (20 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 2 Goal Assists
Lachie Whitfield – 29 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets and 1 Goal
Nic Naitanui – 15 Disposals (12 Contested and 11 Effective), 7 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Hit-outs to advantage, 6 Tackles, 24 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
Projected Votes
1 Vote (GWS) Callan Ward (3)
29 Disposals (24 Effective), 5 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 21 Pressure Acts and 415 Metres Gained
2 Votes (GWS) Josh Kelly (8)
24 Disposals (18 Effective and 13 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 8 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 533 Metres Gained
3 Votes (GWS) Tom Green (3) ⭐
27 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 12 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 2 Goals
Note – The young Giants midfielder is not a massive name yet, but he was terrific in this game, winning the footy, hitting the scoreboard and creating scoring chances. A couple of other Giants were also very good, so a challenging game to pick, but Green was one of the standouts.
Collingwood vs Port Adelaide
Collingwood 8.10 58 – Port Adelaide 8.11 59
(Port Adelaide by 1 Point)
The Power were behind for most of the match but showed their class in the closing stages in a tough game to split the votes.
Ollie Wines and Travis Boak had their usual impact when the game mattered, but Robbie Gray has that X-Factor when the game matters, and he stood up.
Brodie Grundy was the dominant player for the Pies before half-time and still influenced in the second. Taylor Adams and Jack Crisp were also very good in the middle of the ground in a better overall performance from the Pies.
Vote Chances
Taylor Adams – 29 Disposals (19 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Marks, 8 Clearances and 6 Ground Ball Gets,
Jack Crisp – 26 Disposals (19 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 4 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 22 Pressure Acts
Ollie Wines – 27 Disposals (18 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 5 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 520 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (10)
27 Disposals (13 Contested), 8 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 21 Pressure Acts and 549 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Robbie Gray (2)
18 Disposals (15 Effective), 6 Marks (2 Contested and 2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 18 Pressure Acts and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Collingwood) Brodie Grundy (6) ⭐
23 Disposals (14 Contested), 5 Marks (2 Contested), 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 10 Hit-outs to advantage and 2 Goals
Note – A tougher game to split the votes, but the Pies almost pinched this match, and Grundy had a significant impact as a ruckman. He won a lot of contested footy and almost racked up double-figure clearances in an impressive showing from the Pies big man.
Essendon vs North Melbourne
Essendon 22.9 141 – North Melbourne 10.9 69
(Essendon by 72 Points)
The last game of the round, and it was the Bombers that made easy work of the Kangaroos on a Sunday Afternoon.
Darcy Parish continues to have a breakout season and was well supported by Zach Merrett and Andrew McGrath in the middle of the ground. Peter Wright also presented well up forward with an added role in the ruck and had an impact.
Given the margin, it is unlikely a Kangaroo will feature in the votes, but Ben Cunnington was one of the best midfielders on the ground.
Vote Chances
Andrew McGrath – 31 Disposals (31 Effective), 5 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 3 Goal Assists
Dyson Heppell – 26 Disposals (24 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 11 Marks (4 Intercept Marks), 5 Score Involvements and 5 Ground Ball Gets
Ben Cunnington – 34 Disposals (27 Effective and 18 Contested), 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 483 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Essendon) Peter Wright (2)
16 Disposals, 10 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50 and 4 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements and 3 Goals
2 Votes (Essendon) Zach Merrett (8)
31 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 430 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
3 Votes (Essendon) Darcy Parish (13) ⭐⭐⭐
36 Disposals (32 Effective and 13 Contested), 12 Marks, 11 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 12 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts, 556 Metres Gained and 3 Goal Assists
Note – Parish was brilliant in this clash, with the majority of his disposals being effective. He continually extracted the footy, used it well and created scoring chances to be a favourite for the maximum votes yet again.
Leaderboard – Round 10
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | 18 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 15 |
| Jarryd Lyons | 14 |
| Cam Guthrie | 14 |
| Jack Macrae | 14 |
| Darcy Parish | 13 |
| Hugh McCluggage | 12 |
| Christian Petracca | 11 |
| David Mundy | 10 |
| Tom Mitchell | 10 |
| Travis Boak | 10 |
Click the Brownlow Medal Predictor 2021 on the menu bar to see the projected votes from previous rounds. You can also click the TAGS at the bottom of this post or use the links below.
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