Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 2 2021

Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 2 2021
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Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 2 2021

Round 2 of the 2021 AFL Season is complete, and we may be seeing the return of the big forward this year.

Taylor Walker kicked another bag of goals in Round 2 at the smaller SCG, but his side still wasn’t good enough to get over the Swans.

The round ended with a blockbuster between the Bulldogs and the Eagles, and are we seeing the end of the GWS side being contenders? The Dockers outplayed them in the last match, but the Giants efforts in specific areas were questionable.

Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 2 of the 2021 AFL Season.

Be sure to check back each week of the 2021 AFL Season for an in-depth look at some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes.

Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. Who gets the Brownlow Votes, and who has the best chance to become the Brownlow Medal Winner on Brownlow Medal Night.

This Brownlow Medal Tracker features the players that have the best chance of getting the votes and three other players that are considered a vote chance.

A Star ⭐ rating system is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.

= Tough Game to Pick

⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance

⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the 3 Votes


Brownlow Medal Predictor, Round 2 2021

Carlton vs Collingwood

Carlton 13.7 85 – Collingwood 16.10 106

(Collingwood by 21 Points)

The Pies got the early jump on the Blues and managed to sustain a healthy margin for most of the contest.

Darcy Moore was outstanding down back for the Pies and made it tough for the Blues forwards. Jordan De Goey was on fire up forward in the first half, but hardly sited after half-time.

Taylor Adams, Jack Crisp, Brodie Grundy and Scott Pendlebury were all solid contributors through the middle of the ground.

It was a tough night for the Blues, but Harry McKay was a shining light up forward and probably their best with 3 Goals.

Vote Chances

Scott Pendlebury – 30 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements and 5 Tackles

Brodie Grundy – 16 Disposals (10 Contested), 4 Clearances, 6 Tackles and 18 Hit-outs to advantage

Jordan De Goey – 16 Disposals, 6 Marks, 12 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Collingwood) Darcy Moore (1)

22 Disposals (20 Effective and 13 Contested), 18 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks) and 6 Rebound 50s

2 Votes (Collingwood) Jack Crisp (2)

36 Disposals (15 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 6 Inside 50s and 788 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Collingwood) Taylor Adams (3) ⭐⭐

29 Disposals (18 Contested), 13 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles and 1 Goal

Note – Adams was brilliant in this match and filled the stats sheet up in most of the key areas. Collingwood did have quite a few significant contributors though, so the three isn’t a shoe-in, but he gets the nod here.


Geelong vs Brisbane

Geelong 12.9 81 – Brisbane 11.14 80

(Geelong by 1 Point)

Geelong got off to a fast start against the Lions, and it looked like it may be a one-sided match early. The Lions did come back and made it a good contest but just fell short.

Joel Selwood was brilliant in the middle of the ground for the Cats, and Cam Guthrie provided further midfield support. Rhys Stanley made the most of coming up against an injured ruckman, and Zach Tuohy seemed to pop up when it mattered with a couple of important goals. Tom Hawkins was dangerous and a solid target up forward for the majority of the clash.

Lachie Neale was well held by Mark O’Connor from Geelong and could not get near the football.

Jarryd Lyons stepped up, and Hugh McCluggage tried hard all night for the Lions. Eric Hipwood was the leading goal scorer on the ground with 4 Goals.

Vote Chances

Zach Tuohy – 27 Disposals (21 Effective), 7 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 583 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Tom Hawkins – 17 Disposals (13 Contested), 5 Marks, 4 Clearances, 12 Score Involvements and 3 Goals

Rhys Stanley – 22 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances and 10 Score Involvements

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (1)

20 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal

2 Votes (Geelong) Cam Guthrie (2) 

28 Disposals (21 Effective), 9 Marks, 4 Inside 50s, 4 Rebound 50s and 5 Tackles


Lock of the Week

Lock of the Week 2021

3 Votes (Geelong) Joel Selwood (3) ⭐⭐⭐

27 Disposals (21 Effective and 17 Contested), 8 Clearances, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 521 Metres Gained and 2 Goals

Note – The lock of the week, Selwood was awesome in this game, being the most consistent midfielder on the ground and winning significant amounts of contested ball.


Sydney vs Adelaide

Sydney 18.13 121 – Adelaide 11.22 88

(Sydney by 33 Points)

The Swans have started the season off in fine fashion, and it was a couple of rookies that kept winning the football in the first-half.

Errol Gulden and Braeden Campbell had an impact in the first-half and helped set up a 5 Goal Swans lead. They both had quieter second-halves, but should get noticed for their contributions in this match.

Veterans Josh Kennedy and Luke Parker were solid throughout the contest, and Issac Heeney booted three goals. Tom McCartin played one of his best games down back for the Swans.

The Crows were not too bad in this clash and had a lot of scoring chances. Taylor Walker was again dangerous all match booting 6 Goals, and Ben Keayes was probably their best midfielder.

Vote Chances

Josh Kennedy – 27 Disposals (10 Contested), 7 Marks, 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s and 9 Score Involvements

Tom McCartin – 18 Disposals (15 Effective), 12 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 6 Spoils and 7 One Percenters

Ben Keayes – 28 Disposals (10 Contested), 8 Clearances, 11 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 681 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Sydney) Braeden Campbell (1)

25 Disposals (20 Effective), 6 Marks, 8 Rebound 50s and 708 Metres Gained

2 Votes (Sydney) Errol Gulden (4)

22 Disposals (16 Effective), 7 Marks, 11 Score Involvements and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Adelaide) Taylor Walker (6) ⭐

15 Disposals (10 Contested), 6 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 4 Tackles (4 Tackles Inside 50), 13 Score Involvements and 6 Goals

Note – Tough to pick the maximum votes in this game as the Swans had many contributors, and a couple of rookies stood out early. Walker was consistent for the entire match and kicked 6 Goals, but this could go several ways.


Port Adelaide vs Essendon

Port Adelaide 18.11 119 – Essendon 9.11 65

(Port Adelaide by 54 Points)

The Power hosted the Bombers, and it was a third-year player that stood out. Zak Butters is slowly starting to show what he can produce on the footy field, and he was outstanding in the comfortable win.

Ollie Wines and Travis Boak were again influential in the middle of the ground, winning the contested ball, and Charlie Dixon stood up, booting 4 Goals. Dan Houston stood out down back for the Power with a high disposal efficiency and smart decision making.

The Bombers were disappointing, but Jordan Ridley was probably their best down back with many disposals and Rebound 50s.

Vote Chances

Travis Boak – 30 Disposals (22 Effective and 17 Contested), 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, and 11 Ground Ball Gets

Charlie Dixon – 13 Disposals, 5 Marks (5 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements and 4 Goals

Jordan Ridley – 32 Disposals (29 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (3 Contested), 12 Rebound 50s and 616 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Port Adelaide) Ollie Wines (1)

38 Disposals (17 Contested), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, and 12 Ground Ball Gets

2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Dan Houston (3)

25 Disposals (24 Effective), 4 Marks (2 Contested), 6 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 657 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

3 Votes (Port Adelaide) Zac Butters (3) ⭐⭐

36 Disposals (31 Effective and 14 Contested), 6 Clearances, 8 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 1 Goal

Note – The Power again had many contributors, but Butters stood out with his willingness to win the football and a work ethic second to none. The favourite for the maximum votes.


St Kilda vs Melbourne

St Kilda 11.7 73 – Melbourne 12.19 91

(Melbourne by 18 Points)

The Saints hosted the Demons, and it was the Demons that came out on top in the closing stages.

Clayton Oliver and Christian Petracca made solid contributions in the middle of the ground and were the beneficiaries of some good ruck work from Max Gawn.

Christian Salem had a solid match down back, and Kysaiah Pickett provided headaches for the Saints defenders up forward.

For the Saints, Jack Steele was a shining light, and Jade Gresham was decent for most of the contest. Dougal Howard had a big game down back for the Saints, but it still wasn’t enough to topple the Dees.

Vote Chances

Christian Salem – 30 Disposals (25 Effective), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s and 609 Metres Gained

Dougal Howard – 29 Disposals (23 Effective), 9 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (6 Intercept Marks), 9 Rebound 50s, 769 Metres Gained, 14 One Percenters and 13 Spoils

Jade Gresham -29 Disposals (22 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 10 Inside 50s, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 512 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Projected Votes

1 Vote (St Kilda) Jack Steele (1)

25 Disposals (14 Contested), 4 Clearances, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Melbourne) Christian Petracca (2)

30 Disposals (11 Contested), 9 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 6 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets and 672 Metres Gained

3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (4) ⭐⭐

37 Disposals (28 Effective and 21 Contested), 11 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Tackles, 12 Ground Ball Gets and 520 Metres Gained

Note – It’s looking like one of the two gun Melbourne mids will get the three in this one. Oliver gets the nod as most of his disposals were both contested as well as effective, and he racked up double-figure clearances.


Gold Coast vs North Melbourne

Gold Coast 14.14 98 – North Melbourne 5.9 39

(Gold Coast by 59 Points)

The Suns had a big win against a disappointing Kangaroos team, and it was their midfielders that got the job done.

Second-year player Noah Anderson won a lot of the football along with Touk Miller and Brandon Ellis.

Jarrod Witts stood up in the ruck, and defenders Jack Bowes, Jack Lukosius and Sam Collins made it tough for the Roos forwards.

The Kangaroos didn’t have many significant contributors, but Jed Anderson was probably their best with 14 Tackles.

Vote Chances

Lachie Weller – 25 Disposals, 6 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 617 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Jack Bowes – 31 Disposals (25 Effective and 11 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 6 Rebound 50s, 10 Ground Ball Gets and 5 Spoils

Jed Anderson – 27 Disposals (17 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 14 Tackles and 34 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Gold Coast) Jarrod Witts (1)

19 Disposals (14 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements and 9 Hit-outs to advantage

2 Votes (Gold Coast) Touk Miller (2)

31 Disposals, 5 Marks, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 507 Metres Gained, 8 Tackles and 27 Pressure Acts

3 Votes (Gold Coast) Noah Anderson (3) ⭐⭐

35 Disposals (28 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 7 Clearances, 10 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets and 24 Pressure Acts

Note – Anderson was excellent in the middle of the ground in this match, but so was Miller. Hard to see anybody else stake a claim for maximum votes in this match apart from the two Suns mids.


Hawthorn vs Richmond

Hawthorn 7.7 49 – Richmond 11.12 78

(Richmond by 29 Points)

The Tigers took on the Hawks at the MCG and came away with the win. Dustin Martin, Dion Prestia and Trent Cotchin were solid for most of the match, and Jack Riewoldt booted 4 Goals.

For the Hawks, Tom Mitchell won a lot of the football and defenders Changkuoth Jiath and Blake Hardwick were busy down back.

Vote Chances

Trent Cotchin – 27 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Marks, 7 Inside 50s, 634 Metres Gained and 22 Pressure Acts

Changkuoth Jiath – 25 Disposals (19 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 9 One Percenters and 7 Spoils

Blake Hardwick – 31 Disposals (26 Effective),  15 Marks (14 Uncontested), 8 Rebound 50s and 500 Metres Gained

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Hawthorn) Tom Mitchell (4)

37 Disposals (29 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, and 7 Ground Ball Gets

2 Votes (Richmond) Dion Prestia (2)

29 Disposals (24 Effective), 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements and 4 Tackles

3 Votes (Richmond) Dustin Martin (6) ⭐⭐

28 Disposals (22 Effective and 10 Contested), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances, 9 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 509 Metres Gained and 1 Goal

Note – Another brilliant display from Martin, and when he racks up a heap of Score Involvements, Inside 50s and hits the scoreboard, he generally polls well in matches.


Western Bulldogs vs West Coast

Western Bulldogs 14.16 100 – West Coast 14.9 93

(Western Bulldogs by 7 Points)

In what was probably the match of the round, the Bulldogs were tested by the Eagles on a Sunday afternoon, but managed to come away with the win.

Jack Macrae and Marcus Bontempelli were significant contributors in the middle of the ground for the Dogs, and both had big games. Others that stood up for the Bulldogs were Josh Dunkley, Bailey Smith, Aaron Naughton, and Bailey Williams was very important in the closing stages down back.

For the Eagles, Nic Naitanui was dominant in the ruck and gave the Eagles midfield plenty of first use chances. We all know he didn’t poll as well as projected last season, but watching this match, he was the Eagles best and stands out at stoppages. Tim Kelly and Dom Sheed tried hard all day, and Josh Kennedy booted 4 Goals.

Vote Chances

Josh Dunkley – 25 Disposals (22 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 6 Clearances, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 9 Tackles and 1 Goal

Tim Kelly – 29 Disposals (13 Contested), 5 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements and 35 Pressure Acts

Dom Sheed – 26 Disposals (18 Contested), 11 Clearances, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 33 Pressure Acts

Projected Votes

1 Vote (West Coast) Nic Naitanui (1)

13 Disposals (13 Contested and 9 Effective), 11 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 15 Hit-outs to advantage and 5 Tackles

2 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Jack Macrae (5)

41 Disposals (33 Effective and 15 Contested), 9 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements, and 14 Ground Ball Gets

3 Votes (W.Bulldogs) Marcus Bontempelli (3) ⭐⭐

30 Disposals (28 Effective and 10 Contested), 6 Marks (2 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 14 Score Involvements and 3 Goals

Note – The Bont was brilliant in the win against the Eagles, but Jack Macrae also had 11 more disposals and made a significant contribution in the latter stages. The flashiness of Bontempelli does stand out, so he should go in favourite for the three votes.


Fremantle vs GWS

Fremantle 11.21 87 – GWS 7.14 56

(Fremantle by 31 Points)

The Dockers got their first win of the season on the back of a stellar performance from veteran David Mundy. He had a big match in the middle of the ground and was well supported by Andrew Brayshaw in warm conditions out West. Adam Cerra was also good in the middle, and Lachie Schultz and Sam Switzkowski were busy up forward for Freo.

The Giants looked disinterested at times and were lacking the effort needed to be competitive. Toby Greene was their shining light kicking a couple of late goals.

Vote Chances

Adam Cerra – 28 Disposals (11 Contested), 7 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 5 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets and 557 Metres Gained

Sam Switzkowski – 16 Disposals (13 Effective), 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements and 2 Goals

Toby Greene – 20 Disposals (12 Contested), 6 Marks, 8 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements and 2 Goals

Projected Votes

1 Vote (Fremantle) Lachie Schultz (1)

20 Disposals, 8 Marks (3 Marks Inside 50), 9 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles and 3 Goals

2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (2)

32 Disposals (27 Effective), 5 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 6 Tackles, 26 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals

3 Votes (Fremantle) David Mundy (3) ⭐⭐

35 Disposals (15 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 15 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles and 552 Metres Gained

Note – Mundy or Brayshaw should get the 3 in this one, but Mundy stood out in the first-half and backed it up in the second. He created a lot of scoring chances for the Dockers and was a big reason Freo made easy work of the Giants.


To see projected votes for the 2020 AFL Season, click the link, Brownlow Medal Predictor 2020 or find them on the menu bar.

To see the projected votes for previous rounds in 2021, click the links on the bottom of this post, find them in the menu bar or use the TAGS at the bottom.

Feel free to leave any comments, questions or who you think should get the votes.

Always good to hear from fellow footy fans.

Cheers, 

dailysportsbuddy.com

Round 1

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About dailysportsbuddy 281 Articles
Chris from Dailysportsbuddy is a sports enthusiast with a specific focus on AFL, Basketball and Golf. With a keen interest in sports statistics, he follows the Brownlow Medal closely and has produced a model that focuses on analysing matches, analysing previous counts and using key statistics to help determine which players have the best chance of polling in the count.

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